Green Bay Packers vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2003 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-12-22, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Las Vegas Raiders, pulling away with a 41–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +32.73 total EPA.

On the individual side, B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +32.73 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+16.6% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (10:46) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 89-R.Ferguson to LV 24 for 47 yards (31-P.Buchanon).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Favre · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +32.73 total EPA · 31 snaps · +1.06 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Walker · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +12.74 total EPA · 4 snaps · +3.18 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Rice · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +8.89 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +8.15 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.72 EPA/play
5. 5 R. Ferguson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +8.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.69 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Fisher · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +4.02 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.02 EPA/play
7. 7 W. Walls · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.30 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Freeman · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.98 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.98 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — W. Walls (B. Favre pass) (Q1 54:25)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Walker (B. Favre pass) (Q1 50:23)
• Las Vegas Raiders — C. Garner (Q1 47:10)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Walker (B. Favre pass) (Q2 37:15)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Martin (B. Favre pass) (Q2 31:00)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Green (Q4 4:51)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — R. Longwell (Q2 41:38)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Longwell (Q3 28:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 16–7. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the LV 22 (Q1 54:25) — (9:25) 4-B.Favre pass to 85-W.Walls for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 54:18) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the GB 75 (Q1 53:20) — (8:20) 3-R.Mirer pass incomplete to 81-T.Brown.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the LV 23 (Q1 50:23) — (5:23) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 50:17) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the GB 57 (Q1 49:37) — (4:37) 47-T.Wheatley up the middle to LV 46 for 3 yards (59-N.Diggs).; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the GB 25 (Q1 47:10) — (2:10) 25-C.Garner up the middle for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 47:03) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 24–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the LV 13 (Q2 41:38) — (11:38) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the LV 43 (Q2 37:15) — (7:15) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 37:06) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the LV 6 (Q2 31:00) — (1:00) 4-B.Favre pass to 87-D.Martin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q2 30:54) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 50 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 3-R.Mirer spiked the ball to stop the clock..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the LV 9 (Q3 28:04) — (13:04) 8-R.Longwell 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the LV 7 (Q4 4:51) — (4:51) 30-A.Green left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 4:46) — 8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:46) — (10:46) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 89-R.Ferguson to LV 24 for 47 yards (31-P.Buchanon). [WPA +16.6% · EPA +4.75]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 43:40) — (13:40) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 80-D.Driver to LV 19 for 32 yards (22-T.Shaw, 21-N.Asomugha). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.93]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 54:25) — (9:25) 4-B.Favre pass to 85-W.Walls for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.9% · EPA +3.30]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:06) — (6:06) 4-B.Favre pass to 40-T.Fisher to LV 23 for 32 yards (22-T.Shaw). [WPA +6.8% · EPA +4.02]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:34) — (7:34) 4-B.Favre pass to 89-R.Ferguson pushed ob at LV 43 for 27 yards (31-P.Buchanon). Play Challenged by LV and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by LV.) [WPA +6.2% · EPA +2.47]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:46) — (10:46) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass to 89-R.Ferguson to LV 24 for 47 yards (31-P.Buchanon). [WPA +16.6% · EPA +4.75]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 25:12) — (10:12) 3-R.Mirer pass intended for 82-T.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-M.Hawthorne at GB -2. Touchback (82-T.Johnson). [WPA -0.3% · EPA -4.47]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 37:15) — (7:15) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.3% · EPA +4.39]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 51:06) — (6:06) 4-B.Favre pass to 40-T.Fisher to LV 23 for 32 yards (22-T.Shaw). [WPA +6.8% · EPA +4.02]

Quarterback report card

B.Favre led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• B.Favre (Green Bay Packers) · 31 dropbacks · 71.0% completion · +1.06 EPA/play · +32.73 total EPA
• R.Mirer (Las Vegas Raiders) · 26 dropbacks · 46.2% completion · -0.42 EPA/play · -10.84 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.35 vs -0.11), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Green Bay Packers: 13 drives, +30.80 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, -8.78 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Favre (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 54:25 · LV 22 · Score 6-0
   (9:25) 4-B.Favre pass to 85-W.Walls for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 54:18 · LV 2 · Score 7-0
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 53:20 · GB 75 · Score 7-0
   (8:20) 3-R.Mirer pass incomplete to 81-T.Brown.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 50:23 · LV 23 · Score 13-0
   (5:23) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 50:17 · LV 2 · Score 14-0
   8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
6. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 49:37 · GB 57 · Score 14-0
   (4:37) 47-T.Wheatley up the middle to LV 46 for 3 yards (59-N.Diggs).
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 47:10 · GB 25 · Score 14-6
   (2:10) 25-C.Garner up the middle for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 47:03 · GB 2 · Score 14-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-62-A.Treu, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
9. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 41:38 · LV 13 · Score 17-7
   (11:38) 8-R.Longwell 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 37:15 · LV 43 · Score 23-7
    (7:15) 4-B.Favre pass to 84-J.Walker for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 37:06 · LV 2 · Score 24-7
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 31:00 · LV 6 · Score 30-7
    (1:00) 4-B.Favre pass to 87-D.Martin for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:54 · LV 2 · Score 31-7
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+7) — Q2 30:10 · GB 50 · Score 31-7
    (:10) 3-R.Mirer spiked the ball to stop the clock.
15. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 28:04 · LV 9 · Score 34-7
    (13:04) 8-R.Longwell 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.
16. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 4:51 · LV 7 · Score 40-7
    (4:51) 30-A.Green left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 4:46 · LV 2 · Score 41-7
    8-R.Longwell extra point is GOOD, Center-60-R.Davis, Holder-18-D.Pederson.