FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 21, 2018 · 12 min read

Cleveland Browns vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2018 Week 7 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Browns 26–23 in Week 7

Mitchell Evans led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 23–26 Week 7 finish.

Cleveland Browns 23 2–4
Final 23–26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 3–3 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
23–26
Halftime
Cleveland Browns 2–16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Jameis Winston
FantasyHQ MVP
Mitchell Evans
Game date
October 21, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Browns

  • J.Landry 10 REC · 97 YDS · 1 TD +4.2 Fantasy Impact
  • David Njoku
    David Njoku 4 REC · 52 YDS · 1 TD +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Callaway 1 REC · 14 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • Mitchell Evans
    Mitchell Evans 7 REC · 107 YDS +6.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Ryan Jones
    Ryan Jones 1 REC · 15 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Drake Jackson
    Drake Jackson 2 CAR · 8 YDS · 1 TD +0.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Cleveland Browns 26–23 in Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-21, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+54.5% win probability) came in overtime when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-21, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Cleveland Browns, pulling away with a 26–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with -0.54 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.39 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+54.5% win probability) landed in overtime when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: (1:55) 7-C.Catanzaro 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Cleveland Browns20714023
Tampa Bay Buccaneers31370326

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +6.39 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Landry · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +4.19 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Njoku · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +1.97 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
  4. 4 A. Callaway · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +1.53 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.77 EPA/play
  5. 5 R. Jones · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.02 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Jackson · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +0.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Cross · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.63 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. Rodgers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.60 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Evans — TB · Receiving

M. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+6.39) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Tampa Bay Buccaneers's efficiency. Across 11 counted snaps, they averaged +0.58 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.66 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: (14:31) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 21 for -8 yards (95-M.Garrett). FUMBLES (95-M.Garrett), RECOVERED by CLE-55-G.Avery at TB 31. 55-G.Avery to TB 26 for 5 yards (3-J.Winston).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D. Jackson (Q2 45:00)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Winston (Q2 38:05)
  • Cleveland Browns — D. Njoku (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 28:08)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — R. Jones (Q3 15:32)
  • Cleveland Browns — N. Chubb (Q4 12:25)
  • Cleveland Browns — J. Landry (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 2:36)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro (Q1 48:04)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Catanzaro (OT 1:55)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–2. Cleveland Browns registered a safety from the CLE 99 (Q1 54:22) — (9:22) 25-P.Barber left end tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (93-T.Coley).; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CLE 20 (Q1 48:04) — (3:04) 7-C.Catanzaro 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 13–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CLE 14 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) 11-D.Jackson left end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CLE 14 (Q2 38:05) — (8:05) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles right guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CLE 15 (Q2 37:58) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the TB 15 (Q3 28:08) — (13:08) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 85-D.Njoku for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q3 28:01) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the CLE 2 (Q3 15:32) — (:32) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the CLE 15 (Q3 15:28) — 7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

The fourth quarter: Cleveland Browns won the period 14–0. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the TB 1 (Q4 12:25) — (12:25) 63-A.Corbett reported in as eligible. 24-N.Chubb up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 12:17) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the TB 16 (Q4 2:36) — (2:36) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 80-J.Landry for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q4 2:28) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

Overtime: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the CLE 41 (OT 1:55) — (1:55) 7-C.Catanzaro 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OT 1:55) — (1:55) 7-C.Catanzaro 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. [WPA +54.5% · EPA +2.97]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OT 3:27) — (3:27) 9-B.Anger punts 54 yards to CLE 24, Center-89-G.Sanborn. 22-J.Peppers to CLE 38 for 14 yards (82-A.Auclair). FUMBLES (82-A.Auclair), RECOVERED by TB-39-I.Johnson at CLE 48. 39-I.Johnson to CLE [WPA +36.1% · EPA +3.57]
  • Cleveland Browns (OT 4:18) — (4:18) 4-B.Colquitt punts 45 yards to end zone, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Touchback. [WPA +35.2% · EPA -0.76]
  • Cleveland Browns (OT 4:58) — (4:58) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at TB 45 for -7 yards (94-C.Nassib). [WPA -30.1% · EPA -2.30]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 7-C.Catanzaro 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger. [WPA -30.0% · EPA -2.55]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 29:31) — (14:31) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 21 for -8 yards (95-M.Garrett). FUMBLES (95-M.Garrett), RECOVERED by CLE-55-G.Avery at TB 31. 55-G.Avery to TB 26 for 5 yards (3-J.Winston). [WPA -5.5% · EPA -5.66]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q2 31:04) — (1:04) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 84-C.Brate to TB 27 for 10 yards (38-T.Carrie). FUMBLES (38-T.Carrie), RECOVERED by CLE-58-C.Kirksey at TB 27. 58-C.Kirksey to TB 19 for 8 yards (3-J.W [WPA -7.6% · EPA -4.51]
  • Cleveland Browns (Q4 5:02) — (5:02) 6-B.Mayfield up the middle to TB 1 for no gain (59-D.Bond). [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.20]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (OT 6:22) — (6:22) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 12-C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by 51-J.Collins at TB 45. 51-J.Collins to TB 45 for no gain (12-C.Godwin). [WPA -10.9% · EPA -3.84]

