Game story
In Week 16 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-21, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 20–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +11.04 total EPA, and +11.3% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-16.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q4 | — | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +15.76 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
- 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +11.04 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
- 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.27 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
- 4 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
- 5 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.05 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
- 6 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.77 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
- 7 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.20 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
- 8 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
J. Nelson — GB · Receiving
J. Nelson posted the highest total EPA (+15.76) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +1.75 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.75 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy
- Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass)
Field goals
- Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray
- Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 44 (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 45:49) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..
The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 24 (Q2 35:00) — (5:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 24 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen..
The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 7 (Q4 10:23) — (10:23) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 2:45) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:43) — (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 18-R.Cobb (29-L.Johnson).
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 33:01) — (3:01) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass deep left to 83-V.Jackson to GB 30 for 40 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix).
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:02) — (11:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson to TB 36 for 28 yards (30-B.McDougald).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:43) — (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle intended for 34-C.Sims INTERCEPTED by 95-D.Jones [91-J.Elliott] at TB 31. 95-D.Jones to TB 13 for 18 yards (34-C.Sims).
- Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Green Bay Packers (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 18-R.Cobb (29-L.Johnson).
Quarterback report card
A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 42 dropbacks · 73.8% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +11.04 total EPA
- J.McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 35.3% completion · -12.8% CPOE · -0.50 EPA/play · -16.88 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Green Bay Packers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.000 | -0.332 |
| Offensive success rate | 46.4% | 23.4% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.263 | -0.496 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.089 | -0.429 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.332 | +0.000 |
| Defensive success rate | 76.6% | 53.6% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.00 vs -0.33), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, -0.04 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -21.26 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
- J. McCown (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 46:00 · TB 44 · Score 6-0
(1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:49 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 35:00 · TB 24 · Score 10-0
(5:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · GB 24 · Score 10-3
(:04) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen. - Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:23 · TB 7 · Score 13-3
(10:23) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay. - Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:51 · TB 1 · Score 19-3
(2:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 2:45 · TB 2 · Score 20-3
2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-3 in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.
What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 (GB 20-3 TB) in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.
What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Green Bay Packers 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Green Bay Packers 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Green Bay Packers touchdown — E. Lacy (Q1 46:00) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:51) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 35:00, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 10:23, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 73.8% completion, +11.3% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +11.04 total passing EPA. J. McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 35.3% completion, -12.8% CPOE, -0.50 EPA per dropback, -16.88 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +15.76 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.75 EPA): (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hud. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.2%.
Season records after this game
Green Bay Packers
Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 2-12 Now 2-13 L