Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 9 Recap

Game story

In Week 9 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-11-08, the Houston Texans took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 27–25 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Luton (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +6.27 total EPA, and +0.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Watson (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +17.35 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+20.5% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Houston Texans changed the game: (6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 15-W.Fuller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Watson · Houston Texans · Passing · +17.35 total EPA · 41 snaps · +0.42 EPA/play
2. 2 W. Fuller · Houston Texans · Receiving · +10.69 total EPA · 5 snaps · +2.14 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Luton · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +6.27 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
4. 4 D.Chark Jr. · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.72 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Eifert · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.13 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
6. 6 B. Cooks · Houston Texans · Receiving · +2.65 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.29 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Thompson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.40 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play
8. 8 D. Fells · Houston Texans · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.86 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Chark (J. Luton pass) (Q1 59:19)
• Houston Texans — B. Cooks (D. Watson pass) (Q1 58:44)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Robinson (Q2 35:45)
• Houston Texans — D. Johnson (Q2 30:31)
• Houston Texans — W. Fuller (D. Watson pass) (Q3 21:16)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Luton (Q4 1:39)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q1 54:52)
• Houston Texans — K. Fairbairn (Q2 42:30)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q2 30:03)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Lambo (Q3 16:14)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 73 (Q1 59:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Luton pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 15 (Q1 59:08) — 4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 57 (Q1 58:44) — (13:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 13-B.Cooks for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 58:33) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 36 (Q1 54:52) — (9:52) 7-K.Fairbairn 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 10–9. Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 11 (Q2 42:30) — (12:30) 7-K.Fairbairn 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 1 (Q2 35:45) — (5:45) 30-J.Robinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q2 30:31) — (:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-D.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 30:27) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 41 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 4-J.Lambo 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 77 (Q3 21:16) — (6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 15-W.Fuller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 21:05) — 7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 12 (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 13 (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Luton scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Houston Texans (Q3 21:16) — (6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 15-W.Fuller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.5% · EPA +7.58]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Luton pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.76]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:30) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 6-J.Luton pass to 17-D.Chark Jr. is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. [WPA -15.7% · EPA -0.95]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 4-J.Lambo 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. [WPA +14.0% · EPA +1.71]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:39) — (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Luton scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +2.30]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Houston Texans (Q3 21:16) — (6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 15-W.Fuller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +20.5% · EPA +7.58]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 59:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Luton pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +19.9% · EPA +6.76]
• Houston Texans (Q1 58:44) — (13:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 13-B.Cooks for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.4% · EPA +4.97]
• Houston Texans (Q2 33:56) — (3:56) (Shotgun) 25-D.Johnson up the middle to HOU 43 for no gain (44-M.Jack). FUMBLES (44-M.Jack), RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Hamilton at HOU 43. [WPA -10.4% · EPA -4.60]

Quarterback report card

J.Luton led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Luton (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 43 dropbacks · 60.5% completion · +0.6% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +6.27 total EPA
• D.Watson (Houston Texans) · 41 dropbacks · 46.3% completion · -1.8% CPOE · +0.42 EPA/play · +17.35 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Houston Texans generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs +0.06), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Houston Texans: 12 drives, +9.91 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 12 drives, +4.90 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Houston Texans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• D. Watson (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 59:19 · HOU 73 · Score 0-6
   (14:19) (Shotgun) 6-J.Luton pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 59:08 · HOU 15 · Score 0-7
   4-J.Lambo extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
3. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q1 58:44 · JAX 57 · Score 6-7
   (13:44) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left to 13-B.Cooks for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q1 58:33 · JAX 15 · Score 7-7
   7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
5. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 54:52 · JAX 36 · Score 10-7
   (9:52) 7-K.Fairbairn 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
6. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q2 42:30 · JAX 11 · Score 13-7
   (12:30) 7-K.Fairbairn 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 35:45 · HOU 1 · Score 13-13
   (5:45) 30-J.Robinson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 30:31 · JAX 1 · Score 19-13
   (:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-D.Johnson up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 30:27 · JAX 15 · Score 20-13
   7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · HOU 41 · Score 20-16
    (:03) 4-J.Lambo 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
11. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 21:16 · JAX 77 · Score 26-16
    (6:16) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep right to 15-W.Fuller for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 21:05 · JAX 15 · Score 27-16
    7-K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Weeks, Holder-9-B.Anger.
13. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 16:14 · HOU 12 · Score 27-19
    (1:14) 4-J.Lambo 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:39 · HOU 13 · Score 27-25
    (1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Luton scrambles left end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.