FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 22, 2007 · 10 min read

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers: 2007 Week 16 Recap

Cowboys defeat Panthers 20–13 in Week 16

Shi Smith led Fantasy Impact as Cowboys prevailed in a 20–13 Week 16 finish.

Dallas Cowboys 20 13–2 Winner
Final 20–13
Carolina Panthers 13 6–9
Winner
Dallas Cowboys
Final score
20–13
Halftime
Dallas Cowboys 17–7 Carolina Panthers
Top passer
T. Romo
FantasyHQ MVP
Shi Smith
Game date
December 22, 2007

Top fantasy performers · Cowboys

  • T.Romo 28/46 · 273 YDS · 1 TD +11.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Tyler Owens
    Tyler Owens 5 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact
  • P.Crayton 7 REC · 65 YDS +5.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • Shi Smith
    Shi Smith 9 REC · 137 YDS · 1 TD +14.3 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Rosario 1 REC · 13 YDS +0.8 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Foster 1 REC · 8 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Carolina Panthers 20–13 in Week 16 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-22, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+14.3% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-22, the Dallas Cowboys took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 20–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Romo (Dallas Cowboys) paced the passing game, with +11.49 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Smith (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +14.35 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Dallas Cowboys71003020
Carolina Panthers0733013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 S. Smith · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +14.35 total EPA · 9 snaps · +1.59 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Romo · Dallas Cowboys · Passing · +11.49 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Owens · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +7.23 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.45 EPA/play
  4. 4 P. Crayton · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +5.11 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
  5. 5 S. Hurd · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +4.56 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Austin · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +1.41 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.71 EPA/play
  7. 7 M. Barber · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +1.23 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Witten · Dallas Cowboys · Receiving · +1.15 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

S. Smith — CAR · Receiving

S. Smith posted the highest total EPA (+14.35) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 9 counted snaps, they averaged +1.59 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.68 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Dallas Cowboys — T. Owens (T. Romo pass) (Q1 46:30)
  • Dallas Cowboys — M. Barber (Q2 37:02)
  • Carolina Panthers — S. Smith (M. Moore pass) (Q2 35:43)

Field goals

  • Dallas Cowboys — N. Folk (Q2 32:00)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q3 23:00)
  • Dallas Cowboys — N. Folk (Q4 8:57)
  • Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q4 3:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Dallas Cowboys won the period 7–0. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the CAR 10 (Q1 46:30) — (1:30) 9-T.Romo pass short right to 81-T.Owens for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Dallas Cowboys added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 46:30) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson..

The second quarter: Dallas Cowboys won the period 10–7. Dallas Cowboys found the end zone from the CAR 5 (Q2 37:02) — (7:02) (Shotgun) 24-M.Barber left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-74-S.McClover, Defensive Offside, declined.; Dallas Cowboys added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 36:57) — 6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the DAL 11 (Q2 35:43) — (5:43) 3-M.Moore pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the DAL 2 (Q2 35:38) — 4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker.; Dallas Cowboys connected on a field goal from the CAR 23 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 6-N.Folk 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 3–0. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DAL 20 (Q3 23:00) — (8:00) 4-J.Kasay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Dallas Cowboys connected on a field goal from the CAR 5 (Q4 8:57) — (8:57) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the DAL 7 (Q4 3:04) — (3:04) 4-J.Kasay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable. [WPA +14.3% · EPA +5.68]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Henry at DAL 42. 42-A.Henry to 50 for 8 yards (69-J.Gross). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -3.30]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 27:44) — (12:44) 3-M.Moore pass short left to 89-S.Smith to DAL 28 for 14 yards (41-T.Newman). [WPA +9.0% · EPA +2.15]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 35:43) — (5:43) 3-M.Moore pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.6% · EPA +2.26]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q2 44:57) — (14:57) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass deep left to 81-T.Owens ran ob at DAL 36 for 16 yards. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +2.20]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable. [WPA +14.3% · EPA +5.68]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass short left intended for 89-S.Smith INTERCEPTED by 42-A.Henry at DAL 42. 42-A.Henry to 50 for 8 yards (69-J.Gross). [WPA -9.8% · EPA -3.30]
  • Dallas Cowboys (Q4 14:20) — (14:20) 9-T.Romo pass deep middle intended for 84-P.Crayton INTERCEPTED by 58-T.Davis at CAR 3. 58-T.Davis to CAR 3 for no gain (84-P.Crayton). [WPA -3.4% · EPA -3.09]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 36:11) — (6:11) 34-D.Williams left tackle pushed ob at DAL 11 for 39 yards (26-K.Hamlin, 41-T.Newman). [WPA +4.8% · EPA +2.36]

