Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans: 2007 Week 3 Recap

Game story

In Week 3 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-09-23, the Indianapolis Colts took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 30–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Schaub (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with -1.64 total EPA, and +14.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.00 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+21.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 59 yards from IND 25 to HOU 16. 13-J.Mathis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +15.00 total EPA · 30 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Davis · Houston Texans · Receiving · +8.09 total EPA · 4 snaps · +2.02 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +6.50 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.63 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.87 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.22 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Harrison · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.83 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Gonzalez · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +4.52 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.26 EPA/play
7. 7 O. Daniels · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.41 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Jones · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Houston Texans — J. Mathis (Q1 59:52)
• Indianapolis Colts — D. Clark (P. Manning pass) (Q1 51:10)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Addai (Q2 38:51)
• Indianapolis Colts — J. Addai (Q3 23:38)
• Houston Texans — S. Gado (Q4 14:25)
• Houston Texans — V. Leach (M. Schaub pass) (Q4 2:53)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q2 45:00)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 25:35)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q3 17:45)
• Indianapolis Colts — A. Vinatieri (Q4 10:44)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Houston Texans found the end zone from the IND 25 (Q1 59:52) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 59 yards from IND 25 to HOU 16. 13-J.Mathis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 59:39) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 2 (Q1 51:10) — (6:10) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q1 51:06) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The second quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 7–3. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the IND 15 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 3-K.Brown 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q2 38:51) — (8:51) 29-J.Addai right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q2 38:46) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The third quarter: Indianapolis Colts won the period 13–0. Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the HOU 18 (Q3 25:35) — (10:35) 4-A.Vinatieri 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the HOU 8 (Q3 23:38) — (8:38) 29-J.Addai right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 23:38) — 4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the HOU 9 (Q3 17:45) — (2:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith..

The fourth quarter: Houston Texans won the period 14–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 14:25) — (14:25) 35-S.Gado right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 14:21) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Indianapolis Colts connected on a field goal from the HOU 16 (Q4 10:44) — (10:44) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the IND 1 (Q4 2:53) — (2:53) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 44-V.Leach for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q4 2:49) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q1 59:52) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 59 yards from IND 25 to HOU 16. 13-J.Mathis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.5% · EPA +6.04]
• Houston Texans (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) (Run formation) PENALTY on IND-79-R.Brock, Encroachment, 5 yards, enforced at IND 43 - No Play. [WPA +12.5% · EPA +2.35]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q2 43:43) — (13:43) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle to 11-A.Gonzalez to HOU 41 for 24 yards (24-C.Brown). [WPA +11.5% · EPA +2.95]
• Houston Texans (Q3 20:09) — (5:09) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 83-K.Walter INTERCEPTED by 58-G.Brackett at IND 3. 58-G.Brackett to IND 29 for 26 yards (44-V.Leach). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -5.88]
• Houston Texans (Q3 25:13) — (10:13) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 12-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Boiman at HOU 23. 50-R.Boiman to HOU 21 for 2 yards (69-C.Pitts). Houston challenged the pass completion ruling, and th [WPA -9.7% · EPA -5.51]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q1 59:52) — 4-A.Vinatieri kicks 59 yards from IND 25 to HOU 16. 13-J.Mathis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +21.5% · EPA +6.04]
• Houston Texans (Q3 20:09) — (5:09) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 83-K.Walter INTERCEPTED by 58-G.Brackett at IND 3. 58-G.Brackett to IND 29 for 26 yards (44-V.Leach). [WPA -10.8% · EPA -5.88]
• Houston Texans (Q3 25:13) — (10:13) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle intended for 12-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 50-R.Boiman at HOU 23. 50-R.Boiman to HOU 21 for 2 yards (69-C.Pitts). Houston challenged the pass completion ruling, and th [WPA -9.7% · EPA -5.51]
• Indianapolis Colts (Q3 19:54) — (4:54) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to HOU 7 for 64 yards (23-D.Robinson). [WPA +1.9% · EPA +4.36]

Quarterback report card

M.Schaub led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Schaub (Houston Texans) · 38 dropbacks · 71.1% completion · +14.2% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.64 total EPA
• P.Manning (Indianapolis Colts) · 30 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +8.7% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +15.00 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Indianapolis Colts generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs +0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Houston Texans: 10 drives, +4.05 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Indianapolis Colts: 10 drives, +14.80 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Indianapolis Colts leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• P. Manning (Indianapolis Colts) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Schaub (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• P. Manning (IND) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 59:52 · IND 25 · Score 0-6
   4-A.Vinatieri kicks 59 yards from IND 25 to HOU 16. 13-J.Mathis for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 59:39 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 51:10 · HOU 2 · Score 6-7
   (6:10) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 44-D.Clark for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 51:06 · HOU 2 · Score 7-7
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
5. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 45:00 · IND 15 · Score 7-10
   (15:00) 3-K.Brown 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
6. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q2 38:51 · HOU 4 · Score 13-10
   (8:51) 29-J.Addai right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q2 38:46 · HOU 2 · Score 14-10
   4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
8. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 25:35 · HOU 18 · Score 17-10
   (10:35) 4-A.Vinatieri 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
9. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q3 23:38 · HOU 8 · Score 23-10
   (8:38) 29-J.Addai right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q3 23:38 · HOU 2 · Score 24-10
    4-A.Vinatieri extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
11. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q3 17:45 · HOU 9 · Score 27-10
    (2:45) 4-A.Vinatieri 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
12. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 14:25 · IND 1 · Score 27-16
    (14:25) 35-S.Gado right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 14:21 · IND 2 · Score 27-17
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
14. Indianapolis Colts FG (+3) — Q4 10:44 · HOU 16 · Score 30-17
    (10:44) 4-A.Vinatieri 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-17-H.Smith.
15. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 2:53 · IND 1 · Score 30-23
    (2:53) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 44-V.Leach for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 2:49 · IND 2 · Score 30-24
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.