FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 11, 2016 · 10 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Tennessee Titans: 2016 Week 14 Recap

Titans defeat Broncos 13–10 in Week 14

Eli Sanders led Fantasy Impact as Titans prevailed in a 10–13 Week 14 finish.

Denver Broncos 10 8–5
Final 10–13
Tennessee Titans 13 7–6 Winner
Winner
Tennessee Titans
Final score
10–13
Halftime
Denver Broncos 0–26 Tennessee Titans
Top passer
Trevor Siemian
FantasyHQ MVP
Eli Sanders
Game date
December 11, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Eli Sanders 11 REC · 100 YDS · 1 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Drake Thomas
    Drake Thomas 10 REC · 126 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Riley Dixon
    Riley Dixon 1/1 · 16 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Titans

  • D.Murray 21 CAR · 92 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Fasano 1 REC · 17 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Devontez Walker
    Devontez Walker 1 CAR · 8 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tennessee Titans defeated the Denver Broncos 13–10 in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-25.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the Tennessee Titans took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 13–10 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Siemian (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -3.37 total EPA, and +10.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, E. Sanders (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.33 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-25.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (1:04) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 83-A.Derby to DEN 41 for 12 yards (54-A.Williamson). FUMBLES (54-A.Williamson), RECOVERED by TEN-24-D.Stafford at DEN 40. 24-D.Stafford to DEN 40 for

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Denver Broncos00100010
Tennessee Titans101600013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.33 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.16 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Murray · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +4.21 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  4. 4 R. Dixon · Denver Broncos · Passing · +3.53 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.53 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Latimer · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.11 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Fasano · Tennessee Titans · Receiving · +1.38 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.69 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Walker · Tennessee Titans · Rushing · +0.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Forsett · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +0.50 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

E. Sanders — DEN · Receiving

E. Sanders posted the highest total EPA (+5.33) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 14 counted snaps, they averaged +0.38 EPA per play.

The signature play (-4.26 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (6:58) 20-J.Forsett left guard to DEN 38 for 9 yards (25-R.Johnson). FUMBLES (25-R.Johnson), RECOVERED by TEN-30-J.McCourty at DEN 40. 30-J.McCourty to DEN 40 for no gain (76-M.Garcia).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tennessee Titans — D. Murray (Q1 52:33)
  • Denver Broncos — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 10:04)

Field goals

  • Tennessee Titans — R. Succop (Q1 50:53)
  • Tennessee Titans — R. Succop (Q2 31:32)
  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q4 4:33)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 10–0. Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the DEN 1 (Q1 52:33) — (7:33) 29-D.Murray left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tennessee Titans added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 52:29) — 4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the DEN 35 (Q1 50:53) — (5:53) 4-R.Succop 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern..

The second quarter: Tennessee Titans won the period 16–0. Tennessee Titans connected on a field goal from the DEN 23 (Q2 31:32) — (1:32) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.; Tennessee Titans found the end zone from the TEN 75 (Q2 31:27).

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 10–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TEN 3 (Q4 10:04); Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TEN 15 (Q4 9:58) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-45-T.Gafford, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TEN 16 (Q4 4:33) — (4:33) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-T.Gafford, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (Q4 1:04) — (1:04) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 83-A.Derby to DEN 41 for 12 yards (54-A.Williamson). FUMBLES (54-A.Williamson), RECOVERED by TEN-24-D.Stafford at DEN 40. 24-D.Stafford to DEN 40 for [WPA -25.6% · EPA -3.25]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 6:14) — (6:14) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to TEN 7 for 13 yards (30-J.McCourty). [WPA +13.6% · EPA +2.32]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian sacked at TEN 16 for -9 yards (52-A.Wallace). [WPA -10.7% · EPA -1.64]
  • Tennessee Titans (Q1 55:45) — (10:45) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 82-D.Walker pushed ob at DEN 20 for 23 yards (31-J.Simmons). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +2.34]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 7:29) — (7:29) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 10-E.Sanders pushed ob at TEN 18 for 10 yards (30-J.McCourty). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +0.94]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q1 51:58) — (6:58) 20-J.Forsett left guard to DEN 38 for 9 yards (25-R.Johnson). FUMBLES (25-R.Johnson), RECOVERED by TEN-30-J.McCourty at DEN 40. 30-J.McCourty to DEN 40 for no gain (76-M.Garcia). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -4.26]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 19:35) — (4:35) (Punt formation) 9-R.Dixon pass short left to 14-C.Latimer pushed ob at TEN 49 for 16 yards (47-A.Blake). [WPA +2.8% · EPA +3.53]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 1:04) — (1:04) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 83-A.Derby to DEN 41 for 12 yards (54-A.Williamson). FUMBLES (54-A.Williamson), RECOVERED by TEN-24-D.Stafford at DEN 40. 24-D.Stafford to DEN 40 for [WPA -25.6% · EPA -3.25]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 59:16) — (14:16) 13-T.Siemian sacked at DEN 28 for -6 yards (91-D.Morgan). [WPA -7.4% · EPA -2.96]

