Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2008 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2008 NFL season on 2008-09-28, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Houston Texans, pulling away with a 30–27 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Schaub (Houston Texans) paced the passing game, with +25.41 total EPA, and +15.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Schaub (Houston Texans) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +25.41 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+26.0% win probability) landed in overtime when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (13:39) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 18-M.Jones to HOU 41 for 24 yards (35-J.Reeves).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Schaub · Houston Texans · Passing · +25.41 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
2. 2 K. Walter · Houston Texans · Receiving · +11.97 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.50 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Garrard · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +11.19 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
4. 4 O. Daniels · Houston Texans · Receiving · +7.51 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.07 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +7.37 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.47 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Owens · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +6.23 total EPA · 1 snaps · +6.23 EPA/play
7. 7 S. Slaton · Houston Texans · Receiving · +6.08 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Walker · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.72 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Owens (Q1 53:47)
• Houston Texans — S. Slaton (M. Schaub pass) (Q2 34:53)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Jones (D. Garrard pass) (Q3 25:58)
• Houston Texans — K. Walter (M. Schaub pass) (Q3 20:20)
• Houston Texans — K. Walter (M. Schaub pass) (Q4 7:11)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Garrard (Q4 1:53)

Field goals

• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q1 45:11)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q2 30:23)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (Q4 13:44)
• Houston Texans — K. Brown (Q4 0:06)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Scobee (OT 11:30)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 41 (Q1 53:47) — (8:47) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Direct snap to JJ24.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q1 53:38) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q1 45:11) — (:11) 3-K.Brown 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk..

The second quarter: Houston Texans won the period 7–3. Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 30 (Q2 34:53) — (4:53) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 20-S.Slaton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [73-J.Kennedy].; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 34:47) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 28 (Q2 30:23) — (:23) 10-J.Scobee 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 16 (Q3 25:58) — (10:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 18-M.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q3 25:53) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q3 20:20) — (5:20) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 83-K.Walter for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 20:15) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 10–10. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 22 (Q4 13:44) — (13:44) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans found the end zone from the JAX 8 (Q4 7:11) — (7:11) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 83-K.Walter for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Houston Texans added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q4 7:06) — 3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the HOU 5 (Q4 1:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the HOU 2 (Q4 1:48) — 10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.; Houston Texans connected on a field goal from the JAX 29 (Q4 0:06) — (:06) 3-K.Brown 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk..

Overtime: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the HOU 19 (OT 11:30) — (11:30) 10-J.Scobee 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 13:39) — (13:39) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 18-M.Jones to HOU 41 for 24 yards (35-J.Reeves). [WPA +26.0% · EPA +2.63]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:27) — (2:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle to HOU 9 for 9 yards (34-D.Barber). [WPA +21.1% · EPA +2.43]
• Houston Texans (Q4 7:11) — (7:11) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 83-K.Walter for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.26]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 53:47) — (8:47) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Direct snap to JJ24. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +6.23]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (OT 12:53) — (12:53) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 33-G.Jones to HOU 19 for 22 yards (25-N.Ferguson). [WPA +14.9% · EPA +1.34]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 53:47) — (8:47) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Direct snap to JJ24. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +6.23]
• Houston Texans (Q2 34:53) — (4:53) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 20-S.Slaton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [73-J.Kennedy]. [WPA +10.4% · EPA +3.85]
• Houston Texans (Q4 7:11) — (7:11) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 83-K.Walter for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.26]
• Houston Texans (Q4 10:45) — (10:45) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 81-O.Daniels pushed ob at JAX 39 for 34 yards (29-B.Williams). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +2.79]

Quarterback report card

M.Schaub led all passers in efficiency for Houston Texans, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Schaub (Houston Texans) · 45 dropbacks · 64.4% completion · +15.4% CPOE · +0.56 EPA/play · +25.41 total EPA
• D.Garrard (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 40 dropbacks · 57.5% completion · +11.2% CPOE · +0.28 EPA/play · +11.19 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Houston Texans +0.26, Jacksonville Jaguars +0.26) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Houston Texans: 8 drives, +20.50 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 9 drives, +19.84 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• M. Schaub (Houston Texans) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Schaub (HOU) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• D. Garrard (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 53:47 · HOU 41 · Score 0-6
   (8:47) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Direct snap to JJ24.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 53:38 · HOU 2 · Score 0-7
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
3. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q1 45:11 · JAX 9 · Score 3-7
   (:11) 3-K.Brown 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
4. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q2 34:53 · JAX 30 · Score 9-7
   (4:53) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 20-S.Slaton for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [73-J.Kennedy].
5. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q2 34:47 · JAX 2 · Score 10-7
   3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:23 · HOU 28 · Score 10-10
   (:23) 10-J.Scobee 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
7. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 25:58 · HOU 16 · Score 10-16
   (10:58) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 18-M.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 25:53 · HOU 2 · Score 10-17
   10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
9. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q3 20:20 · JAX 5 · Score 16-17
   (5:20) 8-M.Schaub pass short middle to 83-K.Walter for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q3 20:15 · JAX 2 · Score 17-17
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
11. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 13:44 · HOU 22 · Score 17-20
    (13:44) 10-J.Scobee 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
12. Houston Texans TD (+6) — Q4 7:11 · JAX 8 · Score 23-20
    (7:11) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 83-K.Walter for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Houston Texans XP (+1) — Q4 7:06 · JAX 2 · Score 24-20
    3-K.Brown extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
14. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 1:53 · HOU 5 · Score 24-26
    (1:53) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard up the middle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 1:48 · HOU 2 · Score 24-27
    10-J.Scobee extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.
16. Houston Texans FG (+3) — Q4 0:06 · JAX 29 · Score 27-27
    (:06) 3-K.Brown 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Pittman, Holder-1-M.Turk.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — OT 11:30 · HOU 19 · Score 27-30
    (11:30) 10-J.Scobee 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-3-A.Podlesh.