FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 25, 2020 · 11 min read

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2020 Week 7 Recap

Lions defeat Falcons 23–22 in Week 7

Matthew Stafford led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 23–22 Week 7 finish.

Detroit Lions 23 3–3 Winner
Final 23–22
Atlanta Falcons 22 1–6
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
23–22
Halftime
Detroit Lions 10–14 Atlanta Falcons
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Matthew Stafford
Game date
October 25, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 25/36 · 330 YDS · 1 TD +14.4 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Golladay 6 REC · 114 YDS +6.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 5 REC · 80 YDS +6.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 31/48 · 324 YDS · 2 TD +12.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Hayden Hurst
    Hayden Hurst 6 REC · 68 YDS +8.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 8 REC · 97 YDS +6.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Atlanta Falcons 23–22 in Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-25, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+40.1% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-10-25, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 23–22 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 18 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +12.53 total EPA, and +8.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.42 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+40.1% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 88-T.Hockenson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-80-D.Amendola, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Detroit Lions73310023
Atlanta Falcons01408022

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +14.42 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +12.53 total EPA · 48 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  3. 3 H. Hurst · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +8.50 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.21 EPA/play
  4. 4 K. Golladay · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.88 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.63 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
  6. 6 C. Ridley · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.47 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.30 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
  8. 8 T. Hockenson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +4.24 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Stafford — DET · Passing

M. Stafford posted the highest total EPA (+14.42) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 36 counted snaps, they averaged +0.40 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.33 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (5:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -9 yards (95-R.Okwara). FUMBLES (95-R.Okwara) [95-R.Okwara], RECOVERED by DET-90-T.Flowers at ATL 36. 90-T.Flowers to ATL 32 for 4 yards (77-J.Carpenter).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — D. Swift (Q1 49:21)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gurley (Q2 40:59)
  • Atlanta Falcons — C. Ridley (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 30:34)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gurley (Q4 1:12)
  • Detroit Lions — T. Hockenson (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 0:02)

Field goals

  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q2 30:03)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q3 22:40)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q4 3:21)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–0. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q1 49:21) — (4:21) 32-D.Swift left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 49:16) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the DET 1 (Q2 40:59) — (10:59) 21-T.Gurley right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 40:55) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the DET 4 (Q2 30:34) — (:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 18-C.Ridley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q2 30:29) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.; Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 32 (Q2 30:03) — (:03) 5-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The third quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 3–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 33 (Q3 22:40) — (7:40) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox..

