Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders: 2007 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-02, the Las Vegas Raiders took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 23 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Cutler (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with -3.41 total EPA, and -11.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. McCown (Las Vegas Raiders) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.60 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.7% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (3:14) 20-T.Henry up the middle to DEN 35 for 1 yard (55-R.Thomas). FUMBLES (55-R.Thomas), touched at DEN 35, RECOVERED by LV-91-T.Brayton at DEN 35. 91-T.Brayton to DEN 35 for no gain (Team).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. McCown · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +8.60 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
2. 2 B. Stokley · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +8.12 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.71 EPA/play
3. 3 Z. Miller · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +5.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.80 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Marshall · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.38 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.90 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Porter · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +3.53 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
6. 6 J. Russell · Las Vegas Raiders · Passing · +2.94 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Dwight · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.94 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.94 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Griffith · Las Vegas Raiders · Receiving · +2.16 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.54 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Las Vegas Raiders — T. Dwight (J. McCown pass) (Q1 53:13)
• Denver Broncos — T. Henry (Q1 45:51)
• Las Vegas Raiders — Z. Miller (J. McCown pass) (Q2 30:56)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Porter (J. McCown pass) (Q3 26:04)
• Denver Broncos — T. Henry (Q4 11:25)
• Las Vegas Raiders — J. Fargas (Q4 3:08)

Field goals

• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q3 27:48)
• Denver Broncos — J. Elam (Q3 22:25)
• Denver Broncos — J. Elam (Q3 16:42)
• Las Vegas Raiders — S. Janikowski (Q4 8:59)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 15 (Q1 53:13); Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 53:07) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 4 (Q1 45:51) — (:51) 20-T.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q1 45:46) — 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun..

The second quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 7–0. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 13 (Q2 30:56) — (:56) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 80-Z.Miller for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 30:50) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

The third quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 17–6. Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the LV 76 (Q3 29:55) — (14:55) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 15-B.Marshall to DEN 26 for 2 yards (21-N.Asomugha).; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 20 (Q3 27:48) — (12:48) 11-S.Janikowski 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 13 (Q3 26:04) — (11:04) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 84-J.Porter for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 25:55) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 12 (Q3 22:25) — (7:25) 1-J.Elam 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the LV 26 (Q3 16:42) — (1:42) 1-J.Elam 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun..

The fourth quarter: Las Vegas Raiders won the period 10–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the LV 3 (Q4 11:25) — (11:25) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the LV 2 (Q4 11:21) — 1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.; Las Vegas Raiders connected on a field goal from the DEN 26 (Q4 8:59) — (8:59) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.; Las Vegas Raiders found the end zone from the DEN 5 (Q4 3:08) — (3:08) 25-J.Fargas right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Las Vegas Raiders added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 3:04) — 11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 33:14) — (3:14) 20-T.Henry up the middle to DEN 35 for 1 yard (55-R.Thomas). FUMBLES (55-R.Thomas), touched at DEN 35, RECOVERED by LV-91-T.Brayton at DEN 35. 91-T.Brayton to DEN 35 for no gain (Team). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.46]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 33:58) — (3:58) 25-J.Fargas left tackle to DEN 25 for no gain (62-C.Myers, 55-D.Williams). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -3.21]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q1 60:00) — (15:00) 12-J.McCown pass short right to 36-J.Griffith to LV 26 for 6 yards (52-I.Gold). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +0.40]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 26:48) — (11:48) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 13, touched at DEN 12, RECOVERED by LV-58-C.Clemons at DEN 12. 58-C.Clemons to DEN 12 for no gain (Team). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -4.00]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q2 40:38) — (10:38) (Shotgun) 2-J.Russell FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 40, touched at DEN 40, and recovers at DEN 40. 2-J.Russell to DEN 40 for no gain (55-D.Williams). [WPA -7.5% · EPA -2.97]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q2 33:14) — (3:14) 20-T.Henry up the middle to DEN 35 for 1 yard (55-R.Thomas). FUMBLES (55-R.Thomas), touched at DEN 35, RECOVERED by LV-91-T.Brayton at DEN 35. 91-T.Brayton to DEN 35 for no gain (Team). [WPA -14.7% · EPA -4.46]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 25:02) — (10:02) 6-J.Cutler pass deep left to 14-B.Stokley to LV 13 for 58 yards (24-M.Huff). [WPA +3.9% · EPA +4.40]
• Denver Broncos (Q3 26:48) — (11:48) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 13, touched at DEN 12, RECOVERED by LV-58-C.Clemons at DEN 12. 58-C.Clemons to DEN 12 for no gain (Team). [WPA -7.6% · EPA -4.00]
• Las Vegas Raiders (Q3 15:04) — (:04) 12-J.McCown FUMBLES (Aborted) at LV 34, touched at LV 35, RECOVERED by DEN-55-D.Williams at LV 35. 55-D.Williams to LV 35 for no gain (62-J.Newberry). [WPA -7.3% · EPA -3.77]

Quarterback report card

J.Cutler led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Cutler (Denver Broncos) · 34 dropbacks · 47.1% completion · -11.0% CPOE · -0.10 EPA/play · -3.41 total EPA
• J.McCown (Las Vegas Raiders) · 22 dropbacks · 63.6% completion · +8.0% CPOE · +0.39 EPA/play · +8.60 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Las Vegas Raiders held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.02 vs -0.12), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 13 drives, -9.70 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
• Las Vegas Raiders: 12 drives, +2.12 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Las Vegas Raiders leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. McCown (Las Vegas Raiders) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Cutler (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• J. McCown (LV) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q1 53:13 · DEN 15 · Score 0-6
   (8:13) (Shotgun) 12-J.McCown pass short left to 17-T.Dwight for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DEN-32-D.Bly, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
2. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q1 53:07 · DEN 2 · Score 0-7
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
3. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q1 45:51 · LV 4 · Score 6-7
   (:51) 20-T.Henry left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q1 45:46 · LV 2 · Score 7-7
   1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
5. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q2 30:56 · DEN 13 · Score 7-13
   (:56) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 80-Z.Miller for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q2 30:50 · DEN 2 · Score 7-14
   11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
7. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+7) — Q3 29:55 · LV 76 · Score 7-14
   (14:55) 6-J.Cutler pass short middle to 15-B.Marshall to DEN 26 for 2 yards (21-N.Asomugha).
8. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q3 27:48 · DEN 20 · Score 7-17
   (12:48) 11-S.Janikowski 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
9. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q3 26:04 · DEN 13 · Score 7-23
   (11:04) 12-J.McCown pass short middle to 84-J.Porter for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q3 25:55 · DEN 2 · Score 7-24
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
11. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 22:25 · LV 12 · Score 10-24
    (7:25) 1-J.Elam 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
12. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q3 16:42 · LV 26 · Score 13-24
    (1:42) 1-J.Elam 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
13. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 11:25 · LV 3 · Score 19-24
    (11:25) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 11:21 · LV 2 · Score 20-24
    1-J.Elam extra point is GOOD, Center-83-M.Leach, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
15. Las Vegas Raiders FG (+3) — Q4 8:59 · DEN 26 · Score 20-27
    (8:59) 11-S.Janikowski 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.
16. Las Vegas Raiders TD (+6) — Q4 3:08 · DEN 5 · Score 20-33
    (3:08) 25-J.Fargas right tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Las Vegas Raiders XP (+1) — Q4 3:04 · DEN 2 · Score 20-34
    11-S.Janikowski extra point is GOOD, Center-59-J.Condo, Holder-9-S.Lechler.