FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 26, 2021 · 11 min read

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2021 Week 16 Recap

Falcons defeat Lions 20–16 in Week 16

Kyle Pitts led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 16–20 Week 16 finish.

Detroit Lions 16 2–12
Final 16–20
Atlanta Falcons 20 7–8 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
16–20
Halftime
Tied 10–10 at halftime
Top passer
Tim Boyle
FantasyHQ MVP
Kyle Pitts
Game date
December 26, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • A.St.Brown +8.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Jack Fox
    Jack Fox 1/1 · 21 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact
  • KhaDarel Hodge
    KhaDarel Hodge 1 REC · 21 YDS +4.0 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Kyle Pitts
    Kyle Pitts 6 REC · 102 YDS +11.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 18/27 · 207 YDS · 1 TD +5.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Hayden Hurst
    Hayden Hurst 2 REC · 21 YDS · 1 TD +2.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Detroit Lions 20–16 in Week 16 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-26, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (-54.9% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-12-26, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 20–16 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Boyle (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +0.98 total EPA, and +1.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, K. Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-54.9% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle intended for 11-K.Raymond INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Oluokun [6-D.Fowler] at ATL 1. 54-F.Oluokun to ATL 7 for 6 yards.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Detroit Lions3733016
Atlanta Falcons01037020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 K. Pitts · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +10.97 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.83 EPA/play
  2. 2 A.St. Brown · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +8.69 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +5.66 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Fox · Detroit Lions · Passing · +3.98 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.98 EPA/play
  5. 5 K. Hodge · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.98 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.98 EPA/play
  6. 6 St. Brown · Detroit Lions · Rushing · +2.81 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
  7. 7 H. Hurst · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Williams · Detroit Lions · Rushing · +1.38 total EPA · 19 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

K. Pitts — ATL · Receiving

K. Pitts posted the highest total EPA (+10.97) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.83 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.88 EPA) came from Detroit Lions: (:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle intended for 11-K.Raymond INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Oluokun [6-D.Fowler] at ATL 1. 54-F.Oluokun to ATL 7 for 6 yards.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — C. Patterson (Q2 41:00)
  • Detroit Lions — A. St (T. Boyle pass) (Q2 33:54)
  • Atlanta Falcons — H. Hurst (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 13:10)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — R. Patterson (Q1 48:28)
  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q2 31:09)
  • Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo (Q3 25:15)
  • Detroit Lions — R. Patterson (Q3 18:11)
  • Detroit Lions — R. Patterson (Q4 2:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 3–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 8 (Q1 48:28) — (3:28) 6-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the DET 6 (Q2 41:00) — (11:00) 84-C.Patterson left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 40:53) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ATL 20 (Q2 33:54) — (3:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 33:44) — 6-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the DET 35 (Q2 31:09) — (1:09) 7-Y.Koo 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the DET 30 (Q3 25:15) — (10:15) 7-Y.Koo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 19 (Q3 18:11) — (3:11) 6-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the DET 12 (Q4 13:10) — (13:10) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-H.Hurst for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q4 13:04) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 8 (Q4 2:42) — (2:42) 6-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:39) — (:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle intended for 11-K.Raymond INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Oluokun [6-D.Fowler] at ATL 1. 54-F.Oluokun to ATL 7 for 6 yards. [WPA -54.9% · EPA -4.88]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 35:31) — (5:31) (Punt formation) 3-J.Fox pass short right to 18-K.Hodge to ATL 24 for 21 yards (34-D.Hall; 35-A.Williams). [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.98]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:28) — (2:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-R.Gage to ATL 32 for 4 yards (44-J.Reeves-Maybin). FUMBLES (44-J.Reeves-Maybin), RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Marlowe at ATL 37. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -3.46]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 1:18) — (1:18) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle to 89-B.Wright to ATL 24 for 5 yards (45-D.Jones). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +0.55]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 13:10) — (13:10) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-H.Hurst for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.3% · EPA +1.76]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:39) — (:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle intended for 11-K.Raymond INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Oluokun [6-D.Fowler] at ATL 1. 54-F.Oluokun to ATL 7 for 6 yards. [WPA -54.9% · EPA -4.88]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 35:31) — (5:31) (Punt formation) 3-J.Fox pass short right to 18-K.Hodge to ATL 24 for 21 yards (34-D.Hall; 35-A.Williams). [WPA +16.0% · EPA +3.98]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 33:54) — (3:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.48]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:28) — (2:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-R.Gage to ATL 32 for 4 yards (44-J.Reeves-Maybin). FUMBLES (44-J.Reeves-Maybin), RECOVERED by DET-31-D.Marlowe at ATL 37. [WPA -15.8% · EPA -3.46]

Quarterback report card

T.Boyle led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Boyle (Detroit Lions) · 34 dropbacks · 70.6% completion · +1.2% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.98 total EPA
  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 27 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +9.0% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +5.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDetroit LionsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.028+0.084
Offensive success rate41.9%42.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.142+0.210
Rush EPA/play+0.025-0.210
Defensive EPA/play-0.084-0.028
Defensive success rate57.6%58.1%

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs +0.03), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 8 drives, +4.94 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Detroit Lions: 8 drives, +2.44 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • K. Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q1 48:28 · ATL 8 · Score 3-0
    (3:28) 6-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  2. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 41:00 · DET 6 · Score 3-6
    (11:00) 84-C.Patterson left end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:53 · DET 15 · Score 3-7
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  4. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 33:54 · ATL 20 · Score 9-7
    (3:54) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short right to 14-A.St. Brown for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 33:44 · ATL 15 · Score 10-7
    6-R.Patterson extra point is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  6. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 31:09 · DET 35 · Score 10-10
    (1:09) 7-Y.Koo 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 25:15 · DET 30 · Score 10-13
    (10:15) 7-Y.Koo 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  8. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 18:11 · ATL 19 · Score 13-13
    (3:11) 6-R.Patterson 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 13:10 · DET 12 · Score 13-19
    (13:10) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-H.Hurst for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 13:04 · DET 15 · Score 13-20
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.
  11. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 2:42 · ATL 8 · Score 16-20
    (2:42) 6-R.Patterson 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-S.Daly, Holder-3-J.Fox.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Detroit Lions 20-16 in Week 16, 2021 on 2021-12-26.

What was the final score of Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Detroit Lions 16, Atlanta Falcons 20 (DET 16-20 ATL) in Week 16, 2021 on 2021-12-26.

What was the score by quarter in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Detroit Lions 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q2: Detroit Lions 7, Atlanta Falcons 10; Q3: Detroit Lions 3, Atlanta Falcons 3; Q4: Detroit Lions 3, Atlanta Falcons 7; Final: Detroit Lions 16, Atlanta Falcons 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Patterson (Q2 41:00) Detroit Lions touchdown — A. St (T. Boyle pass) (Q2 33:54) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — H. Hurst (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 13:10) Detroit Lions field goal — R. Patterson (Q1 48:28, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 31:09, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q3 25:15, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — R. Patterson (Q3 18:11, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — R. Patterson (Q4 2:42, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

T. Boyle (Detroit Lions), 70.6% completion, +1.2% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.98 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 66.7% completion, +9.0% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +5.66 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

K. Pitts (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +10.97 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.88 EPA): (:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Boyle pass short middle intended for 11-K.Raymond INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Oluokun [6-D.Fowler] at ATL 1. 54-F.Oluokun to ATL 7 for 6 yards.. The biggest win-probability swing was -54.9%.

Was Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 4 points. Atlanta Falcons won 20-16 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Detroit Lions

Entered 2-11 Now 2-12 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 6-8 Now 7-8 W