Chicago Bears vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2020 Week 16 Recap

Game story

In Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-27, the Chicago Bears took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 41–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) paced the passing game, with +18.50 total EPA, and +4.5% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.50 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-16.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Chicago Bears changed the game: (:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 47-J.Schobert [59-A.Lynch] at JAX -4. Touchback.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Trubisky · Chicago Bears · Passing · +18.50 total EPA · 40 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Graham · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +6.97 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
3. 3 A. Robinson · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +4.78 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
4. 4 D.Chark Jr. · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.75 EPA/play
5. 5 D. Mooney · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.83 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
6. 6 A. Pierce · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +3.43 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.72 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Montgomery · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +2.11 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
8. 8 C. Conley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.96 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.65 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Chicago Bears — J. Graham (M. Trubisky pass) (Q1 48:25)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Chark (M. Glennon pass) (Q2 38:28)
• Chicago Bears — M. Trubisky (Q3 24:21)
• Chicago Bears — D. Montgomery (Q3 18:23)
• Chicago Bears — J. Graham (M. Trubisky pass) (Q3 17:38)
• Chicago Bears — A. Pierce (Q4 11:52)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — L. Shenault (M. Glennon pass) (Q4 4:37)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — A. Rosas (Q1 53:18)
• Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q2 43:20)
• Chicago Bears — C. Santos (Q2 30:05)
• Chicago Bears — M. Trubisky (Q3 29:54)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the CHI 8 (Q1 53:18) — (8:18) 7-A.Rosas 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the JAX 5 (Q1 48:25) — (3:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 80-J.Graham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 48:18) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–6. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the JAX 2 (Q2 43:20) — (13:20) 2-C.Santos 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the CHI 20 (Q2 38:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 38:21) — 7-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt.; Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the JAX 22 (Q2 30:05) — (:05) 2-C.Santos 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 24–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the JAX 77 (Q3 29:54) — (14:54) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 12-A.Robinson to CHI 35 for 12 yards (29-J.Jones).; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q3 24:21) — (9:21) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 24:14) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q3 18:23) — (3:23) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 18:17) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the JAX 22 (Q3 17:38) — (2:38) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 80-J.Graham for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 17:30) — 2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the JAX 3 (Q4 11:52) — (11:52) 46-A.Pierce left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 11:47); Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the CHI 34 (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep middle to 10-L.Shenault Jr. for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 4:29) — 7-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Chicago Bears (Q2 30:35) — (:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 47-J.Schobert [59-A.Lynch] at JAX -4. Touchback. [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.59]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:17) — (:17) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep middle intended for 17-D.Chark Jr. INTERCEPTED by 58-R.Smith at JAX 43. 58-R.Smith to JAX 34 for 9 yards. FUMBLES, and recovers at JAX 32. [WPA -13.7% · EPA -2.14]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 38:28) — (8:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.3% · EPA +2.87]
• Chicago Bears (Q3 27:23) — (12:23) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson to JAX 28 for 8 yards (34-G.Mabin). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.13]
• Chicago Bears (Q1 51:19) — (6:19) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right to 12-A.Robinson pushed ob at JAX 46 for 21 yards (47-J.Schobert). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +2.22]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 18:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass short middle intended for 33-D.Ogunbowale INTERCEPTED by 58-R.Smith (59-D.Trevathan) at JAX 30. 58-R.Smith to JAX 25 for 5 yards (10-L.Shenault Jr.). [WPA -2.5% · EPA -5.19]
• Chicago Bears (Q2 30:35) — (:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 47-J.Schobert [59-A.Lynch] at JAX -4. Touchback. [WPA -16.1% · EPA -4.59]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 4:37) — (4:37) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep middle to 10-L.Shenault Jr. for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.99]
• Chicago Bears (Q3 27:23) — (12:23) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short left to 12-A.Robinson to JAX 28 for 8 yards (34-G.Mabin). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +3.13]

Quarterback report card

M.Trubisky led all passers in efficiency for Chicago Bears, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Trubisky (Chicago Bears) · 40 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +4.5% CPOE · +0.46 EPA/play · +18.50 total EPA
• M.Glennon (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 39 dropbacks · 61.5% completion · -3.0% CPOE · -0.16 EPA/play · -6.19 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Chicago Bears generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.23 vs -0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Chicago Bears: 12 drives, +21.17 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, -10.44 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Chicago Bears leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Trubisky (Chicago Bears) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Trubisky (CHI) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q1 53:18 · CHI 8 · Score 0-3
   (8:18) 7-A.Rosas 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt.
2. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q1 48:25 · JAX 5 · Score 6-3
   (3:25) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 80-J.Graham for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q1 48:18 · JAX 15 · Score 7-3
   2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
4. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 43:20 · JAX 2 · Score 10-3
   (13:20) 2-C.Santos 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 38:28 · CHI 20 · Score 10-9
   (8:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep left to 17-D.Chark Jr. for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 38:21 · CHI 15 · Score 10-10
   7-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt.
7. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 30:05 · JAX 22 · Score 13-10
   (:05) 2-C.Santos 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
8. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q3 29:54 · JAX 77 · Score 13-10
   (14:54) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 12-A.Robinson to CHI 35 for 12 yards (29-J.Jones).
9. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 24:21 · JAX 6 · Score 19-10
   (9:21) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles right end for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 24:14 · JAX 15 · Score 20-10
    2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
11. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 18:23 · JAX 6 · Score 26-10
    (3:23) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 18:17 · JAX 15 · Score 27-10
    2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
13. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 17:38 · JAX 22 · Score 33-10
    (2:38) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 80-J.Graham for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
14. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 17:30 · JAX 15 · Score 34-10
    2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
15. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q4 11:52 · JAX 3 · Score 40-10
    (11:52) 46-A.Pierce left tackle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q4 11:47 · JAX 15 · Score 41-10
    2-C.Santos extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell. Penalty on JAX, Defensive Too Many Men on Field, declined. PENALTY on JAX-94-D.Smoot,
17. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 4:37 · CHI 34 · Score 41-16
    (4:37) (Shotgun) 2-M.Glennon pass deep middle to 10-L.Shenault Jr. for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 4:29 · CHI 15 · Score 41-17
    7-A.Rosas extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-1-D.Colquitt.