Quarterback report card

T.Romo led all passers in efficiency for Dallas Cowboys, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Romo (Dallas Cowboys) · 46 dropbacks · 60.9% completion · +1.6% CPOE · +0.25 EPA/play · +11.49 total EPA
  • M.Moore (Carolina Panthers) · 33 dropbacks · 45.5% completion · -6.7% CPOE · -0.15 EPA/play · -4.98 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatDallas CowboysCarolina Panthers
Offensive EPA/play+0.068-0.046
Offensive success rate41.8%39.7%
Pass EPA/play+0.250-0.151
Rush EPA/play-0.141-0.103
Defensive EPA/play+0.046-0.068
Defensive success rate60.3%58.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Dallas Cowboys generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.05), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Carolina Panthers: 10 drives, -2.89 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Dallas Cowboys: 11 drives, +6.63 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Dallas Cowboys leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • S. Smith (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Moore (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q1 46:30 · CAR 10 · Score 6-0
    (1:30) 9-T.Romo pass short right to 81-T.Owens for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Dallas Cowboys XP (+1) — Q1 46:30 · CAR 2 · Score 7-0
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.
  3. Dallas Cowboys TD (+6) — Q2 37:02 · CAR 5 · Score 13-0
    (7:02) (Shotgun) 24-M.Barber left tackle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-74-S.McClover, Defensive Offside, declined.
  4. Dallas Cowboys XP (+1) — Q2 36:57 · CAR 2 · Score 14-0
    6-N.Folk extra point is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.
  5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 35:43 · DAL 11 · Score 14-6
    (5:43) 3-M.Moore pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 35:38 · DAL 2 · Score 14-7
    4-J.Kasay extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  7. Dallas Cowboys FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · CAR 23 · Score 17-7
    (2:00) 6-N.Folk 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.
  8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 23:00 · DAL 20 · Score 17-10
    (8:00) 4-J.Kasay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker.
  9. Dallas Cowboys FG (+3) — Q4 8:57 · CAR 5 · Score 20-10
    (8:57) 6-N.Folk 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-14-B.Johnson.
  10. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 3:04 · DAL 7 · Score 20-13
    (3:04) 4-J.Kasay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-7-J.Baker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

The Dallas Cowboys beat the Carolina Panthers 20-13 in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-22.

What was the final score of Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

The final score was Dallas Cowboys 20, Carolina Panthers 13 (DAL 20-13 CAR) in Week 16, 2007 on 2007-12-22.

What was the score by quarter in Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

Q1: Dallas Cowboys 7, Carolina Panthers 0; Q2: Dallas Cowboys 10, Carolina Panthers 7; Q3: Dallas Cowboys 0, Carolina Panthers 3; Q4: Dallas Cowboys 3, Carolina Panthers 3; Final: Dallas Cowboys 20, Carolina Panthers 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

Dallas Cowboys touchdown — T. Owens (T. Romo pass) (Q1 46:30) Dallas Cowboys touchdown — M. Barber (Q2 37:02) Carolina Panthers touchdown — S. Smith (M. Moore pass) (Q2 35:43) Dallas Cowboys field goal — N. Folk (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — J. Kasay (Q3 23:00, 3 pts) Dallas Cowboys field goal — N. Folk (Q4 8:57, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — J. Kasay (Q4 3:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

T. Romo (Dallas Cowboys), 60.9% completion, +1.6% CPOE, +0.25 EPA per dropback, +11.49 total passing EPA. M. Moore (Carolina Panthers), 45.5% completion, -6.7% CPOE, -0.15 EPA per dropback, -4.98 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers?

S. Smith (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +14.35 on receiving plays. across 9 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.68 EPA): (4:29) (Shotgun) 3-M.Moore pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DAL 9 for 57 yards (26-K.Hamlin). CAR-89-S.Smith was injured during the play. His return is Probable.. The biggest win-probability swing was +14.3%.

Was Dallas Cowboys vs Carolina Panthers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Dallas Cowboys won 20-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Dallas Cowboys

Entered 12-2 Now 13-2 W

Carolina Panthers

Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L