FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 7 · October 20, 2016 · 11 min read

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers: 2016 Week 7 Recap

Packers defeat Bears 26–10 in Week 7

Aaron Rodgers led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 10–26 Week 7 finish.

Chicago Bears 10 1–6
Final 10–26
Green Bay Packers 26 4–2 Winner
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
10–26
Halftime
Chicago Bears 3–6 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Aaron Rodgers
FantasyHQ MVP
Aaron Rodgers
Game date
October 20, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • K.Carey 1 REC · 9 YDS +1.1 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Meredith 1 REC · 12 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Bellamy 2 REC · 32 YDS +0.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 39/65 · 311 YDS · 4 TD +15.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 13 REC · 132 YDS · 2 TD +9.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Randall Cobb
    Randall Cobb 11 REC · 95 YDS · 1 TD +6.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Chicago Bears 26–10 in Week 7 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-20, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-23.3% win probability) came in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers swung the momentum.

In Week 7 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-10-20, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 26–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with +15.77 total EPA, and +4.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.77 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-23.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB -4. TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-69-D.Bakhti

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Chicago Bears0370010
Green Bay Packers33713026

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +15.77 total EPA · 65 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  2. 2 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +9.46 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  3. 3 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.86 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Montgomery · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.32 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  5. 5 K. Carey · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +1.15 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Rushing · +1.13 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +0.45 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play
  8. 8 C. Meredith · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +0.38 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Rodgers — GB · Passing

A. Rodgers posted the highest total EPA (+15.77) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 65 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.31 EPA) came from Green Bay Packers: (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB -4. TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-69-D.Bakhtiari, Offensive Holdi

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Chicago Bears — A. Rodgers (Q3 29:43)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 24:15)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 15:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 5:39)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q1 53:56)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Barth (Q2 32:00)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 30:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 3–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 14 (Q1 53:56) — (8:56) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the GB 21 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 4-C.Barth 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the CHI 22 (Q2 30:22) — (:22) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

The third quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CHI 85 (Q3 29:43); Chicago Bears added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q3 29:30) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 5 (Q3 24:15) — (9:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q3 24:11) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 4 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 14:55) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the CHI 2 (Q4 5:39) — (5:39) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 29:43) — (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB -4. TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-69-D.Bakhti [WPA -23.3% · EPA -6.31]
  • Chicago Bears (Q3 21:33) — (6:33) 12-M.Barkley pass incomplete short right to 82-L.Paulsen (53-N.Perry). Green Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 12-M.Barkley sacked at CHI 40 for -10 yards (5 [WPA -9.3% · EPA -2.08]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 26:40) — (11:40) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 18-R.Cobb to CHI 18 for 18 yards (22-C.LeBlanc). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +1.88]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 24:15) — (9:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.1% · EPA +2.59]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 55:07) — (10:07) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 87-J.Nelson to CHI 20 for 9 yards (29-H.Jones-Quartey) [49-S.Acho]. [WPA +7.3% · EPA +2.58]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Green Bay Packers (Q3 29:43) — (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB -4. TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on GB-69-D.Bakhti [WPA -23.3% · EPA -6.31]
  • Chicago Bears (Q4 4:41) — (4:41) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley pass short middle intended for 86-Z.Miller INTERCEPTED by 50-B.Martinez (42-M.Burnett) at CHI 42. 50-B.Martinez to CHI 38 for 4 yards (70-B.Massie). [WPA -0.6% · EPA -4.08]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q4 1:41) — (1:41) 2-M.Crosby 31 yard field goal is BLOCKED (96-A.Hicks), Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -3.60]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 45:21) — (:21) 88-T.Montgomery left tackle to CHI 1 for no gain (22-C.LeBlanc). [WPA -6.4% · EPA -3.53]

Quarterback report card

A.Rodgers led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 65 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +4.8% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +15.77 total EPA
  • M.Barkley (Chicago Bears) · 17 dropbacks · 35.3% completion · -15.0% CPOE · -0.43 EPA/play · -7.31 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatChicago BearsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play-0.136+0.070
Offensive success rate33.8%45.2%
Pass EPA/play-0.295+0.243
Rush EPA/play-0.119-0.067
Defensive EPA/play-0.070+0.136
Defensive success rate54.8%66.2%

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.14), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Chicago Bears: 10 drives, -8.87 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 10 drives, +7.23 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • A. Rodgers (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
  • M. Barkley (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q1 53:56 · CHI 14 · Score 0-3
    (8:56) 2-M.Crosby 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
  2. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · GB 21 · Score 3-3
    (2:00) 4-C.Barth 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  3. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 30:22 · CHI 22 · Score 3-6
    (:22) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
  4. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 29:43 · CHI 85 · Score 9-6
    (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB
  5. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 29:30 · GB 15 · Score 10-6
    4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 24:15 · CHI 5 · Score 10-12
    (9:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 24:11 · CHI 15 · Score 10-13
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
  8. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · CHI 4 · Score 10-19
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle to 17-D.Adams for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q4 14:55 · CHI 15 · Score 10-20
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-10-J.Schum.
  10. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 5:39 · CHI 2 · Score 10-26
    (5:39) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 18-R.Cobb for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Chicago Bears 26-10 in Week 7, 2016 on 2016-10-20.

What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Chicago Bears 10, Green Bay Packers 26 (CHI 10-26 GB) in Week 7, 2016 on 2016-10-20.

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Chicago Bears 0, Green Bay Packers 3; Q2: Chicago Bears 3, Green Bay Packers 3; Q3: Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 7; Q4: Chicago Bears 0, Green Bay Packers 13; Final: Chicago Bears 10, Green Bay Packers 26.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Chicago Bears touchdown — A. Rodgers (Q3 29:43) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 24:15) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 15:00) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q4 5:39) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q1 53:56, 3 pts) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Barth (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 30:22, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 60.0% completion, +4.8% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +15.77 total passing EPA. M. Barkley (Chicago Bears), 35.3% completion, -15.0% CPOE, -0.43 EPA per dropback, -7.31 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +15.77 on passing plays. across 65 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.31 EPA): (14:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 5 for -10 yards (94-L.Floyd). FUMBLES (94-L.Floyd) [94-L.Floyd], touched at GB 1, RECOVERED by CHI-94-L.Floyd at GB -4. TOUCHDOWN. Penal. The biggest win-probability swing was -23.3%.

Season records after this game

Chicago Bears

Entered 1-5 Now 1-6 L

Green Bay Packers

Entered 3-2 Now 4-2 W