Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets: 2014 Week 6 Recap

Game story

In Week 6 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-10-12, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 31–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

G. Smith (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -6.89 total EPA, and -8.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, D. Thomas (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.43 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (12:57) 4-B.Colquitt punts 42 yards to NYJ 45, Center-46-A.Brewer. 18-W.Powell MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-53-S.Johnson at NYJ 43.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +9.43 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
2. 2 P. Manning · Denver Broncos · Passing · +9.27 total EPA · 35 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.10 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
4. 4 E. Decker · New York Jets · Receiving · +3.18 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
5. 5 T. Graham · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.91 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Salas · New York Jets · Receiving · +1.23 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
7. 7 W. Welker · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.18 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.18 EPA/play
8. 8 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.14 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• New York Jets — J. Amaro (G. Smith pass) (Q1 49:21)
• Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q2 35:55)
• Denver Broncos — J. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q2 30:27)
• Denver Broncos — J. Thomas (P. Manning pass) (Q3 23:11)
• New York Jets — E. Decker (G. Smith pass) (Q4 7:59)
• Denver Broncos — A. Talib (Q4 0:23)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q1 57:57)
• New York Jets — N. Folk (Q3 15:40)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the NYJ 18 (Q1 57:57) — (12:57) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. NYJ-27-D.Milliner was injured during the play.; New York Jets found the end zone from the DEN 2 (Q1 49:21) — (4:21) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 88-J.Amaro for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 49:16) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 14–0. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q2 35:55) — (5:55) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 88-D.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q2 35:50) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 22 (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 80-J.Thomas for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the DEN 20 (Q2 30:27) — 8-B.McManus kicks 66 yards from DEN 20 to NYJ 14. 18-W.Powell to NYJ 42 for 28 yards..

The third quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 7–3. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the NYJ 4 (Q3 23:11) — (8:11) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 80-J.Thomas for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q3 23:08) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; New York Jets connected on a field goal from the DEN 12 (Q3 15:40) — (:40) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the DEN 2 (Q4 7:59) — (7:59) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-E.Decker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 7:56) — 2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the DEN 99 (Q4 0:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at NYJ 22. 21-A.Talib for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 0:15) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 42:57) — (12:57) 4-B.Colquitt punts 42 yards to NYJ 45, Center-46-A.Brewer. 18-W.Powell MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-53-S.Johnson at NYJ 43. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.35]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas to NYJ 26 for 54 yards (24-P.Adams). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +3.85]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 80-J.Thomas for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.71]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 39:34) — (9:34) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 10-E.Sanders pushed ob at NYJ 28 for 14 yards (24-P.Adams). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +2.24]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 31:30) — (1:30) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders to NYJ 48 for 20 yards (24-P.Adams, 25-C.Pryor). [WPA +8.9% · EPA +1.24]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• New York Jets (Q4 0:23) — (:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at NYJ 22. 21-A.Talib for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -1.3% · EPA -6.56]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 42:57) — (12:57) 4-B.Colquitt punts 42 yards to NYJ 45, Center-46-A.Brewer. 18-W.Powell MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DEN-53-S.Johnson at NYJ 43. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.35]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas to NYJ 26 for 54 yards (24-P.Adams). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +3.85]
• Denver Broncos (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 80-J.Thomas for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.0% · EPA +3.71]

Quarterback report card

G.Smith led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• G.Smith (New York Jets) · 49 dropbacks · 46.9% completion · -8.2% CPOE · -0.14 EPA/play · -6.89 total EPA
• P.Manning (Denver Broncos) · 35 dropbacks · 62.9% completion · +7.6% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +9.27 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.06 vs -0.12), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Denver Broncos: 13 drives, +5.87 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• New York Jets: 13 drives, -9.76 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Thomas (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• G. Smith (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• P. Manning (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 57:57 · NYJ 18 · Score 3-0
   (12:57) 8-B.McManus 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt. NYJ-27-D.Milliner was injured during the play.
2. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 49:21 · DEN 2 · Score 3-6
   (4:21) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 88-J.Amaro for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 49:16 · DEN 2 · Score 3-7
   2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
4. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 35:55 · NYJ 1 · Score 9-7
   (5:55) 18-P.Manning pass short middle to 88-D.Thomas for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 35:50 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-7
   8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
6. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:27 · NYJ 22 · Score 16-7
   (:27) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 80-J.Thomas for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 30:27 · DEN 20 · Score 17-7
   8-B.McManus kicks 66 yards from DEN 20 to NYJ 14. 18-W.Powell to NYJ 42 for 28 yards.
8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q3 23:11 · NYJ 4 · Score 23-7
   (8:11) 18-P.Manning pass short right to 80-J.Thomas for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q3 23:08 · NYJ 2 · Score 24-7
   8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q3 15:40 · DEN 12 · Score 24-10
    (:40) 2-N.Folk 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
11. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 7:59 · DEN 2 · Score 24-16
    (7:59) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short right to 87-E.Decker for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 7:56 · DEN 2 · Score 24-17
    2-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Purdum, Holder-4-R.Quigley.
13. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 0:23 · DEN 99 · Score 30-17
    (:23) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right intended for 11-J.Kerley INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Talib at NYJ 22. 21-A.Talib for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 0:15 · NYJ 2 · Score 31-17
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.