The fourth quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 10–8. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the ATL 31 (Q4 3:21) — (3:21) 5-M.Prater 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the DET 10 (Q4 1:12) — (1:12) 21-T.Gurley left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons registered a safety from the DET 2 (Q4 1:04) — (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-M.Ryan pass to 18-C.Ridley is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q4 0:02); Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ATL 30 (Q4 0:00) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox. Penalty on ATL, Illegal Formation, declined..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 88-T.Hockenson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-80-D.Amendola, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +40.1% · EPA +4.68]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 5:39) — (5:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -9 yards (95-R.Okwara). FUMBLES (95-R.Okwara) [95-R.Okwara], RECOVERED by DET-90-T.Flowers at ATL 36. 90-T.Flowers to ATL 32 for 4 yards (77-J.Carpenter) [WPA -33.2% · EPA -5.33]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:00) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox. Penalty on ATL, Illegal Formation, declined. [WPA +28.5% · EPA +0.24]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 7:37) — (7:37) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox. [WPA -27.8% · EPA -4.13]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:19) — (:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 19-K.Golladay to ATL 11 for 29 yards (22-K.Neal). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the fie [WPA +15.7% · EPA +1.11]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 5:39) — (5:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -9 yards (95-R.Okwara). FUMBLES (95-R.Okwara) [95-R.Okwara], RECOVERED by DET-90-T.Flowers at ATL 36. 90-T.Flowers to ATL 32 for 4 yards (77-J.Carpenter) [WPA -33.2% · EPA -5.33]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 0:02) — (:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 88-T.Hockenson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-80-D.Amendola, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +40.1% · EPA +4.68]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 7:37) — (7:37) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox. [WPA -27.8% · EPA -4.13]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 38:53) — (8:53) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 80-D.Amendola to ATL 23 for 36 yards (26-I.Oliver) [97-G.Jarrett]. PENALTY on ATL-97-G.Jarrett, Roughing the Passer, 12 yards, enforced at ATL 23. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +3.80]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 48 dropbacks · 64.6% completion · +8.1% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +12.53 total EPA
  • M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 36 dropbacks · 69.4% completion · +13.3% CPOE · +0.40 EPA/play · +14.42 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDetroit LionsAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play+0.092+0.035
Offensive success rate44.7%44.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.401+0.261
Rush EPA/play-0.286-0.230
Defensive EPA/play-0.035-0.092
Defensive success rate55.7%55.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Detroit Lions generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +3.06 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Detroit Lions: 10 drives, +6.98 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Stafford (DET) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 49:21 · ATL 3 · Score 6-0
    (4:21) 32-D.Swift left guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 49:16 · ATL 15 · Score 7-0
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 40:59 · DET 1 · Score 7-6
    (10:59) 21-T.Gurley right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 40:55 · DET 15 · Score 7-7
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
  5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:34 · DET 4 · Score 7-13
    (:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 18-C.Ridley for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:29 · DET 15 · Score 7-14
    7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-4-S.Hofrichter.
  7. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 30:03 · ATL 32 · Score 10-14
    (:03) 5-M.Prater 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  8. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 22:40 · ATL 33 · Score 13-14
    (7:40) 5-M.Prater 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  9. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q4 3:21 · ATL 31 · Score 16-14
    (3:21) 5-M.Prater 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox.
  10. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 1:12 · DET 10 · Score 16-20
    (1:12) 21-T.Gurley left guard for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Atlanta Falcons Safety (+2) — Q4 1:04 · DET 2 · Score 16-22
    (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-M.Ryan pass to 18-C.Ridley is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
  12. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 0:02 · ATL 11 · Score 22-22
    (:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 88-T.Hockenson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-80-D.Amendola, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforce
  13. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 0:00 · ATL 30 · Score 23-22
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-3-J.Fox. Penalty on ATL, Illegal Formation, declined.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Detroit Lions beat the Atlanta Falcons 23-22 in Week 7, 2020 on 2020-10-25.

What was the final score of Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Detroit Lions 23, Atlanta Falcons 22 (DET 23-22 ATL) in Week 7, 2020 on 2020-10-25.

What was the score by quarter in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Detroit Lions 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q2: Detroit Lions 3, Atlanta Falcons 14; Q3: Detroit Lions 3, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q4: Detroit Lions 10, Atlanta Falcons 8; Final: Detroit Lions 23, Atlanta Falcons 22.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

Detroit Lions touchdown — D. Swift (Q1 49:21) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gurley (Q2 40:59) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Ridley (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 30:34) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gurley (Q4 1:12) Detroit Lions touchdown — T. Hockenson (M. Stafford pass) (Q4 0:02) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q2 30:03, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q3 22:40, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q4 3:21, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 64.6% completion, +8.1% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +12.53 total passing EPA. M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 69.4% completion, +13.3% CPOE, +0.40 EPA per dropback, +14.42 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +14.42 on passing plays. across 36 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.33 EPA): (5:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 39 for -9 yards (95-R.Okwara). FUMBLES (95-R.Okwara) [95-R.Okwara], RECOVERED by DET-90-T.Flowers at ATL 36. 90-T.Flowers to ATL 32 for 4 ya. The biggest win-probability swing was +40.1%.

Was Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons a close game?

Yes — the margin was 1 points. Detroit Lions won 23-22 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Detroit Lions

Entered 2-3 Now 3-3 W

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 1-5 Now 1-6 L