FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 25, 2016 · 11 min read

Denver Broncos vs. Cincinnati Bengals: 2016 Week 3 Recap

Broncos defeat Bengals 29–17 in Week 3

Trevor Siemian led Fantasy Impact as Broncos prevailed in a 29–17 Week 3 finish.

Denver Broncos 29 3–0 Winner
Final 29–17
Cincinnati Bengals 17 1–2
Winner
Denver Broncos
Final score
29–17
Halftime
Denver Broncos 16–14 Cincinnati Bengals
Top passer
Trevor Siemian
FantasyHQ MVP
Trevor Siemian
Game date
September 25, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Trevor Siemian
    Trevor Siemian 23/45 · 309 YDS · 4 TD +16.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Eli Sanders 9 REC · 117 YDS · 2 TD +11.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Drake Thomas
    Drake Thomas 6 REC · 100 YDS · 1 TD +4.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Bengals

  • Julian Hill
    Julian Hill 17 CAR · 97 YDS · 2 TD +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Germie Bernard 5 REC · 36 YDS +2.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Art Green
    Art Green 8 REC · 77 YDS +2.1 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Denver Broncos defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 29–17 in Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-25, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-17.9% win probability) came in the third quarter when Denver Broncos swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-09-25, the Denver Broncos took care of business against the Cincinnati Bengals, pulling away with a 29–17 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Siemian (Denver Broncos) paced the passing game, with +15.99 total EPA, and +9.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Siemian (Denver Broncos) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.99 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.9% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Denver Broncos changed the game: (12:48) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 34 for 9 yards (24-A.Jones) [97-G.Atkins]. FUMBLES (24-A.Jones), RECOVERED by CIN-56-K.Dansby at DEN 37. 56-K.Dansby to DEN 37 for no gain (8

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Denver Broncos313130029
Cincinnati Bengals7730017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Siemian · Denver Broncos · Passing · +15.99 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  2. 2 E. Sanders · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +11.63 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.89 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Thomas · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +4.55 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Hill · Cincinnati Bengals · Rushing · +3.75 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  5. 5 G. Bernard · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +2.56 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
  6. 6 A. Green · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +2.10 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Heuerman · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +2.00 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.00 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Latimer · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.57 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.57 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Siemian — DEN · Passing

T. Siemian posted the highest total EPA (+15.99) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Denver Broncos's efficiency. Across 45 counted snaps, they averaged +0.36 EPA per play.

The signature play (+6.36 EPA) came from Denver Broncos: (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Cincinnati Bengals — J. Hill (Q1 56:10)
  • Denver Broncos — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q2 44:04)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — J. Hill (Q2 35:02)
  • Denver Broncos — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q2 30:32)
  • Denver Broncos — J. Phillips (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 7:01)
  • Denver Broncos — D. Thomas (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 4:32)

Field goals

  • Denver Broncos — B. McManus (Q1 49:08)
  • Cincinnati Bengals — M. Nugent (Q4 14:56)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Cincinnati Bengals won the period 7–3. Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DEN 3 (Q1 56:10) — (11:10) 32-J.Hill right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q1 56:07) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Denver Broncos connected on a field goal from the CIN 2 (Q1 49:08) — (4:08) 8-B.McManus 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

The second quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 13–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 41 (Q2 44:04) — (14:04) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q2 43:57) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the DEN 4 (Q2 35:02) — (5:02) 32-J.Hill left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 34:57) — 2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 7 (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short right to 10-E.Sanders for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The fourth quarter: Denver Broncos won the period 13–3. Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the DEN 16 (Q4 14:56) — (14:56) 2-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 1 (Q4 7:01) — (7:01) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 86-J.Phillips for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos found the end zone from the CIN 55 (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q4 4:23) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Denver Broncos (Q3 27:48) — (12:48) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 34 for 9 yards (24-A.Jones) [97-G.Atkins]. FUMBLES (24-A.Jones), RECOVERED by CIN-56-K.Dansby at DEN 37. 56-K.Dansby to DEN 37 for no gain (8 [WPA -17.9% · EPA -4.60]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 44:04) — (14:04) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +5.00]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +6.36]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 9:55) — (9:55) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to CIN 35 for 16 yards (36-S.Williams). [WPA +12.8% · EPA +2.37]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 45:12) — (:12) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to CIN 46, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 24-A.Jones to CIN 49 for 3 yards (50-Z.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-Z.Anderson), RECOVERED by DEN-33-S.Keo at CIN 46. 33-S.Keo to CIN 46 for no [WPA +12.0% · EPA +5.30]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Denver Broncos (Q4 4:32) — (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.9% · EPA +6.36]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 45:12) — (:12) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to CIN 46, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 24-A.Jones to CIN 49 for 3 yards (50-Z.Anderson). FUMBLES (50-Z.Anderson), RECOVERED by DEN-33-S.Keo at CIN 46. 33-S.Keo to CIN 46 for no [WPA +12.0% · EPA +5.30]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 44:04) — (14:04) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.8% · EPA +5.00]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 27:48) — (12:48) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to DEN 34 for 9 yards (24-A.Jones) [97-G.Atkins]. FUMBLES (24-A.Jones), RECOVERED by CIN-56-K.Dansby at DEN 37. 56-K.Dansby to DEN 37 for no gain (8 [WPA -17.9% · EPA -4.60]