Quarterback report card

J.Winston led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 68 dropbacks · 47.1% completion · -1.9% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.54 total EPA
  • B.Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) · 45 dropbacks · 51.1% completion · +4.3% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -1.62 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCleveland BrownsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play-0.096-0.049
Offensive success rate39.3%46.5%
Pass EPA/play-0.036-0.008
Rush EPA/play-0.335-0.291
Defensive EPA/play+0.049+0.096
Defensive success rate53.5%60.7%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Cleveland Browns -0.10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.05) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Cleveland Browns: 14 drives, -8.58 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 16 drives, -5.62 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • B. Mayfield (CLE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Cleveland Browns Safety (+2) — Q1 54:22 · CLE 99 · Score 2-0
    (9:22) 25-P.Barber left end tackled in End Zone for -1 yards, SAFETY (93-T.Coley).
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 48:04 · CLE 20 · Score 2-3
    (3:04) 7-C.Catanzaro 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · CLE 14 · Score 2-9
    (15:00) 11-D.Jackson left end for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 38:05 · CLE 14 · Score 2-15
    (8:05) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston scrambles right guard for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 37:58 · CLE 15 · Score 2-16
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  6. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q3 28:08 · TB 15 · Score 8-16
    (13:08) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 85-D.Njoku for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q3 28:01 · TB 15 · Score 9-16
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q3 15:32 · CLE 2 · Score 9-22
    (:32) (Shotgun) 27-R.Jones left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q3 15:28 · CLE 15 · Score 9-23
    7-C.Catanzaro extra point is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.
  10. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q4 12:25 · TB 1 · Score 15-23
    (12:25) 63-A.Corbett reported in as eligible. 24-N.Chubb up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q4 12:17 · TB 15 · Score 16-23
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  12. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q4 2:36 · TB 16 · Score 22-23
    (2:36) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 80-J.Landry for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  13. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q4 2:28 · TB 15 · Score 23-23
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
  14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — OT 1:55 · CLE 41 · Score 23-26
    (1:55) 7-C.Catanzaro 59 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-89-G.Sanborn, Holder-9-B.Anger.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Cleveland Browns 26-23 in Week 7, 2018 on 2018-10-21.

What was the final score of Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Cleveland Browns 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26 (CLE 23-26 TB) in Week 7, 2018 on 2018-10-21.

What was the score by quarter in Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Cleveland Browns 2, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: Cleveland Browns 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13; Q3: Cleveland Browns 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q4: Cleveland Browns 14, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q5: Cleveland Browns 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Final: Cleveland Browns 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — D. Jackson (Q2 45:00) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Winston (Q2 38:05) Cleveland Browns touchdown — D. Njoku (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 28:08) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — R. Jones (Q3 15:32) Cleveland Browns touchdown — N. Chubb (Q4 12:25) Cleveland Browns touchdown — J. Landry (B. Mayfield pass) (Q4 2:36) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (Q1 48:04, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Catanzaro (OT 1:55, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

J. Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 47.1% completion, -1.9% CPOE, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.54 total passing EPA. B. Mayfield (Cleveland Browns), 51.1% completion, +4.3% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -1.62 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Evans (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) led the game in total EPA with +6.39 on receiving plays. across 11 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.66 EPA): (14:31) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 21 for -8 yards (95-M.Garrett). FUMBLES (95-M.Garrett), RECOVERED by CLE-55-G.Avery at TB 31. 55-G.Avery to TB 26 for 5 yards (3-J.Winsto. The biggest win-probability swing was +54.5%.

Was Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 26-23 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Cleveland Browns

Entered 2-3 Now 2-4 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 2-3 Now 3-3 W