Detroit Lions vs. Arizona Cardinals: 2007 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-11-11, the Arizona Cardinals took care of business against the Detroit Lions, pulling away with a 31–21 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Kitna (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +0.81 total EPA, and +8.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Fitzgerald (Arizona Cardinals) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.14 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.5% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Arizona Cardinals changed the game: (11:24) 13-K.Warner pass deep middle intended for 11-L.Fitzgerald INTERCEPTED by 26-K.Kennedy at DET 37. 26-K.Kennedy to ARI 25 for 38 yards (13-K.Warner).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 L. Fitzgerald · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +9.14 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
2. 2 M. Furrey · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.30 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.26 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Williams · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +6.25 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
4. 4 S. McDonald · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.25 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Johnson · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +4.03 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Boldin · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.24 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.08 EPA/play
7. 7 Bry. Johnson · Arizona Cardinals · Receiving · +3.14 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Fitzsimmons · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +2.04 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Detroit Lions — K. Jones (Q1 55:34)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Fitzgerald (K. Warner pass) (Q2 37:04)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Pope (T. Rattay pass) (Q2 31:01)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Pope (K. Warner pass) (Q3 22:37)
• Detroit Lions — R. Williams (J. Kitna pass) (Q3 17:58)
• Arizona Cardinals — L. Fitzgerald (K. Warner pass) (Q4 13:37)
• Detroit Lions — R. Williams (J. Kitna pass) (Q4 1:22)

Field goals

• Arizona Cardinals — N. Rackers (Q1 47:52)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 7–3. Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ARI 4 (Q1 55:34) — (10:34) 34-K.Jones left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q1 55:29) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.; Arizona Cardinals connected on a field goal from the DET 5 (Q1 47:52) — (2:52) 1-N.Rackers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr..

The second quarter: Arizona Cardinals won the period 14–0. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the DET 1 (Q2 37:04) — (7:04) 13-K.Warner pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q2 37:00) — 1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.; Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the DET 2 (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) 12-T.Rattay pass short left to 82-L.Pope for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q2 30:18) — 1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the DET 16 (Q3 22:37) — (7:37) 13-K.Warner pass deep middle to 82-L.Pope for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q3 22:31) — 1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ARI 7 (Q3 17:58) — (2:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short left to 11-R.Williams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q3 17:52) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Arizona Cardinals found the end zone from the DET 20 (Q4 13:37) — (13:37) 13-K.Warner pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Arizona Cardinals added 1 points from the DET 2 (Q4 13:23); Detroit Lions found the end zone from the ARI 7 (Q4 1:22); Detroit Lions added 1 points from the ARI 2 (Q4 1:15) — 4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Arizona Cardinals (Q1 56:24) — (11:24) 13-K.Warner pass deep middle intended for 11-L.Fitzgerald INTERCEPTED by 26-K.Kennedy at DET 37. 26-K.Kennedy to ARI 25 for 38 yards (13-K.Warner). [WPA -17.5% · EPA -6.49]
• Detroit Lions (Q2 39:19) — (9:19) 2-N.Harris punts 40 yards to ARI 41, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 15-S.Breaston to DET 13 for 46 yards (21-T.Fisher, 54-T.Lehman). [WPA -14.1% · EPA -3.12]
• Detroit Lions (Q3 25:06) — (10:06) 84-S.McDonald right end to ARI 41 for -15 yards (58-K.Dansby). FUMBLES (58-K.Dansby), RECOVERED by ARI-94-A.Smith at ARI 41. 94-A.Smith to ARI 49 for 8 yards (49-S.McHugh). Detroit challenged [WPA -12.3% · EPA -7.00]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 50:54) — (5:54) 8-J.Kitna pass short middle intended for 40-J.Bradley INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Dansby [90-D.Dockett] at DET 22. 58-K.Dansby to DET 13 for 9 yards (66-S.Peterman). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -5.51]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q1 50:00) — (5:00) (Shotgun) 13-K.Warner pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald to DET 2 for 9 yards [53-P.Lenon]. [WPA +8.0% · EPA +2.36]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Detroit Lions (Q3 25:06) — (10:06) 84-S.McDonald right end to ARI 41 for -15 yards (58-K.Dansby). FUMBLES (58-K.Dansby), RECOVERED by ARI-94-A.Smith at ARI 41. 94-A.Smith to ARI 49 for 8 yards (49-S.McHugh). Detroit challenged [WPA -12.3% · EPA -7.00]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q1 56:24) — (11:24) 13-K.Warner pass deep middle intended for 11-L.Fitzgerald INTERCEPTED by 26-K.Kennedy at DET 37. 26-K.Kennedy to ARI 25 for 38 yards (13-K.Warner). [WPA -17.5% · EPA -6.49]
• Arizona Cardinals (Q4 11:06) — (11:06) 13-K.Warner pass short middle to 82-L.Pope to DET 12 for 9 yards (50-E.Sims). FUMBLES (50-E.Sims), RECOVERED by DET-78-C.Redding at DET 8. 78-C.Redding pushed ob at DET 35 for 27 yards (69-M.G [WPA -1.6% · EPA -5.83]
• Detroit Lions (Q1 50:54) — (5:54) 8-J.Kitna pass short middle intended for 40-J.Bradley INTERCEPTED by 58-K.Dansby [90-D.Dockett] at DET 22. 58-K.Dansby to DET 13 for 9 yards (66-S.Peterman). [WPA -12.0% · EPA -5.51]

