Denver Broncos vs. Green Bay Packers: 2011 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-10-02, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 49–23 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +28.09 total EPA, and +18.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +28.09 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+13.2% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (2:15) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +28.09 total EPA · 50 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
2. 2 G. Jennings · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +10.70 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.53 EPA/play
3. 3 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.07 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Lloyd · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +5.15 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play
5. 5 W. McGahee · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +2.82 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
6. 6 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.40 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Driver · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.23 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Willis · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.93 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — J. Nelson (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 47:15)
• Green Bay Packers — C. Woodson (Q1 45:57)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q2 42:24)
• Denver Broncos — E. Decker (K. Orton pass) (Q2 40:32)
• Denver Broncos — E. Decker (K. Orton pass) (Q2 33:27)
• Green Bay Packers — G. Jennings (A. Rodgers pass) (Q2 30:27)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Rodgers (Q3 23:33)
• Green Bay Packers — J. Jones (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 16:16)
• Green Bay Packers — D. Driver (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 7:50)
• Denver Broncos — D. Fells (K. Orton pass) (Q4 3:07)

Field goals

• Denver Broncos — M. Prater (Q1 50:26)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–3. Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the GB 9 (Q1 50:26) — (5:26) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 50 (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 47:08) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 74 (Q1 45:57); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q1 45:50) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 14–14. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 11 (Q2 42:24) — (12:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-80-D.Driver was injured during the play.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 42:18) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the GB 5 (Q2 40:32) — (10:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 87-E.Decker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 40:27) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the GB 33 (Q2 33:27) — (3:27) 8-K.Orton pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-C.Matthews].; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 33:21) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 17 (Q2 30:27) — (:27) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q2 30:24) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 8 (Q3 23:33); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 23:26) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 16 (Q3 16:16) — (1:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 89-J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q3 16:12) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–6. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the DEN 8 (Q4 7:50) — (7:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Driver for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the DEN 2 (Q4 7:46) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the GB 7 (Q4 3:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short right to 86-D.Fells for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q1 47:15) — (2:15) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.2% · EPA +4.20]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 45:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Woodson at DEN 30. 21-C.Woodson for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.3% · EPA -6.75]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 58:16) — (13:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 85-G.Jennings to DEN 21 for 43 yards (29-J.Wilhite). [WPA +11.0% · EPA +3.62]
• Denver Broncos (Q1 52:50) — (7:50) 23-W.McGahee right tackle pushed ob at GB 16 for 28 yards (42-M.Burnett). [WPA +9.8% · EPA +2.42]
• Green Bay Packers (Q1 56:55) — (11:55) 44-J.Starks right end to DEN 13 for -1 yards (20-B.Dawkins). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -3.27]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Denver Broncos (Q1 45:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Woodson at DEN 30. 21-C.Woodson for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.3% · EPA -6.75]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 12:13) — (12:13) 75-C.Clark reported in as eligible. 8-K.Orton pass deep left intended for 84-B.Lloyd INTERCEPTED by 37-S.Shields at GB -6. 37-S.Shields ran ob at DEN 46 for 60 yards (23-W.McGahee). [WPA -0.3% · EPA -5.72]
• Green Bay Packers (Q3 18:26) — (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 18-R.Cobb to DEN 31 for 61 yards (20-B.Dawkins). [WPA +0.7% · EPA +4.90]
• Denver Broncos (Q4 3:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short right to 86-D.Fells for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA +4.27]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 50 dropbacks · 58.0% completion · +18.5% CPOE · +0.56 EPA/play · +28.09 total EPA
• K.Orton (Denver Broncos) · 36 dropbacks · 61.1% completion · +10.4% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.53 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.27 vs -0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -0.73 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, +23.57 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• K. Orton (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 50:26 · GB 9 · Score 3-0
   (5:26) 5-M.Prater 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
2. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 47:15 · DEN 50 · Score 3-6
   (2:15) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 87-J.Nelson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 47:08 · DEN 2 · Score 3-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
4. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 45:57 · GB 74 · Score 3-13
   (:57) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left intended for 87-E.Decker INTERCEPTED by 21-C.Woodson at DEN 30. 21-C.Woodson for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:50 · DEN 2 · Score 3-14
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 42:24 · DEN 11 · Score 3-20
   (12:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-80-D.Driver was injured during the play.
7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 42:18 · DEN 2 · Score 3-21
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 40:32 · GB 5 · Score 9-21
   (10:32) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short left to 87-E.Decker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 40:27 · GB 2 · Score 10-21
   5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 33:27 · GB 33 · Score 16-21
    (3:27) 8-K.Orton pass deep left to 87-E.Decker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN [52-C.Matthews].
11. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 33:21 · GB 2 · Score 17-21
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 30:27 · DEN 17 · Score 17-27
    (:27) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 85-G.Jennings for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 30:24 · DEN 2 · Score 17-28
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
14. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 23:33 · DEN 8 · Score 17-34
    (8:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers scrambles right end to DEN 1 for 7 yards (52-W.Woodyard). Green Bay challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was
15. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 23:26 · DEN 2 · Score 17-35
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
16. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 16:16 · DEN 16 · Score 17-41
    (1:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 89-J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 16:12 · DEN 2 · Score 17-42
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
18. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 7:50 · DEN 8 · Score 17-48
    (7:50) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 80-D.Driver for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
19. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 7:46 · DEN 2 · Score 17-49
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
20. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 3:07 · GB 7 · Score 23-49
    (3:07) (Shotgun) 8-K.Orton pass short right to 86-D.Fells for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.