Carolina Panthers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2019 Week 8 Recap

Game story

In Week 8 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-10-27, the San Francisco 49ers took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 51–13 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

K. Allen (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with -32.49 total EPA, and -16.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Coleman (San Francisco 49ers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.30 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-11.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (7:03) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at SF 42. 59-L.Kuechly to SF 41 for 1 yard (85-G.Kittle).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 T. Coleman · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +7.30 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Garoppolo · San Francisco 49ers · Passing · +5.87 total EPA · 27 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
3. 3 E. Sanders · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.64 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
4. 4 C. McCaffrey · Carolina Panthers · Rushing · +3.45 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.22 EPA/play
5. 5 G. Kittle · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +3.39 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
6. 6 D. Samuel · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +3.05 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.52 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Coleman · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.83 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Breida · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +1.82 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.82 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — E. Sanders (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q1 54:18)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Coleman (Q1 46:15)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Coleman (J. Garoppolo pass) (Q2 42:48)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Coleman (Q2 32:00)
• Carolina Panthers — C. McCaffrey (Q3 26:24)
• San Francisco 49ers — D. Samuel (Q3 22:20)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Coleman (Q3 15:32)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Mostert (Q4 6:24)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — J. Slye (Q1 49:28)
• San Francisco 49ers — R. Gould (Q4 12:56)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 4 (Q1 54:18) — (9:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 17-E.Sanders for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 54:14) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SF 23 (Q1 49:28) — (4:28) 4-J.Slye 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 19 (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman up the middle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 46:09) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 13–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 10 (Q2 42:48) — (12:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 26-T.Coleman for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at CAR 16. 16-yac; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q2 42:43) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 48 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman right tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

The third quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 14–10. Carolina Panthers registered a safety from the CAR 95 (Q3 27:48) — (12:48) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked in End Zone for -5 yards, SAFETY (55-B.Irvin).; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 40 (Q3 26:24) — (11:24) 22-C.McCaffrey left end for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers registered a safety from the SF 1 (Q3 26:15) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 22-C.McCaffrey rushes left tackle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 20 (Q3 22:20) — (7:20) 19-D.Samuel right tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 22:15) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.; San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q3 15:32) — (:32) 96-S.Day reported in as eligible. 26-T.Coleman right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q3 15:29) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

The fourth quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 10–0. San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 2 (Q4 12:56); San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 41 (Q4 6:24) — (6:24) N.Mullens at QB. 31-R.Mostert right tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q4 6:16) — 9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 52:03) — (7:03) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at SF 42. 59-L.Kuechly to SF 41 for 1 yard (85-G.Kittle). [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.42]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 47:32) — (2:32) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left to 85-G.Kittle to CAR 33 for 29 yards (33-T.Boston). PENALTY on CAR-33-T.Boston, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at CAR 33. Caught at SF 37. 4-yac [WPA +8.1% · EPA +3.35]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 56:49) — (11:49) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman left end to CAR 19 for 22 yards (33-T.Boston). [WPA +7.3% · EPA +1.84]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 46:15) — (1:15) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman up the middle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.2% · EPA +2.93]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 55:33) — (10:33) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 22-M.Breida to CAR 2 for 15 yards (25-E.Reid). Caught at CAR 20. 18-yac [WPA +5.8% · EPA +1.82]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 15:04) — (:04) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left intended for 39-R.Bonnafon INTERCEPTED by 97-N.Bosa at SF 45. 97-N.Bosa to CAR 9 for 46 yards (12-D.Moore). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -8.70]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q1 52:03) — (7:03) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 85-G.Kittle INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at SF 42. 59-L.Kuechly to SF 41 for 1 yard (85-G.Kittle). [WPA -11.7% · EPA -5.42]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman right tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.9% · EPA +4.23]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 43:52) — (13:52) (Shotgun) 7-K.Allen pass short left intended for 10-C.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 41-E.Moseley at CAR 30. 41-E.Moseley to CAR 27 for 3 yards (10-C.Samuel). [WPA -4.9% · EPA -4.04]

Quarterback report card

K.Allen led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• K.Allen (Carolina Panthers) · 47 dropbacks · 40.4% completion · -16.4% CPOE · -0.69 EPA/play · -32.49 total EPA
• J.Garoppolo (San Francisco 49ers) · 27 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +11.7% CPOE · +0.22 EPA/play · +5.87 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

San Francisco 49ers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs -0.39), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Carolina Panthers: 14 drives, -34.27 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 15 drives, +9.65 total EPA, 8 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• San Francisco 49ers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• T. Coleman (San Francisco 49ers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• K. Allen (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
• J. Garoppolo (SF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 54:18 · CAR 4 · Score 0-6
   (9:18) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 17-E.Sanders for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 54:14 · CAR 15 · Score 0-7
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
3. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q1 49:28 · SF 23 · Score 3-7
   (4:28) 4-J.Slye 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
4. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 46:15 · CAR 19 · Score 3-13
   (1:15) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman up the middle for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
5. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 46:09 · CAR 15 · Score 3-14
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
6. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 42:48 · CAR 10 · Score 3-20
   (12:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 26-T.Coleman for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at CAR 16. 16-yac
7. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 42:43 · CAR 15 · Score 3-21
   9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
8. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · CAR 48 · Score 3-27
   (2:00) (Shotgun) 26-T.Coleman right tackle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Carolina Panthers Safety (+2) — Q3 27:48 · CAR 95 · Score 5-27
   (12:48) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked in End Zone for -5 yards, SAFETY (55-B.Irvin).
10. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 26:24 · SF 40 · Score 11-27
    (11:24) 22-C.McCaffrey left end for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Carolina Panthers Safety (+2) — Q3 26:15 · SF 1 · Score 13-27
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 22-C.McCaffrey rushes left tackle. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
12. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 22:20 · CAR 20 · Score 13-33
    (7:20) 19-D.Samuel right tackle for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 22:15 · CAR 15 · Score 13-34
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q3 15:32 · CAR 1 · Score 13-40
    (:32) 96-S.Day reported in as eligible. 26-T.Coleman right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
15. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q3 15:29 · CAR 15 · Score 13-41
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.
16. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q4 12:56 · CAR 2 · Score 13-44
    (12:56) 9-R.Gould 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky. Penalty on CAR-26-D.Jackson, Defensive Offside, declined.
17. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 6:24 · CAR 41 · Score 13-50
    (6:24) N.Mullens at QB. 31-R.Mostert right tackle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
18. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 6:16 · CAR 15 · Score 13-51
    9-R.Gould extra point is GOOD, Center-86-K.Nelson, Holder-6-M.Wishnowsky.