Quarterback report card

J.Kitna led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Kitna (Detroit Lions) · 50 dropbacks · 64.0% completion · +8.1% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.81 total EPA
• K.Warner (Arizona Cardinals) · 39 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +8.7% CPOE · -0.00 EPA/play · -0.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Arizona Cardinals held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.16 vs -0.30), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Arizona Cardinals: 14 drives, -13.77 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Detroit Lions: 14 drives, -22.81 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Arizona Cardinals leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• L. Fitzgerald (Arizona Cardinals) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Kitna (DET) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• K. Warner (ARI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q1 55:34 · ARI 4 · Score 6-0
   (10:34) 34-K.Jones left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q1 55:29 · ARI 2 · Score 7-0
   4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
3. Arizona Cardinals FG (+3) — Q1 47:52 · DET 5 · Score 7-3
   (2:52) 1-N.Rackers 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.
4. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 37:04 · DET 1 · Score 7-9
   (7:04) 13-K.Warner pass short left to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 37:00 · DET 2 · Score 7-10
   1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.
6. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q2 31:01 · DET 2 · Score 7-16
   (1:01) 12-T.Rattay pass short left to 82-L.Pope for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q2 30:18 · DET 2 · Score 7-17
   1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.
8. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q3 22:37 · DET 16 · Score 7-23
   (7:37) 13-K.Warner pass deep middle to 82-L.Pope for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q3 22:31 · DET 2 · Score 7-24
   1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr.
10. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q3 17:58 · ARI 7 · Score 13-24
    (2:58) 8-J.Kitna pass short left to 11-R.Williams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q3 17:52 · ARI 2 · Score 14-24
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.
12. Arizona Cardinals TD (+6) — Q4 13:37 · DET 20 · Score 14-30
    (13:37) 13-K.Warner pass short middle to 11-L.Fitzgerald for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Arizona Cardinals XP (+1) — Q4 13:23 · DET 2 · Score 14-31
    1-N.Rackers extra point is GOOD, Center-48-N.Hodel, Holder-5-M.Barr. PENALTY on DET-82-C.Fitzsimmons, Defensive 12 On-field, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
14. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 1:22 · ARI 7 · Score 20-31
    (1:22) (Shotgun) 8-J.Kitna pass short left to 11-R.Williams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-11-R.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced be
15. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 1:15 · ARI 2 · Score 21-31
    4-J.Hanson extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.