FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 16 · December 27, 2020 · 10 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Commanders: 2020 Week 16 Recap

Panthers defeat Commanders 20–13 in Week 16

Curtis Samuel led Fantasy Impact as Panthers prevailed in a 20–13 Week 16 finish.

Carolina Panthers 20 5–10 Winner
Final 20–13
Washington Commanders 13 6–9
Winner
Carolina Panthers
Final score
20–13
Halftime
Carolina Panthers 20–3 Washington Commanders
Top passer
Teddy Bridgewater
FantasyHQ MVP
Curtis Samuel
Game date
December 27, 2020

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • Curtis Samuel
    Curtis Samuel 5 REC · 106 YDS +9.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Alex Armah
    Alex Armah 1 CAR · 3 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Ryan Smith
    Ryan Smith 2 REC · 15 YDS +0.5 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Taylor Heinicke
    Taylor Heinicke 12/24 · 152 YDS · 2 TD +5.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Steven Sims
    Steven Sims 4 REC · 52 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • J.McKissic 8 REC · 77 YDS · 1 TD +2.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Carolina Panthers defeated the Washington Commanders 20–13 in Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-27, a matchup that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half. The decisive swing (+22.3% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Carolina Panthers swung the momentum.

In Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season on 2020-12-27, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the Washington Commanders, pulling away with a 20–13 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -3.23 total EPA, and +1.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, C. Samuel (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.55 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+22.3% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers61400020
Washington Commanders0337013

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 C. Samuel · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +9.55 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Heinicke · Washington Commanders · Passing · +5.29 total EPA · 24 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Sims · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.99 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. McKissic · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.58 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  5. 5 C. Sims · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.26 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  6. 6 R. Foster · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.26 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.13 EPA/play
  7. 7 A. Gibson · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +1.18 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play
  8. 8 J. McKissic · Washington Commanders · Rushing · +0.90 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

C. Samuel — CAR · Receiving

C. Samuel posted the highest total EPA (+9.55) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Carolina Panthers's efficiency. Across 5 counted snaps, they averaged +1.91 EPA per play.

The signature play (+7.75 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Carolina Panthers — J. Charlton (Q1 46:53)
  • Carolina Panthers — M. Davis (Q2 38:39)
  • Carolina Panthers — R. Anderson (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q2 33:12)
  • Washington Commanders — J. McKissic (T. Heinicke pass) (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q2 31:24)
  • Washington Commanders — D. Hopkins (Q3 19:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 6–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the WAS 56 (Q1 46:53).

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 14–3. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the WAS 1 (Q2 38:39) — (8:39) 28-M.Davis left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 38:37) — 4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the WAS 14 (Q2 33:12) — (3:12) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle to 11-R.Anderson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q2 33:06); Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the CAR 30 (Q2 31:24) — (1:24) 3-D.Hopkins 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The third quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 3–0. Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the CAR 8 (Q3 19:04) — (4:04) 3-D.Hopkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

The fourth quarter: Washington Commanders won the period 7–0. Washington Commanders found the end zone from the CAR 29 (Q4 2:00); Washington Commanders added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 1:50) — 3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 46:53) — (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +22.3% · EPA +7.75]
  • Washington Commanders (Q1 53:03) — (8:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins sacked at CAR 40 for -10 yards (98-M.Haynes). FUMBLES (98-M.Haynes) [94-E.Obada], RECOVERED by CAR-56-J.Carter at CAR 28. 56-J.Carter pushed ob at CAR 47 for 19 [WPA -16.3% · EPA -6.52]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 55:21) — (10:21) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater sacked at WAS 43 for -9 yards (94-D.Payne). [WPA -9.7% · EPA -3.42]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 36:48) — (6:48) 7-D.Haskins pass short right intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 52-T.Whitehead at CAR 45. 52-T.Whitehead to CAR 45 for no gain (82-L.Thomas). [WPA -7.0% · EPA -4.59]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 41:43) — (11:43) 10-C.Samuel right end to WAS 6 for 45 yards (39-J.Reaves). [WPA +5.9% · EPA +3.01]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q1 46:53) — (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +22.3% · EPA +7.75]
  • Washington Commanders (Q1 53:03) — (8:03) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins sacked at CAR 40 for -10 yards (98-M.Haynes). FUMBLES (98-M.Haynes) [94-E.Obada], RECOVERED by CAR-56-J.Carter at CAR 28. 56-J.Carter pushed ob at CAR 47 for 19 [WPA -16.3% · EPA -6.52]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 22:03) — (7:03) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater sacked at WAS 26 for -7 yards (99-C.Young). FUMBLES (99-C.Young), RECOVERED by WAS-99-C.Young at WAS 26. [WPA -2.7% · EPA -5.21]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 36:48) — (6:48) 7-D.Haskins pass short right intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 52-T.Whitehead at CAR 45. 52-T.Whitehead to CAR 45 for no gain (82-L.Thomas). [WPA -7.0% · EPA -4.59]

