FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 11, 2016 · 10 min read

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions: 2016 Week 14 Recap

Lions defeat Bears 20–17 in Week 14

Marcus Jones led Fantasy Impact as Lions prevailed in a 17–20 Week 14 finish.

Chicago Bears 17 3–10
Final 17–20
Detroit Lions 20 9–4 Winner
Winner
Detroit Lions
Final score
17–20
Halftime
Chicago Bears 3–10 Detroit Lions
Top passer
Matthew Stafford
FantasyHQ MVP
Marcus Jones
Game date
December 11, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Bears

  • Matt Barkley
    Matt Barkley 20/37 · 204 YDS · 1 TD +4.4 Fantasy Impact
  • C.Meredith 6 REC · 72 YDS · 1 TD +3.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Dyami Brown
    Dyami Brown 6 REC · 42 YDS +2.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Lions

  • Marcus Jones
    Marcus Jones 4 REC · 67 YDS +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Matthew Stafford
    Matthew Stafford 21/46 · 225 YDS · 3 TD +4.4 Fantasy Impact
  • E.Ebron 4 REC · 32 YDS +3.5 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Detroit Lions defeated the Chicago Bears 20–17 in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-39.7% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the Detroit Lions took care of business against the Chicago Bears, pulling away with a 20–17 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions) paced the passing game, with +4.40 total EPA, and -6.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Jones (Detroit Lions) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.78 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-39.7% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Detroit Lions changed the game: (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Chicago Bears3077017
Detroit Lions01037020

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Jones · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +5.78 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Stafford · Detroit Lions · Passing · +4.40 total EPA · 46 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Barkley · Chicago Bears · Passing · +4.36 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Meredith · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +3.58 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  5. 5 E. Ebron · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +3.51 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.70 EPA/play
  6. 6 D. Brown · Chicago Bears · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Howard · Chicago Bears · Rushing · +0.84 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Washington · Detroit Lions · Receiving · +0.70 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.35 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Jones — DET · Receiving

M. Jones posted the highest total EPA (+5.78) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Detroit Lions's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.16 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.70 EPA) came from Detroit Lions: (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Detroit Lions — A. Boldin (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 30:24)
  • Chicago Bears — C. Meredith (M. Barkley pass) (Q3 18:26)
  • Chicago Bears — C. LeBlanc (Q4 7:14)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Stafford (Q4 3:27)

Field goals

  • Chicago Bears — C. Barth (Q1 46:32)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q2 34:21)
  • Detroit Lions — M. Prater (Q3 20:40)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 3–0. Chicago Bears connected on a field goal from the DET 20 (Q1 46:32) — (1:32) 4-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The second quarter: Detroit Lions won the period 10–0. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the CHI 11 (Q2 34:21) — (4:21) 5-M.Prater 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CHI 16 (Q2 30:24) — (:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 80-A.Boldin for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q2 30:19) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

The third quarter: Chicago Bears won the period 7–3. Detroit Lions connected on a field goal from the CHI 36 (Q3 20:40) — (5:40) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Chicago Bears found the end zone from the DET 31 (Q3 18:26) — (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley pass deep right to 81-C.Meredith for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Chicago Bears added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q3 18:19) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell..

The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Chicago Bears found the end zone from the CHI 86 (Q4 7:14); Chicago Bears added 1 points from the DET 15 (Q4 7:07) — 4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.; Detroit Lions found the end zone from the CHI 7 (Q4 3:27) — (3:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford scrambles right tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Detroit Lions added 1 points from the CHI 15 (Q4 3:17) — 5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Detroit Lions (Q4 7:14) — (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -39.7% · EPA -6.70]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 4:59) — (4:59) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 80-A.Boldin to CHI 21 for 23 yards (37-B.Callahan). [WPA +17.5% · EPA +2.09]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 36:31) — (6:31) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones to CHI 18 for 48 yards (29-H.Jones-Quartey). Penalty on CHI-97-W.Young, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +17.0% · EPA +4.35]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 12:42) — (12:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 15-G.Tate INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Hurst (37-B.Callahan) at CHI -5. Touchback. [WPA -15.7% · EPA -5.21]
  • Chicago Bears (Q4 0:58) — (:58) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley pass short left to 81-C.Meredith pushed ob at DET 16 for 27 yards (23-D.Slay). PENALTY on CHI-72-C.Leno, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at DET 43 - No Play. [WPA -13.0% · EPA -0.94]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Detroit Lions (Q4 7:14) — (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -39.7% · EPA -6.70]
  • Detroit Lions (Q4 12:42) — (12:42) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 15-G.Tate INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Hurst (37-B.Callahan) at CHI -5. Touchback. [WPA -15.7% · EPA -5.21]
  • Detroit Lions (Q2 36:31) — (6:31) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 11-M.Jones to CHI 18 for 48 yards (29-H.Jones-Quartey). Penalty on CHI-97-W.Young, Defensive Holding, declined. [WPA +17.0% · EPA +4.35]
  • Detroit Lions (Q1 54:08) — (9:08) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford sacked at CHI 45 for -11 yards (96-A.Hicks). Penalty on DET-68-T.Decker, Offensive Holding, declined. Penalty on DET-71-R.Reiff, Offensive Holding, declined. [WPA -12.4% · EPA -3.16]

