Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 17 Recap

Game story

In Week 17 of the 2016 NFL season on 2017-01-01, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 31–24 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +18.91 total EPA, and +3.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.91 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+11.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (2:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 15-G.Tate pushed ob at GB 26 for 17 yards (36-L.Gunter) [56-J.Peppers].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +18.91 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +8.93 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Boldin · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.73 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
4. 4 G. Allison · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.54 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.09 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.00 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.83 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Cook · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.94 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Ebron · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.84 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Ripkowski · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +3.83 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — A. Ripkowski (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 40:54)
• Detroit Lions — Z. Zenner (Q2 35:03)
• Detroit Lions — G. Tate (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 30:26)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 24:27)
• Green Bay Packers — G. Allison (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 10:13)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 2:54)
• Detroit Lions — A. Boldin (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 0:22)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 30:03)
• Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 7:47)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 14–10. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 7 (Q2 40:54) — (10:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 22-A.Ripkowski for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 40:47) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 1 (Q2 35:03) — (5:03) 34-Z.Zenner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 35:00) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 3 (Q2 30:26) — (:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-G.Tate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q2 30:23) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the DET 35 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 3 (Q3 24:27); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q3 24:23) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–10. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 10 (Q4 10:13) — (10:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 81-G.Allison for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-E.Ansah].; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the GB 36 (Q4 7:47) — (7:47) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DET 9 (Q4 2:54) — (2:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers registered a safety from the DET 2 (Q4 2:50) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 17-D.Adams is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the GB 35 (Q4 0:22) — (:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 80-A.Boldin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 0:13) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Detroit Lions (Q1 47:36) — (2:36) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 15-G.Tate pushed ob at GB 26 for 17 yards (36-L.Gunter) [56-J.Peppers]. [WPA +11.9% · EPA +2.39]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 25:41) — (10:41) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson to DET 19 for 20 yards (54-D.Levy). Penalty on DET-54-D.Levy, Illegal Contact, declined. [WPA +9.7% · EPA +2.03]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 38:59) — (8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 13-T.Jones pushed ob at GB 34 for 35 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.72]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 13:32) — (13:32) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 81-G.Allison to DET 44 for 31 yards (41-C.Butler). [WPA +8.4% · EPA +2.24]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 16:00) — (1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones ran ob at DET 34 for 30 yards. GB-24-Q.Rollins was injured during the play. He is Out. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +2.88]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Detroit Lions (Q4 0:22) — (:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 80-A.Boldin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.2% · EPA +5.41]
• Detroit Lions (Q4 1:35) — (1:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left intended for 15-G.Tate INTERCEPTED by 33-M.Hyde at GB 0. Touchback. [WPA -0.6% · EPA -4.68]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 38:59) — (8:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 13-T.Jones pushed ob at GB 34 for 35 yards (21-H.Clinton-Dix). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +3.72]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 5-M.Prater 39 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin. [WPA -7.2% · EPA -3.64]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 50 dropbacks · 54.0% completion · +3.1% CPOE · +0.38 EPA/play · +18.91 total EPA
• M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 45 dropbacks · 57.8% completion · -1.7% CPOE · +0.20 EPA/play · +8.93 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs +0.08), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Detroit Lions: 10 drives, +6.56 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +18.30 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 40:54 · DET 7 · Score 6-0
   (10:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 22-A.Ripkowski for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 40:47 · DET 15 · Score 7-0
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
3. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 35:03 · GB 1 · Score 7-6
   (5:03) 34-Z.Zenner right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 35:00 · GB 15 · Score 7-7
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
5. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 30:26 · GB 3 · Score 7-13
   (:26) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 15-G.Tate for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 30:23 · GB 15 · Score 7-14
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · DET 35 · Score 10-14
   (:03) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:27 · DET 3 · Score 16-14
   (9:27) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN [27-G.Quin]. PENALTY on GB-17-D.Adams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, en
9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:23 · DET 15 · Score 17-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 10:13 · DET 10 · Score 23-14
    (10:13) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 81-G.Allison for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN [94-E.Ansah].
11. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 7:47 · GB 36 · Score 23-17
    (7:47) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 2:54 · DET 9 · Score 29-17
    (2:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers Safety (+2) — Q4 2:50 · DET 2 · Score 31-17
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 12-A.Rodgers pass to 17-D.Adams is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
14. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 0:22 · GB 35 · Score 31-23
    (:22) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle to 80-A.Boldin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 0:13 · GB 15 · Score 31-24
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.