Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2022 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on 2022-10-23, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 38–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

D. Mills (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +3.07 total EPA, and -0.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +12.72 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Las Vegas Raiders changed the game: (:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 10-M.Hollins for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Carr · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +12.72 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Akins · Houston Texans · Receiving · +7.84 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.96 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Adams · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +7.61 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Jacobs · Las Vegas Raiders · Rushing · +6.93 total EPA · 20 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
5. 5 H. Renfrow · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +4.36 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
6. 6 P. Dorsett · Houston Texans · Receiving · +3.95 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.32 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Hollins · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.92 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.31 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Mills · Houston Texans · Passing · +3.07 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Houston Texans — C. Moore (D. Mills pass) (Q2 41:22)
• Las Vegas Raiders — M. Hollins (D. Carr pass) (Q2 30:31)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Jacobs (Q3 20:54)
• Houston Texans — P. Dorsett (D. Mills pass) (Q3 18:20)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Jacobs (Q4 13:37)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Jacobs (Q4 7:12)
• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Harmon (Q4 3:39)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — D. Carlson (Q1 55:00)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 35:02)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q3 26:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 3–0. Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the HOU 32 (Q1 55:00) — (10:00) 2-D.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 13–10. Houston Texans found the end zone from the LV 13 (Q2 41:22) — (11:22) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 15-C.Moore for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q2 41:17) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the LV 37 (Q2 35:02) — (5:02) 7-K.Fairbairn 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 26 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 10-M.Hollins for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 15 (Q2 30:25) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–7. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the LV 17 (Q3 26:04) — (11:04) 7-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 4 (Q3 20:54) — (5:54) 28-J.Jacobs left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q3 20:48) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the LV 25 (Q3 18:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep left to 4-P.Dorsett for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the LV 15 (Q3 18:14) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 21–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 7 (Q4 13:37) — (13:37) 28-J.Jacobs up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 13:32) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the HOU 15 (Q4 7:12) — (7:12) 28-J.Jacobs left guard for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 7:06) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 40 (Q4 3:39); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q4 3:26) — 2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 10-M.Hollins for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +3.65]
• Houston Texans (Q3 28:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 88-J.Akins to LV 38 for 39 yards (30-D.Harmon). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +3.70]
• Houston Texans (Q1 49:44) — (4:44) 7-K.Fairbairn 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston. [WPA -12.4% · EPA -4.38]
• Houston Texans (Q3 18:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep left to 4-P.Dorsett for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.71]
• Houston Texans (Q1 53:05) — (8:05) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 88-J.Akins pushed ob at LV 35 for 19 yards (25-T.Moehrig). [WPA +11.6% · EPA +2.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q4 3:39) — (3:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle intended for 9-B.Jordan INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Harmon at LV 27. 30-D.Harmon for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -7.8% · EPA -10.24]
• Houston Texans (Q1 49:44) — (4:44) 7-K.Fairbairn 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston. [WPA -12.4% · EPA -4.38]
• Houston Texans (Q3 18:20) — (3:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep left to 4-P.Dorsett for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.4% · EPA +3.71]
• Houston Texans (Q3 28:34) — (13:34) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 88-J.Akins to LV 38 for 39 yards (30-D.Harmon). [WPA +13.9% · EPA +3.70]

Quarterback report card

D.Mills led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• D.Mills (Houston Texans) · 42 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · -0.0% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +3.07 total EPA
• D.Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) · 29 dropbacks · 72.4% completion · +7.7% CPOE · +0.44 EPA/play · +12.72 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.24 vs -0.00), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Houston Texans: 9 drives, -0.35 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 9 drives, +17.54 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Carr (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• D. Carr (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q1 55:00 · HOU 32 · Score 0-3
   (10:00) 2-D.Carlson 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
2. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 41:22 · LV 13 · Score 6-3
   (11:22) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short right to 15-C.Moore for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 41:17 · LV 15 · Score 7-3
   7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
4. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 35:02 · LV 37 · Score 10-3
   (5:02) 7-K.Fairbairn 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:31 · HOU 26 · Score 10-9
   (:31) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 10-M.Hollins for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+7) — Q2 30:25 · HOU 15 · Score 10-10
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
7. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q3 26:04 · LV 17 · Score 13-10
   (11:04) 7-K.Fairbairn 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
8. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 20:54 · HOU 4 · Score 13-16
   (5:54) 28-J.Jacobs left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 20:48 · HOU 15 · Score 13-17
   2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
10. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 18:20 · LV 25 · Score 19-17
    (3:20) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass deep left to 4-P.Dorsett for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 18:14 · LV 15 · Score 20-17
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-11-C.Johnston.
12. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 13:37 · HOU 7 · Score 20-23
    (13:37) 28-J.Jacobs up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 13:32 · HOU 15 · Score 20-24
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
14. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 7:12 · HOU 15 · Score 20-30
    (7:12) 28-J.Jacobs left guard for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 7:06 · HOU 15 · Score 20-31
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.
16. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 3:39 · LV 40 · Score 20-37
    (3:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short middle intended for 9-B.Jordan INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Harmon at LV 27. 30-D.Harmon for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 3:26 · HOU 15 · Score 20-38
    2-D.Carlson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-T.Sieg, Holder-6-A.Cole.