Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs: 2018 Week 7 Recap

Game story

In Week 7 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-10-21, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business against the Cincinnati Bengals, pulling away with a 45–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) paced the passing game, with +22.93 total EPA, and +11.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +22.93 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+6.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Kansas City Chiefs changed the game: (2:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at CIN 28 for 43 yards (36-S.Williams).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 P. Mahomes · Kansas City Chiefs · Passing · +22.93 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
2. 2 T. Kelce · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +7.13 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.43 EPA/play
3. 3 K. Hunt · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +4.73 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.79 EPA/play
4. 4 K. Hunt · Kansas City Chiefs · Rushing · +4.02 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
5. 5 C. Uzomah · Cincinnati Bengals · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.55 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Harris · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +3.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Driskel · Cincinnati Bengals · Passing · +2.67 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.53 EPA/play
8. 8 S. Watkins · Kansas City Chiefs · Receiving · +2.49 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Hunt (P. Mahomes pass) (Q1 53:15)
• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Hunt (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 43:28)
• Cincinnati Bengals — C. Uzomah (A. Dalton pass) (Q2 37:29)
• Kansas City Chiefs — D. Harris (P. Mahomes pass) (Q2 32:00)
• Kansas City Chiefs — K. Hunt (Q3 26:26)
• Kansas City Chiefs — R. Parker (Q3 26:19)
• Kansas City Chiefs — T. Hill (P. Mahomes pass) (Q4 12:56)

Field goals

• Kansas City Chiefs — H. Butker (Q2 30:11)
• Cincinnati Bengals — R. Bullock (Q3 21:20)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the CIN 6 (Q1 53:15) — (8:15) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 27-K.Hunt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q1 53:08) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 17–7. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the CIN 15 (Q2 43:28) — (13:28) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 27-K.Hunt for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q2 43:18) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Cincinnati Bengals found the end zone from the KC 4 (Q2 37:29) — (7:29) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 87-C.Uzomah for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cincinnati Bengals added 1 points from the KC 15 (Q2 37:25) — 4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the CIN 17 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 84-D.Harris for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q2 31:55) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs connected on a field goal from the CIN 8 (Q2 30:11) — (:11) 7-H.Butker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 14–3. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the CIN 2 (Q3 26:26) — (11:26) (Shotgun) 27-K.Hunt up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q3 26:19) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the KC 75 (Q3 26:19) — (11:19) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 18-A.Green INTERCEPTED by 38-R.Parker at CIN 33. 38-R.Parker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q3 26:10) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.; Cincinnati Bengals connected on a field goal from the KC 15 (Q3 21:20) — (6:20) 4-R.Bullock 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber..

The fourth quarter: Kansas City Chiefs won the period 7–0. Kansas City Chiefs found the end zone from the CIN 3 (Q4 12:56); Kansas City Chiefs added 1 points from the CIN 15 (Q4 12:50) — 7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 47:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at CIN 28 for 43 yards (36-S.Williams). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +3.72]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q1 51:39) — (6:39) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left to 18-A.Green to CIN 45 for 30 yards (38-R.Parker). [WPA +6.1% · EPA +3.10]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q2 44:56) — (14:56) (Punt formation) 42-C.Fejedelem FUMBLES (Aborted) at CIN 37, and recovers at CIN 33. 42-C.Fejedelem to CIN 33 for no gain (21-E.Murray). [WPA -5.6% · EPA -3.31]
• Cincinnati Bengals (Q2 38:24) — (8:24) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 18-A.Green to KC 4 for 31 yards (22-O.Scandrick). [WPA +5.4% · EPA +2.62]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 45:44) — (:44) 7-H.Butker 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt. [WPA -5.3% · EPA -3.21]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Cincinnati Bengals (Q3 26:19) — (11:19) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 18-A.Green INTERCEPTED by 38-R.Parker at CIN 33. 38-R.Parker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -2.3% · EPA -7.87]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q1 47:17) — (2:17) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 87-T.Kelce pushed ob at CIN 28 for 43 yards (36-S.Williams). [WPA +6.3% · EPA +3.72]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 84-D.Harris for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.1% · EPA +3.47]
• Kansas City Chiefs (Q3 20:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle intended for 10-T.Hill INTERCEPTED by 36-S.Williams at CIN 27. 36-S.Williams pushed ob at CIN 48 for 21 yards (14-S.Watkins). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -3.35]

Quarterback report card

P.Mahomes led all passers in efficiency for Kansas City Chiefs, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• P.Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) · 43 dropbacks · 65.1% completion · +11.1% CPOE · +0.53 EPA/play · +22.93 total EPA
• A.Dalton (Cincinnati Bengals) · 34 dropbacks · 44.1% completion · -10.8% CPOE · -0.23 EPA/play · -7.71 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Kansas City Chiefs held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.28 vs -0.18), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Cincinnati Bengals: 11 drives, -14.16 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Kansas City Chiefs: 10 drives, +23.36 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Kansas City Chiefs leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• P. Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• P. Mahomes (KC) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• A. Dalton (CIN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q1 53:15 · CIN 6 · Score 0-6
   (8:15) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 27-K.Hunt for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q1 53:08 · CIN 15 · Score 0-7
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
3. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 43:28 · CIN 15 · Score 0-13
   (13:28) 15-P.Mahomes pass short right to 27-K.Hunt for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 43:18 · CIN 15 · Score 0-14
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
5. Cincinnati Bengals TD (+6) — Q2 37:29 · KC 4 · Score 6-14
   (7:29) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 87-C.Uzomah for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Cincinnati Bengals XP (+1) — Q2 37:25 · KC 15 · Score 7-14
   4-R.Bullock extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
7. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · CIN 17 · Score 7-20
   (2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 84-D.Harris for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q2 31:55 · CIN 15 · Score 7-21
   7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
9. Kansas City Chiefs FG (+3) — Q2 30:11 · CIN 8 · Score 7-24
   (:11) 7-H.Butker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
10. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 26:26 · CIN 2 · Score 7-30
    (11:26) (Shotgun) 27-K.Hunt up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 26:19 · CIN 15 · Score 7-31
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
12. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q3 26:19 · KC 75 · Score 7-37
    (11:19) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 18-A.Green INTERCEPTED by 38-R.Parker at CIN 33. 38-R.Parker for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q3 26:10 · CIN 15 · Score 7-38
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
14. Cincinnati Bengals FG (+3) — Q3 21:20 · KC 15 · Score 10-38
    (6:20) 4-R.Bullock 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
15. Kansas City Chiefs TD (+6) — Q4 12:56 · CIN 3 · Score 10-44
    (12:56) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes to CIN 8 for -5 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at CIN 8. 15-P.Mahomes pass short left to 10-T.Hill for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Kansas City Chiefs XP (+1) — Q4 12:50 · CIN 15 · Score 10-45
    7-H.Butker extra point is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.