Quarterback report card

M.Stafford led all passers in efficiency for Detroit Lions, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Stafford (Detroit Lions) · 46 dropbacks · 45.7% completion · -6.6% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +4.40 total EPA
  • M.Barkley (Chicago Bears) · 37 dropbacks · 54.1% completion · -6.3% CPOE · +0.12 EPA/play · +4.36 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatChicago BearsDetroit Lions
Offensive EPA/play+0.021+0.022
Offensive success rate42.9%42.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.118+0.096
Rush EPA/play-0.024-0.179
Defensive EPA/play-0.022-0.021
Defensive success rate57.1%57.1%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Chicago Bears +0.02, Detroit Lions +0.02) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Chicago Bears: 9 drives, +1.48 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Detroit Lions: 9 drives, +1.81 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Detroit Lions leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • M. Jones (Detroit Lions) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Stafford (DET) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • M. Barkley (CHI) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Chicago Bears FG (+3) — Q1 46:32 · DET 20 · Score 3-0
    (1:32) 4-C.Barth 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  2. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q2 34:21 · CHI 11 · Score 3-3
    (4:21) 5-M.Prater 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  3. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q2 30:24 · CHI 16 · Score 3-9
    (:24) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 80-A.Boldin for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q2 30:19 · CHI 15 · Score 3-10
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  5. Detroit Lions FG (+3) — Q3 20:40 · CHI 36 · Score 3-13
    (5:40) 5-M.Prater 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  6. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q3 18:26 · DET 31 · Score 9-13
    (3:26) (Shotgun) 12-M.Barkley pass deep right to 81-C.Meredith for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q3 18:19 · DET 15 · Score 10-13
    4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  8. Chicago Bears TD (+6) — Q4 7:14 · CHI 86 · Score 16-13
    (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Chicago Bears XP (+1) — Q4 7:07 · DET 15 · Score 17-13
    4-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  10. Detroit Lions TD (+6) — Q4 3:27 · CHI 7 · Score 17-19
    (3:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford scrambles right tackle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Detroit Lions XP (+1) — Q4 3:17 · CHI 15 · Score 17-20
    5-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

The Detroit Lions beat the Chicago Bears 20-17 in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the final score of Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

The final score was Chicago Bears 17, Detroit Lions 20 (CHI 17-20 DET) in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

Q1: Chicago Bears 3, Detroit Lions 0; Q2: Chicago Bears 0, Detroit Lions 10; Q3: Chicago Bears 7, Detroit Lions 3; Q4: Chicago Bears 7, Detroit Lions 7; Final: Chicago Bears 17, Detroit Lions 20.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

Detroit Lions touchdown — A. Boldin (M. Stafford pass) (Q2 30:24) Chicago Bears touchdown — C. Meredith (M. Barkley pass) (Q3 18:26) Chicago Bears touchdown — C. LeBlanc (Q4 7:14) Detroit Lions touchdown — M. Stafford (Q4 3:27) Chicago Bears field goal — C. Barth (Q1 46:32, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q2 34:21, 3 pts) Detroit Lions field goal — M. Prater (Q3 20:40, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

M. Stafford (Detroit Lions), 45.7% completion, -6.6% CPOE, +0.10 EPA per dropback, +4.40 total passing EPA. M. Barkley (Chicago Bears), 54.1% completion, -6.3% CPOE, +0.12 EPA per dropback, +4.36 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

M. Jones (Detroit Lions) led the game in total EPA with +5.78 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.70 EPA): (7:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right intended for 80-A.Boldin INTERCEPTED by 22-C.LeBlanc at DET 24. 22-C.LeBlanc for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -39.7%.

Was Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Detroit Lions won 20-17 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Chicago Bears

Entered 3-9 Now 3-10 L

Detroit Lions

Entered 8-4 Now 9-4 W