Quarterback report card

T.Siemian led all passers in efficiency for Denver Broncos, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Siemian (Denver Broncos) · 45 dropbacks · 51.1% completion · +9.8% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +15.99 total EPA
  • A.Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) · 41 dropbacks · 51.2% completion · +10.5% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.49 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDenver BroncosCincinnati Bengals
Offensive EPA/play+0.149-0.040
Offensive success rate44.6%37.3%
Pass EPA/play+0.355-0.036
Rush EPA/play-0.423-0.031
Defensive EPA/play+0.040-0.149
Defensive success rate62.7%55.4%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Denver Broncos generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.15 vs -0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Cincinnati Bengals: 11 drives, -3.28 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, +12.33 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Denver Broncos leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Siemian (Denver Broncos) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Siemian (DEN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • A. Dalton (CIN) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q1 56:10 · DEN 3 · Score 0-6
    (11:10) 32-J.Hill right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q1 56:07 · DEN 15 · Score 0-7
    2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  3. Denver Broncos FG (+3) — Q1 49:08 · CIN 2 · Score 3-7
    (4:08) 8-B.McManus 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  4. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 44:04 · CIN 41 · Score 9-7
    (14:04) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 10-E.Sanders for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 43:57 · CIN 15 · Score 10-7
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
  6. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q2 35:02 · DEN 4 · Score 10-13
    (5:02) 32-J.Hill left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q2 34:57 · DEN 15 · Score 10-14
    2-M.Nugent extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  8. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 30:32 · CIN 7 · Score 16-14
    (:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short right to 10-E.Sanders for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q4 14:56 · DEN 16 · Score 16-17
    (14:56) 2-M.Nugent 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
  10. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 7:01 · CIN 1 · Score 22-17
    (7:01) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 86-J.Phillips for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q4 4:32 · CIN 55 · Score 28-17
    (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q4 4:23 · CIN 15 · Score 29-17
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-42-C.Kreiter, Holder-9-R.Dixon.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

The Denver Broncos beat the Cincinnati Bengals 29-17 in Week 3, 2016 on 2016-09-25.

What was the final score of Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

The final score was Denver Broncos 29, Cincinnati Bengals 17 (DEN 29-17 CIN) in Week 3, 2016 on 2016-09-25.

What was the score by quarter in Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

Q1: Denver Broncos 3, Cincinnati Bengals 7; Q2: Denver Broncos 13, Cincinnati Bengals 7; Q4: Denver Broncos 13, Cincinnati Bengals 3; Final: Denver Broncos 29, Cincinnati Bengals 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — J. Hill (Q1 56:10) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q2 44:04) Cincinnati Bengals touchdown — J. Hill (Q2 35:02) Denver Broncos touchdown — E. Sanders (T. Siemian pass) (Q2 30:32) Denver Broncos touchdown — J. Phillips (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 7:01) Denver Broncos touchdown — D. Thomas (T. Siemian pass) (Q4 4:32) Denver Broncos field goal — B. McManus (Q1 49:08, 3 pts) Cincinnati Bengals field goal — M. Nugent (Q4 14:56, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

T. Siemian (Denver Broncos), 51.1% completion, +9.8% CPOE, +0.36 EPA per dropback, +15.99 total passing EPA. A. Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals), 51.2% completion, +10.5% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.49 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals?

T. Siemian (Denver Broncos) led the game in total EPA with +15.99 on passing plays. across 45 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+6.36 EPA): (4:32) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass deep left to 88-D.Thomas for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.9%.

Season records after this game

Denver Broncos

Entered 2-0 Now 3-0 W

Cincinnati Bengals

Entered 1-1 Now 1-2 L