Quarterback report card

T.Bridgewater led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers) · 34 dropbacks · 55.9% completion · +1.6% CPOE · -0.09 EPA/play · -3.23 total EPA
  • D.Haskins (Washington Commanders) · 31 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -17.3% CPOE · -0.49 EPA/play · -15.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play+0.027-0.088
Offensive success rate41.5%42.7%
Pass EPA/play-0.095-0.180
Rush EPA/play-0.132+0.079
Defensive EPA/play+0.088-0.027
Defensive success rate57.3%58.5%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.09), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, +2.25 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 11 drives, -7.24 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • C. Samuel (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Haskins (WAS) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q1 46:53 · WAS 56 · Score 6-0
    (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 38:39 · WAS 1 · Score 12-0
    (8:39) 28-M.Davis left end for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 38:37 · WAS 15 · Score 13-0
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton.
  4. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 33:12 · WAS 14 · Score 19-0
    (3:12) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle to 11-R.Anderson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 33:06 · WAS 15 · Score 20-0
    4-J.Slye extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-3-J.Charlton. PENALTY on WAS-20-J.Moreland, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
  6. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q2 31:24 · CAR 30 · Score 20-3
    (1:24) 3-D.Hopkins 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  7. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q3 19:04 · CAR 8 · Score 20-6
    (4:04) 3-D.Hopkins 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.
  8. Washington Commanders TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · CAR 29 · Score 20-12
    (2:00) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass deep left to 41-J.McKissic for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-Y.Gross-Matos]. Penalty on CAR-21-J.Chinn, Defensive Pass Interference
  9. Washington Commanders XP (+1) — Q4 1:50 · CAR 15 · Score 20-13
    3-D.Hopkins extra point is GOOD, Center-57-N.Sundberg, Holder-5-T.Way.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

The Carolina Panthers beat the Washington Commanders 20-13 in Week 16, 2020 on 2020-12-27.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 20, Washington Commanders 13 (CAR 20-13 WAS) in Week 16, 2020 on 2020-12-27.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 6, Washington Commanders 0; Q2: Carolina Panthers 14, Washington Commanders 3; Q3: Carolina Panthers 0, Washington Commanders 3; Q4: Carolina Panthers 0, Washington Commanders 7; Final: Carolina Panthers 20, Washington Commanders 13.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

Carolina Panthers touchdown — J. Charlton (Q1 46:53) Carolina Panthers touchdown — M. Davis (Q2 38:39) Carolina Panthers touchdown — R. Anderson (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q2 33:12) Washington Commanders touchdown — J. McKissic (T. Heinicke pass) (Q4 2:00) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q2 31:24, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — D. Hopkins (Q3 19:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

T. Bridgewater (Carolina Panthers), 55.9% completion, +1.6% CPOE, -0.09 EPA per dropback, -3.23 total passing EPA. D. Haskins (Washington Commanders), 45.2% completion, -17.3% CPOE, -0.49 EPA per dropback, -15.20 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders?

C. Samuel (Carolina Panthers) led the game in total EPA with +9.55 on receiving plays. across 5 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+7.75 EPA): (1:53) 3-J.Charlton punts 43 yards to WAS 13, Center-44-J.Jansen. 15-S.Sims MUFFS catch, touched at WAS 13, RECOVERED by CAR-16-B.Zylstra at WAS -8. TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +22.3%.

Was Carolina Panthers vs Washington Commanders a close game?

Yes — the margin was 7 points. Carolina Panthers won 20-13 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 4-10 Now 5-10 W

Washington Commanders

Entered 6-8 Now 6-9 L