FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 22, 2024 · 10 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2024 Week 3 Recap

Broncos defeat Buccaneers 26–7 in Week 3

Bo Nix led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 26–7 Week 3 finish.

Denver Broncos 26 1–2 Winner
Final 26–7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 2–1
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
26–7
Halftime
Denver Broncos 20–7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Bo Nix
FantasyHQ MVP
Bo Nix
Game date
September 22, 2024

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Bo Nix
    Bo Nix 25/43 · 246 YDS · 1 TD +6.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Josh Reynolds
    Josh Reynolds 2 REC · 36 YDS +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Joshua Williams
    Joshua Williams 4 REC · 29 YDS +1.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Bucky Irving
    Bucky Irving 9 CAR · 70 YDS +3.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Payne Durham
    Payne Durham 1 REC · 8 YDS +0.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Chris Godwin
    Chris Godwin 6 REC · 53 YDS · 1 TD +0.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26–7 in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-09-22, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-15.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on 2024-09-22, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 26–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

B. Nix (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +6.62 total EPA, and +4.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Nix (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.62 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (5:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at TB 46. 22-B.Jones to TB 9 for 37 yards (78-T.Wirfs; 1-R.White).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Denver Broncos14660026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers070007

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Nix · Denver Broncos · Passing · +6.62 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  2. 2 B. Irving · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +3.33 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  3. 3 J. Reynolds · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.45 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
  4. 4 B. Nix · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +2.05 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Williams · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.38 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.34 EPA/play
  6. 6 T. Badie · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +1.12 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  7. 7 B. Irving · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.97 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. McLaughlin · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +0.94 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Nix — DEN · Passing

B. Nix posted the highest total EPA (+6.62) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.15 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.89 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (5:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at TB 46. 22-B.Jones to TB 9 for 37 yards (78-T.Wirfs; 1-R.White).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Denver Broncos — B. Nix (Q1 56:11)
  • Denver Broncos — J. McLaughlin (Q1 48:02)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Godwin (B. Mayfield pass) (Q2 31:54)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q2 39:29)
  • Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q2 30:06)
  • Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q4 14:55)
  • Denver Broncos — W. Lutz (Q4 7:35)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TB 3 (Q1 56:11) — (11:11) 10-B.Nix scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 56:05) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q1 48:02) — (3:02) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 47:56) — 3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 7–6. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q2 39:29) — (9:29) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the DEN 5 (Q2 31:54) — (1:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 31:50) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 20 (Q2 30:06) — (:06) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 6–0. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q4 14:55) — (14:55) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the TB 25 (Q4 7:35) — (7:35) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:25) — (5:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at TB 46. 22-B.Jones to TB 9 for 37 yards (78-T.Wirfs; 1-R.White). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -5.89]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 58:47) — (13:47) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep right to 11-J.Reynolds to TB 11 for 31 yards (27-Z.McCollum). [WPA +10.6% · EPA +2.15]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 34:42) — (4:42) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 33-J.Williams left tackle to TB 35 for 5 yards (3-J.Whitehead). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 79-M.P [WPA -6.0% · EPA -4.47]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass deep left to 14-C.Sutton to TB 48 for 22 yards (35-J.Dean). [WPA +4.7% · EPA +1.56]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 48:02) — (3:02) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.8% · EPA +2.66]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 50:25) — (5:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at TB 46. 22-B.Jones to TB 9 for 37 yards (78-T.Wirfs; 1-R.White). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -5.89]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:49) — (3:49) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-C.Otton to DEN 10 for 6 yards (21-R.Moss; 29-J.McMillian). FUMBLES (21-R.Moss), RECOVERED by DEN-22-B.Jones at DEN 13. 22-B.Jones to DEN [WPA -0.2% · EPA -5.10]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 34:42) — (4:42) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 33-J.Williams left tackle to TB 35 for 5 yards (3-J.Whitehead). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 79-M.P [WPA -6.0% · EPA -4.47]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 9:59) — (9:59) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at DEN 25 for 0 yards (15-N.Bonitto). [WPA -1.8% · EPA -3.27]

Quarterback report card

B.Nix led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • B.Nix (Denver Broncos) · 43 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +4.9% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +6.62 total EPA
  • B.Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 41 dropbacks · 61.0% completion · +3.9% CPOE · -0.53 EPA/play · -21.56 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play+0.089-0.268
Offensive success rate56.8%48.6%
Pass EPA/play+0.154-0.526
Rush EPA/play-0.020+0.126
Defensive EPA/play+0.268-0.089
Defensive success rate51.4%43.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.09 vs -0.27), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Denver Broncos: 10 drives, +7.23 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -18.76 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • B. Nix (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Nix (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • B. Mayfield (TB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 56:11 · TB 3 · Score 6-0
    (11:11) 10-B.Nix scrambles right end for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 56:05 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 48:02 · TB 1 · Score 13-0
    (3:02) 79-M.Peart reported in as eligible. 38-J.McLaughlin right end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 47:56 · TB 15 · Score 14-0
    3-W.Lutz extra point is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  5. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 39:29 · TB 25 · Score 17-0
    (9:29) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 31:54 · DEN 5 · Score 17-6
    (1:54) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 14-C.Godwin for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 31:50 · DEN 15 · Score 17-7
    4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-86-E.Deckers, Holder-5-J.Camarda.
  8. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q2 30:06 · TB 20 · Score 20-7
    (:06) 3-W.Lutz 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  9. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 14:55 · TB 15 · Score 23-7
    (14:55) 3-W.Lutz 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  10. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q4 7:35 · TB 25 · Score 26-7
    (7:35) 3-W.Lutz 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Denver Broncos beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7 in Week 3, 2024 on 2024-09-22.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Denver Broncos 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7 (DEN 26-7 TB) in Week 3, 2024 on 2024-09-22.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Denver Broncos 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q2: Denver Broncos 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Denver Broncos 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Denver Broncos 26, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Denver Broncos touchdown — B. Nix (Q1 56:11) Denver Broncos touchdown — J. McLaughlin (Q1 48:02) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — C. Godwin (B. Mayfield pass) (Q2 31:54) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 39:29, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q2 30:06, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q4 14:55, 3 pts) Denver Broncos field goal — W. Lutz (Q4 7:35, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

B. Nix (Denver Broncos), 58.1% completion, +4.9% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +6.62 total passing EPA. B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 61.0% completion, +3.9% CPOE, -0.53 EPA per dropback, -21.56 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

B. Nix (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +6.62 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.89 EPA): (5:25) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-B.Jones at TB 46. 22-B.Jones to TB 9 for 37 yards (78-T.Wirfs; 1-R.White).. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.0%.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 0-2 Now 1-2 W

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-0 Now 2-1 L