FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 11 · November 16, 2003 · 11 min read

Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2003 Week 11 Recap

Packers defeat Buccaneers 20–13 in Week 11

Reid Ferguson led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 20–13 Week 11 finish.

Green Bay Packers 20 5–5 Winner
Final 20–13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 4–6
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
20–13
Halftime
Green Bay Packers 13–6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Buddy Johnson
FantasyHQ MVP
Reid Ferguson
Game date
November 16, 2003

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Reid Ferguson
    Reid Ferguson 4 REC · 46 YDS +6.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Art Green
    Art Green 22 CAR · 109 YDS · 1 TD +2.8 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Fisher 2 REC · 12 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Truman Jones
    Truman Jones 10 CAR · 134 YDS +4.8 Fantasy Impact
  • K.McCardell 5 REC · 55 YDS · 1 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Kisean Johnson
    Kisean Johnson 3 REC · 34 YDS +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20–13 in Week 11 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-11-16, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-12.1% win probability) came in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 11 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-11-16, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 20–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 12 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -8.95 total EPA.

On the individual side, R. Ferguson (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.96 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (14:44) 14-B.Johnson up the middle to TB 22 for 2 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), touched at TB 22, RECOVERED by GB-56-N.Barnett at TB 22. 56-N.Barnett to TB 22 for no gain (

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Green Bay Packers7607020
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0670013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. Ferguson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.49 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Jones · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +4.78 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  3. 3 K. McCardell · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +3.79 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Green · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +2.82 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
  5. 5 T. Fisher · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Johnson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.68 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  7. 7 N. Davenport · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +1.51 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  8. 8 K. Dilger · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.38 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.38 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. Ferguson — GB · Receiving

R. Ferguson posted the highest total EPA (+5.96) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 4 counted snaps, they averaged +1.49 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.84 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (14:44) 14-B.Johnson up the middle to TB 22 for 2 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), touched at TB 22, RECOVERED by GB-56-N.Barnett at TB 22. 56-N.Barnett to TB 22 for no gain (14-B.Johnson).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Green Bay Packers — T. Fisher (B. Favre pass) (Q1 52:37)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q3 27:36)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Green (Q4 9:00)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — R. Longwell (Q2 43:08)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gramatica (Q2 40:41)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Longwell (Q2 37:57)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Gramatica (Q2 30:03)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 5 (Q1 52:37) — (7:37) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 40-T.Fisher for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q1 52:31) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 13 (Q2 43:08) — (13:08) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 5 (Q2 40:41) — (10:41) 7-M.Gramatica 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q2 37:57) — (7:57) 8-R.Longwell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the GB 29 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 7-M.Gramatica 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q3 27:36) — (12:36) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q3 27:29) — 7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 9:00) — (9:00) 30-A.Green right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 8:54) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:44) — (14:44) 14-B.Johnson up the middle to TB 22 for 2 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), touched at TB 22, RECOVERED by GB-56-N.Barnett at TB 22. 56-N.Barnett to TB 22 for no gain ( [WPA -12.1% · EPA -4.84]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 9:00) — (9:00) 30-A.Green right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.7% · EPA +0.76]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:52) — (14:52) 22-T.Jones right end to GB 14 for 51 yards (42-D.Sharper). [WPA +10.3% · EPA +3.08]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:11) — (13:11) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 89-R.Ferguson to TB 25 for 9 yards (35-C.Ivy). [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.03]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 42:58) — (12:58) 22-T.Jones left end to GB 9 for 61 yards (50-H.Navies). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.63]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 44:44) — (14:44) 14-B.Johnson up the middle to TB 22 for 2 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), touched at TB 22, RECOVERED by GB-56-N.Barnett at TB 22. 56-N.Barnett to TB 22 for no gain ( [WPA -12.1% · EPA -4.84]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 42:58) — (12:58) 22-T.Jones left end to GB 9 for 61 yards (50-H.Navies). [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.63]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:52) — (14:52) 22-T.Jones right end to GB 14 for 51 yards (42-D.Sharper). [WPA +10.3% · EPA +3.08]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 52:37) — (7:37) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 40-T.Fisher for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.8% · EPA +2.73]

Quarterback report card

B.Johnson led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 34 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -0.26 EPA/play · -8.95 total EPA
  • B.Favre (Green Bay Packers) · 28 dropbacks · 46.4% completion · -0.20 EPA/play · -5.73 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatGreen Bay PackersTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.020-0.124
Offensive success rate44.9%43.8%
Pass EPA/play-0.205-0.394
Rush EPA/play+0.115+0.118
Defensive EPA/play+0.124-0.020
Defensive success rate56.2%55.1%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, +1.82 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14 drives, -9.08 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • R. Ferguson (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 52:37 · TB 5 · Score 6-0
    (7:37) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 40-T.Fisher for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 52:31 · TB 2 · Score 7-0
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
  3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 43:08 · TB 13 · Score 10-0
    (13:08) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 40:41 · GB 5 · Score 10-3
    (10:41) 7-M.Gramatica 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  5. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:57 · TB 15 · Score 13-3
    (7:57) 8-R.Longwell 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · GB 29 · Score 13-6
    (:03) 7-M.Gramatica 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 27:36 · GB 3 · Score 13-12
    (12:36) 14-B.Johnson pass to 87-K.McCardell for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 27:29 · GB 2 · Score 13-13
    7-M.Gramatica extra point is GOOD, Center-66-R.Benjamin, Holder-9-T.Tupa.
  9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 9:00 · TB 1 · Score 19-13
    (9:00) 30-A.Green right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 8:54 · TB 2 · Score 20-13
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-13 in Week 11, 2003 on 2003-11-16.

What was the final score of Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 (GB 20-13 TB) in Week 11, 2003 on 2003-11-16.

What was the score by quarter in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Green Bay Packers 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Q3: Green Bay Packers 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Green Bay Packers 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Green Bay Packers 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Green Bay Packers touchdown — T. Fisher (B. Favre pass) (Q1 52:37) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — K. McCardell (B. Johnson pass) (Q3 27:36) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Green (Q4 9:00) Green Bay Packers field goal — R. Longwell (Q2 43:08, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Gramatica (Q2 40:41, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — R. Longwell (Q2 37:57, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — M. Gramatica (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

B. Johnson (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 50.0% completion, -0.26 EPA per dropback, -8.95 total passing EPA. B. Favre (Green Bay Packers), 46.4% completion, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -5.73 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

R. Ferguson (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +5.96 on receiving plays. across 4 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.84 EPA): (14:44) 14-B.Johnson up the middle to TB 22 for 2 yards (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila). FUMBLES (94-K.Gbaja-Biamila), touched at TB 22, RECOVERED by GB-56-N.Barnett at TB 22. 56-N.Barnett to. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.1%.

Was Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Green Bay Packers won 20-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Green Bay Packers

Entered 4-5 Now 5-5 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 4-5 Now 4-6 L