FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · January 3, 2010 · 12 min read

Indianapolis Colts vs. Buffalo Bills: 2009 Week 17 Recap

Bills defeat Colts 30–7 in Week 17

R.Fitzpatrick led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 7–30 Week 17 finish.

Indianapolis Colts 7 14–2
Final 7–30
Buffalo Bills 30 6–10 Winner
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
7–30
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 7–24 Buffalo Bills
Top passer
R. Fitzpatrick
FantasyHQ MVP
R.Fitzpatrick
Game date
January 3, 2010

Top fantasy performers · Colts

  • Paul Manning 14/18 · 95 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Dean Clark
    Dean Clark 7 REC · 52 YDS +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Wayne 5 REC · 21 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • R.Fitzpatrick 16/26 · 155 YDS · 3 TD +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • F.Jackson 35 CAR · 212 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Evans 4 REC · 49 YDS · 1 TD +4.3 Fantasy Impact

Quick answer

Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
Buffalo Bills 30–7 Indianapolis Colts
Halftime
Indianapolis Colts 7–24 Buffalo Bills at halftime
FantasyHQ MVP
R. Fitzpatrick
Top passer
R. Fitzpatrick
Biggest EPA play
(3:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter up the middle to BUF 43 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by B…
Game date
2010-01-03

Game summary

The Buffalo Bills beat the Indianapolis Colts 30–7 on 2010-01-03. R. Fitzpatrick posted a game-high +6.21 total EPA in the passing.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3T
Indianapolis Colts700007
Buffalo Bills71760030

Scoring Map

Each pin marks where a score occurred on the field — yard line from play-by-play.

INDIndianapolis Colts
BUFBuffalo Bills

FantasyHQ Analytics

Scoring timeline

11 scores

Chronological scoring plays — scroll to follow the game.

  1. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 9:30TD
    FJF. Jackson

    Points+6

    Yard line
    IND 11
    Score
    0-6

    (9:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 22-F.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone, crossing from right.

  2. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q1 9:25XP
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+1

    Yard line
    IND 2
    Score
    0-7

    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  3. INDIndianapolis Colts
    Q1 3:56TD
    MHM. Hart

    Points+6

    Yard line
    BUF 1
    Score
    6-7

    (3:56) (No Huddle) 32-M.Hart left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

  4. INDIndianapolis Colts
    Q1 3:52XP
    MSM. Stover

    Points+1

    Yard line
    BUF 2
    Score
    7-7

    3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

  5. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 5:08TD
    LEL. Evans

    Points+6

    Yard line
    IND 21
    Score
    7-13

    (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3.

  6. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 5:02XP
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+1

    Yard line
    IND 2
    Score
    7-14

    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  7. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 2:35TD
    Tyler Owens

    Points+6

    Yard line
    IND 41
    Score
    7-20

    (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5.

  8. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 2:28XP
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+1

    Yard line
    IND 2
    Score
    7-21

    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  9. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q2 0:18FG
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+3

    Yard line
    IND 14
    Score
    7-24

    (:18) 9-R.Lindell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  10. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q3 7:36FG
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+3

    Yard line
    IND 14
    Score
    7-27

    (7:36) 9-R.Lindell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

  11. BUFBuffalo Bills
    Q3 0:18FG
    RLR. Lindell

    Points+3

    Yard line
    IND 18
    Score
    7-30

    (:18) 9-R.Lindell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA).

  1. 1R. Fitzpatrick · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +6.21 total EPA · 26 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  2. 2F. Jackson · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +4.53 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  3. 3L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.32 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.72 EPA/play
  4. 4F. Jackson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.78 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
  5. 5Tyler OwensTyler Owens · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.14 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  6. 6Paul Manning · Indianapolis Colts · Passing · +1.35 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
  7. 7Dean ClarkDean Clark · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +1.21 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  8. 8R. Wayne · Indianapolis Colts · Receiving · +0.92 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play

FantasyHQ Game MVP

Highest total EPA with the player's top snap and the game's biggest single play when different.

FantasyHQ Game MVP

R. Fitzpatrick — BUF · Passing

R. Fitzpatrick posted the highest total EPA (+6.21) in the game, the strongest overall impact for Buffalo Bills. Across 26 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

R. Fitzpatrick's top snap (+4.38 EPA): (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5.

Biggest single play (-4.40 EPA): C. Painter — (3:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter up the middle to BUF 43 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at 50. QB drops ball after attempting handoff.

Quarterback report card

R. Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) · 26 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · +3.2% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +6.21 total EPA
  • C. Painter (Indianapolis Colts) · 19 dropbacks · 21.1% completion · -34.9% CPOE · -0.69 EPA/play · -13.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency.