Quarterback report card

T.Siemian led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Siemian (Denver Broncos) · 56 dropbacks · 62.5% completion · +10.3% CPOE · -0.06 EPA/play · -3.37 total EPA
  • M.Mariota (Tennessee Titans) · 26 dropbacks · 23.1% completion · -26.3% CPOE · -0.45 EPA/play · -11.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosTennessee Titans
Offensive EPA/play-0.146-0.108
Offensive success rate40.5%39.0%
Pass EPA/play+0.003-0.449
Rush EPA/play-1.128+0.105
Defensive EPA/play+0.108+0.146
Defensive success rate61.0%59.5%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Denver Broncos -0.15, Tennessee Titans -0.11) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Denver Broncos: 11 drives, -11.52 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Tennessee Titans: 11 drives, -8.85 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tennessee Titans leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • E. Sanders (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Siemian (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Mariota (TEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tennessee Titans TD (+6) — Q1 52:33 · DEN 1 · Score 0-6
    (7:33) 29-D.Murray left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Tennessee Titans XP (+1) — Q1 52:29 · DEN 15 · Score 0-7
    4-R.Succop extra point is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  3. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q1 50:53 · DEN 35 · Score 0-10
    (5:53) 4-R.Succop 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  4. Tennessee Titans FG (+3) — Q2 31:32 · DEN 23 · Score 0-13
    (1:32) (Field Goal formation) 4-R.Succop 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
  5. Tennessee Titans TD (+13) — Q2 31:27 · TEN 75 · Score 0-13
    (1:27) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short right to 23-D.Booker to DEN 29 for 4 yards (98-B.Orakpo). TEN-91-D.Morgan was injured during the play. His return is Qu
  6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 10:04 · TEN 3 · Score 6-13
    (10:04) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 10-E.Sanders for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DEN-10-E.Sanders, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced
  7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 9:58 · TEN 15 · Score 7-13
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-45-T.Gafford, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  8. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 4:33 · TEN 16 · Score 10-13
    (4:33) (Field Goal formation) 8-B.McManus 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-45-T.Gafford, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

The Tennessee Titans beat the Denver Broncos 13-10 in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

The final score was Denver Broncos 10, Tennessee Titans 13 (DEN 10-13 TEN) in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

Q1: Denver Broncos 0, Tennessee Titans 10; Q2: Denver Broncos 0, Tennessee Titans 16; Q4: Denver Broncos 10, Tennessee Titans 0; Final: Denver Broncos 10, Tennessee Titans 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

Tennessee Titans touchdown — D. Murray (Q1 52:33) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 10:04) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Succop (Q1 50:53, 3 pts) Tennessee Titans field goal — R. Succop (Q2 31:32, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q4 4:33, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

T. Siemian (Denver Broncos), 62.5% completion, +10.3% CPOE, -0.06 EPA per dropback, -3.37 total passing EPA. M. Mariota (Tennessee Titans), 23.1% completion, -26.3% CPOE, -0.45 EPA per dropback, -11.66 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans?

E. Sanders (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +5.33 on receiving plays. across 14 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-4.26 EPA): (6:58) 20-J.Forsett left guard to DEN 38 for 9 yards (25-R.Johnson). FUMBLES (25-R.Johnson), RECOVERED by TEN-30-J.McCourty at DEN 40. 30-J.McCourty to DEN 40 for no gain (76-M.Gar. The biggest win-probability swing was -25.6%.

Was Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tennessee Titans won 13-10 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 8-4 Now 8-5 L

Tennessee Titans

Entered 6-6 Now 7-6 W