Houston Texans vs. New York Jets: 2023 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-10, the New York Jets took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 30–6 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

Z. Wilson (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with +3.47 total EPA, and +10.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, Bre. Hall (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.15 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.0% win probability) landed in the third quarter when New York Jets changed the game: (11:56) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass deep middle to 17-G.Wilson to HOU 15 for 25 yards (5-J.Pitre).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 Bre. Hall · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.15 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
2. 2 G. Wilson · New York Jets · Receiving · +4.40 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
3. 3 T. Conklin · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.95 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
4. 4 Z. Wilson · New York Jets · Passing · +3.47 total EPA · 44 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Jordan · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.87 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.96 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Ruckert · New York Jets · Receiving · +2.83 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
7. 7 G. Wilson · New York Jets · Rushing · +1.95 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.95 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Cobb · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.80 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.80 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — R. Cobb (Z. Wilson pass) (Q3 26:11)
• New York Jets — X. Gipson (Q3 19:37)
• Houston Texans — D. Singletary (Q3 15:00)
• New York Jets — Z. Wilson (Q4 9:32)

Field goals

• New York Jets — G. Zuerlein (Q4 6:56)
• New York Jets — G. Zuerlein (Q4 4:34)
• New York Jets — G. Zuerlein (Q4 4:30)
• New York Jets — G. Zuerlein (Q4 1:12)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The third quarter: New York Jets won the period 14–6. New York Jets found the end zone from the HOU 15 (Q3 26:11) — (11:11) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 26:05) — 9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; New York Jets found the end zone from the HOU 9 (Q3 19:37) — (4:37) 82-X.Gipson right end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 19:31) — 9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q3 15:00) — (:00) 60-D.Eiselen reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 19–0. New York Jets found the end zone from the HOU 3 (Q4 9:32) — (9:32) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 20-Bre.Hall for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 9:27) — 9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 33 (Q4 6:56) — (6:56) 9-G.Zuerlein 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 36 (Q4 4:34) — (4:34) 9-G.Zuerlein 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the NYJ 35 (Q4 4:30) — 9-G.Zuerlein kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the HOU 26 (Q4 1:12) — (1:12) 9-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• New York Jets (Q3 26:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass deep middle to 17-G.Wilson to HOU 15 for 25 yards (5-J.Pitre). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.44]
• New York Jets (Q3 26:11) — (11:11) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +1.80]
• Houston Texans (Q1 47:29) — (2:29) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud sacked at HOU 22 for -14 yards (47-B.Huff). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -2.55]
• New York Jets (Q3 28:07) — (13:07) (Shotgun) PENALTY on NYJ-17-G.Wilson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at HOU 38 - No Play. [WPA -6.4% · EPA -0.75]
• New York Jets (Q3 23:01) — (8:01) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass deep right to 83-T.Conklin to HOU 44 for 24 yards (1-J.Ward). [WPA +6.2% · EPA +2.90]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q3 16:32) — (1:32) 2-Z.Wilson scrambles left tackle to 50 for 10 yards (48-C.Harris). FUMBLES (48-C.Harris), touched at HOU 47, RECOVERED by HOU-94-K.Davis at HOU 43. [WPA -4.3% · EPA -4.44]
• New York Jets (Q3 26:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass deep middle to 17-G.Wilson to HOU 15 for 25 yards (5-J.Pitre). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.44]
• New York Jets (Q1 51:56) — (6:56) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson sacked at HOU 37 for -10 yards (98-S.Rankins). [WPA -5.2% · EPA -3.17]
• Houston Texans (Q4 8:16) — (8:16) (Shotgun) 7-C.Stroud pass incomplete deep middle to 85-N.Brown. [WPA -1.9% · EPA -3.14]

Quarterback report card

Z.Wilson led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• Z.Wilson (New York Jets) · 44 dropbacks · 61.4% completion · +10.2% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +3.47 total EPA
• C.Stroud (Houston Texans) · 31 dropbacks · 32.3% completion · -20.5% CPOE · -0.45 EPA/play · -14.07 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

New York Jets held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.33), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 13 drives, -24.62 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 13 drives, +3.75 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• New York Jets leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• Bre. Hall (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• Z. Wilson (NYJ) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Stroud (HOU) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 26:11 · HOU 15 · Score 0-6
   (11:11) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 26:05 · HOU 15 · Score 0-7
   9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
3. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q3 19:37 · HOU 9 · Score 0-13
   (4:37) 82-X.Gipson right end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q3 19:31 · HOU 15 · Score 0-14
   9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
5. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 15:00 · NYJ 1 · Score 6-14
   (:00) 60-D.Eiselen reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 9:32 · HOU 3 · Score 6-20
   (9:32) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson pass short left to 20-Bre.Hall for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 9:27 · HOU 15 · Score 6-21
   9-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
8. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 6:56 · HOU 33 · Score 6-24
   (6:56) 9-G.Zuerlein 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
9. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 4:34 · HOU 36 · Score 6-27
   (4:34) 9-G.Zuerlein 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 4:30 · NYJ 35 · Score 6-27
    9-G.Zuerlein kicks 65 yards from NYJ 35 to end zone, Touchback.
11. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q4 1:12 · HOU 26 · Score 6-30
    (1:12) 9-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-5-T.Morstead.