StatIndianapolis ColtsBuffalo Bills
Offensive EPA/play-0.216+0.093
Offensive success rate42.3%48.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.316+0.239
Rush EPA/play-0.551+0.128
Defensive EPA/play-0.093+0.216
Defensive success rate51.8%57.7%

Drive & efficiency notes

Buffalo Bills held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.22), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

Season benchmark context (offensive EPA per play):

  • Indianapolis Colts: -0.22 EPA/play (10th percentile vs. 2009 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: +0.09 EPA/play (75th percentile vs. 2009 team-game averages)
  • Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, +7.87 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Indianapolis Colts: 12 drives, -15.36 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal from official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — F. Jackson (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q1 9:30)
  • Indianapolis Colts — M. Hart (Q1 3:56)
  • Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 5:08)
  • Tyler OwensBuffalo Bills — Tyler Owens (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 2:35)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q2 0:18)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 7:36)
  • Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q3 0:18)
Quarter by quarter

Quarter-by-quarter recap from live scoring plays.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the IND 11 (Q1 9:30); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q1 9:25) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Indianapolis Colts found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q1 3:56) — (3:56) (No Huddle) 32-M.Hart left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Indianapolis Colts added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q1 3:52) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 17–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the IND 21 (Q2 5:08) — (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 5:02) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the IND 41 (Q2 2:35) — (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the IND 2 (Q2 2:28) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 14 (Q2 0:18) — (:18) 9-R.Lindell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 14 (Q3 7:36) — (7:36) 9-R.Lindell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the IND 18 (Q3 0:18) — (:18) 9-R.Lindell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 3:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter up the middle to BUF 43 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at 50. QB drops ball after attempting handoff. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -4.40]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 5:08) — (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3. [WPA +7.7% · EPA +3.09]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 12:32) — (12:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 84-J.Tamme INTERCEPTED by 47-C.Harris at IND 48. 47-C.Harris to IND 41 for 7 yards (87-R.Wayne). Receiver fell prior to INT. [WPA -7.3% · EPA -3.32]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 1:10) — (1:10) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left to 17-A.Collie to IND 39 for 15 yards (47-C.Harris). Caught along sideline at IND 39. [WPA +6.7% · EPA +2.17]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 9:30) — (9:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 22-F.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone, crossing from right. [WPA +6.0% · EPA +3.02]
Impact plays

Highest EPA snaps that flipped field position.

  • Indianapolis Colts (Q2 3:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter up the middle to BUF 43 for -2 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by BUF-90-C.Kelsay at 50. QB drops ball after attempting handoff. [WPA -12.6% · EPA -4.40]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 2:35) — (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5. [WPA +4.2% · EPA +4.38]
  • Indianapolis Colts (Q1 12:32) — (12:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short middle intended for 84-J.Tamme INTERCEPTED by 47-C.Harris at IND 48. 47-C.Harris to IND 41 for 7 yards (87-R.Wayne). Receiver fell prior to INT. [WPA -7.3% · EPA -3.32]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 5:08) — (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3. [WPA +7.7% · EPA +3.09]
Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 9:30 · IND 11 · Score 0-6
    (9:30) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 22-F.Jackson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone, crossing from right.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 9:25 · IND 2 · Score 0-7
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  3. Indianapolis Colts TD (+6) — Q1 3:56 · BUF 1 · Score 6-7
    (3:56) (No Huddle) 32-M.Hart left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Indianapolis Colts XP (+1) — Q1 3:52 · BUF 2 · Score 7-7
    3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.
  5. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 5:08 · IND 21 · Score 7-13
    (5:08) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 3.
  6. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 5:02 · IND 2 · Score 7-14
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 2:35 · IND 41 · Score 7-20
    (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5.
  8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 2:28 · IND 2 · Score 7-21
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  9. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 0:18 · IND 14 · Score 7-24
    (:18) 9-R.Lindell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  10. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 7:36 · IND 14 · Score 7-27
    (7:36) 9-R.Lindell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
  11. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 0:18 · IND 18 · Score 7-30
    (:18) 9-R.Lindell 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills earned the result — use the box score for snap-level context.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) led total EPA — start here for highlight and prop research.
  • R. Fitzpatrick (BUF) finished above expected through the air (positive CPOE).
  • C. Painter (IND) finished below expected efficiency despite volume.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills on 2010-01-03?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Indianapolis Colts 30-7 in Week 17, 2009.

What was the score by quarter in Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills?

Q1: Indianapolis Colts 7, Buffalo Bills 7; Q2: Indianapolis Colts 0, Buffalo Bills 17; Q3: Indianapolis Colts 0, Buffalo Bills 6; Final: Indianapolis Colts 7, Buffalo Bills 30.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — F. Jackson (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q1 9:30) Indianapolis Colts touchdown — M. Hart (Q1 3:56) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Evans (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 5:08) Buffalo Bills touchdown — T. Owens (R. Fitzpatrick pass) (Q2 2:35) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q2 0:18, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 7:36, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — R. Lindell (Q3 0:18, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills?

R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills), 61.5% completion, +3.2% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +6.21 total passing EPA. C. Painter (Indianapolis Colts), 21.1% completion, -34.9% CPOE, -0.69 EPA per dropback, -13.06 total passing EPA.

Who was FantasyHQ's player of the game in Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills?

R. Fitzpatrick (Buffalo Bills) was FantasyHQ's Game MVP with +6.21 total EPA on Passing plays. across 26 snaps. Their top snap (+4.38 EPA): (2:35) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 81-T.Owens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in flat at IND 5..

Season records after this game

Indianapolis Colts

Entered 14-1 Now 14-2 L

Buffalo Bills

Entered 5-10 Now 6-10 W