Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears: 2014 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-09-28, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 38–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Cutler (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with -4.60 total EPA, and +2.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +24.49 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.7% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (7:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 19-J.Morgan INTERCEPTED by 52-C.Matthews (38-T.Williams) at GB 25. 52-C.Matthews pushed ob at CHI 35 for 40 yards (22-M.Forte).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +24.49 total EPA · 33 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +11.30 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.84 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +3.71 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.85 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Bennett · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.43 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Cutler · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +3.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
7. 7 M. Forte · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.04 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
8. 8 A. Jeffery · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — B. Marshall (J. Cutler pass) (Q1 51:35)
• Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q1 49:16)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 40:15)
• Chicago Bears — A. Jeffery (J. Cutler pass) (Q2 33:57)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 31:10)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 19:35)
• Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 29:56)

Field goals

• Chicago Bears — R. Gould (Q2 44:02)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 26:02)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 6 (Q1 51:35) — (6:35) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 15-B.Marshall for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [21-H.Clinton-Dix].; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q1 51:30) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 2 (Q1 49:16) — (4:16) (No Huddle) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q1 49:08) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–10. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 5 (Q2 44:02) — (14:02) 9-R.Gould 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 3 (Q2 40:15) — (10:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q2 40:11) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the GB 8 (Q2 33:57) — (3:57) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 17-A.Jeffery for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 33:50) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 22 (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 12 (Q2 31:03) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 16–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 35 (Q3 26:02) — (11:02) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 11 (Q3 19:35) — (4:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 2 (Q3 19:28) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 3 (Q3 29:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 2 (Q4 14:52) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Chicago Bears (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 19-J.Morgan INTERCEPTED by 52-C.Matthews (38-T.Williams) at GB 25. 52-C.Matthews pushed ob at CHI 35 for 40 yards (22-M.Forte). [WPA -22.7% · EPA -8.06]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 37:34) — (7:34) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 83-M.Bennett to GB 28 for 23 yards (42-M.Burnett). [WPA +13.3% · EPA +2.37]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 45:45) — (:45) 6-J.Cutler FUMBLES (Aborted) at GB 36, and recovers at GB 36. 6-J.Cutler to GB 20 for 16 yards. PENALTY on GB-37-S.Shields, Unnecessary Roughness, 10 yards, enforced at GB 20. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +2.69]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +3.77]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 42:44) — (12:44) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 87-J.Nelson to CHI 38 for 15 yards (21-R.Mundy). [WPA +12.5% · EPA +2.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Chicago Bears (Q3 16:48) — (1:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass deep right intended for 15-B.Marshall INTERCEPTED by 37-S.Shields at GB 27. 37-S.Shields pushed ob at CHI 11 for 62 yards (6-J.Cutler). [WPA -8.0% · EPA -8.20]
• Chicago Bears (Q3 22:39) — (7:39) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 19-J.Morgan INTERCEPTED by 52-C.Matthews (38-T.Williams) at GB 25. 52-C.Matthews pushed ob at CHI 35 for 40 yards (22-M.Forte). [WPA -22.7% · EPA -8.06]
• Green Bay Packers (Q4 8:34) — (8:34) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 18-R.Cobb pushed ob at CHI 2 for 46 yards (26-T.Jennings). CHI-99-L.Houston was injured during the play. His return is Questionable. [WPA +0.1% · EPA +3.83]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 31:10) — (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +12.9% · EPA +3.77]

Quarterback report card

J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Cutler (Chicago Bears) · 37 dropbacks · 59.5% completion · +2.2% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -4.60 total EPA
• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 33 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +19.5% CPOE · +0.74 EPA/play · +24.49 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Green Bay Packers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.38 vs -0.01), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Chicago Bears: 8 drives, -0.88 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 7 drives, +25.06 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 51:35 · GB 6 · Score 0-6
   (6:35) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short right to 15-B.Marshall for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN [21-H.Clinton-Dix].
2. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 51:30 · GB 2 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 49:16 · CHI 2 · Score 6-7
   (4:16) (No Huddle) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 49:08 · CHI 2 · Score 7-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
5. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 44:02 · GB 5 · Score 7-10
   (14:02) 9-R.Gould 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 40:15 · CHI 3 · Score 13-10
   (10:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 40:11 · CHI 2 · Score 14-10
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
8. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q2 33:57 · GB 8 · Score 14-16
   (3:57) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 17-A.Jeffery for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q2 33:50 · GB 2 · Score 14-17
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Cain, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 31:10 · CHI 22 · Score 20-17
    (1:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 18-R.Cobb for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 31:03 · CHI 12 · Score 21-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
12. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 26:02 · CHI 35 · Score 24-17
    (11:02) 2-M.Crosby 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
13. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 19:35 · CHI 11 · Score 30-17
    (4:35) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 87-J.Nelson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 19:28 · CHI 2 · Score 31-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
15. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 29:56 · CHI 3 · Score 37-17
    (14:56) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 18-R.Cobb for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Green Bay Packers TD (+7) — Q4 14:52 · CHI 2 · Score 38-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.