FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 21, 2014 · 10 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2014 Week 16 Recap

Packers defeat Buccaneers 20–3 in Week 16

Jack Nelson led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 20–3 Week 16 finish.

Green Bay Packers 20 11–4 Winner
Final 20–3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 2–13
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
20–3
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 10–3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
Jack Nelson
Game date
December 21, 2014

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Jack Nelson
    Jack Nelson 9 REC · 113 YDS · 1 TD +15.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 31/42 · 310 YDS · 1 TD +11.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Randall Cobb
    Randall Cobb 11 REC · 131 YDS +4.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • V.Jackson 3 REC · 60 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 4 REC · 49 YDS +1.8 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Shepard -0.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20–3 in Week 16 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-21, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-16.2% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-12-21, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 20–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +11.04 total EPA, and +11.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Green Bay Packers73100020
Tampa Bay Buccaneers030003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +15.76 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.75 EPA/play
  2. 2 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +11.04 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.27 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  4. 4 V. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.61 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
  5. 5 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.05 total EPA · 18 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.77 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.20 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
  8. 8 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Nelson — GB · Receiving

J. Nelson posted the highest total EPA (+15.76) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +1.75 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.75 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q1 46:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:51)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 35:00)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — P. Murray (Q2 30:04)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q4 10:23)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 44 (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 45:49) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 24 (Q2 35:00) — (5:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 24 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 10–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 7 (Q4 10:23) — (10:23) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 2:51) — (2:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 2:45) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:43) — (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R [WPA -16.2% · EPA -5.75]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.9% · EPA +4.47]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 18-R.Cobb (29-L.Johnson). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -3.90]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 33:01) — (3:01) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass deep left to 83-V.Jackson to GB 30 for 40 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +10.9% · EPA +3.32]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:02) — (11:02) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 87-J.Nelson to TB 36 for 28 yards (30-B.McDougald). [WPA +10.6% · EPA +2.68]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:43) — (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.R [WPA -16.2% · EPA -5.75]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 1:48) — (1:48) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short middle intended for 34-C.Sims INTERCEPTED by 95-D.Jones [91-J.Elliott] at TB 31. 95-D.Jones to TB 13 for 18 yards (34-C.Sims). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -5.38]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 46:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.9% · EPA +4.47]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 20:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 18-R.Cobb (29-L.Johnson). [WPA -12.8% · EPA -3.90]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 42 dropbacks · 73.8% completion · +11.3% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +11.04 total EPA
  • J.McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 35.3% completion · -12.8% CPOE · -0.50 EPA/play · -16.88 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play-0.000-0.332
Offensive success rate46.4%23.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.263-0.496
Rush EPA/play-0.089-0.429
Defensive EPA/play+0.332+0.000
Defensive success rate76.6%53.6%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.00 vs -0.33), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, -0.04 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10 drives, -21.26 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • J. McCown (TB) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 46:00 · TB 44 · Score 6-0
    (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-E.Lacy left end for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:49 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 35:00 · TB 24 · Score 10-0
    (5:00) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · GB 24 · Score 10-3
    (:04) (Field Goal formation) 7-P.Murray 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-A.DePaola, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  5. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q4 10:23 · TB 7 · Score 13-3
    (10:23) (Field Goal formation) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
  6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:51 · TB 1 · Score 19-3
    (2:51) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 2:45 · TB 2 · Score 20-3
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-3 in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 (GB 20-3 TB) in Week 16, 2014 on 2014-12-21.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Green Bay Packers 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Green Bay Packers 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — E. Lacy (Q1 46:00) Green Bay Packers touchdown — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:51) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 35:00, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — P. Murray (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q4 10:23, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 73.8% completion, +11.3% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +11.04 total passing EPA. J. McCown (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 35.3% completion, -12.8% CPOE, -0.50 EPA per dropback, -16.88 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Nelson (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +15.76 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.75 EPA): (9:43) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at TB 44 for -8 yards (90-M.Johnson). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Hud. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.2%.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 10-4 Now 11-4 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-12 Now 2-13 L