Carolina Panthers vs. San Francisco 49ers: 2004 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2004 NFL season on 2004-11-14, the Carolina Panthers took care of business against the San Francisco 49ers, pulling away with a 37–27 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Rattay (San Francisco 49ers) paced the passing game, with -8.37 total EPA.

On the individual side, M. Muhammad (Carolina Panthers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.95 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-21.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when San Francisco 49ers changed the game: (3:33) 13-T.Rattay pass intended for 43-M.Hicks INTERCEPTED by 99-B.Buckner (54-W.Witherspoon) at SF 33. 99-B.Buckner to SF 25 for 8 yards.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 M. Muhammad · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +15.95 total EPA · 6 snaps · +2.66 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Delhomme · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +14.66 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
3. 3 C. Wilson · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +8.95 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
4. 4 R. Proehl · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.71 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
5. 5 B. Lloyd · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +5.50 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
6. 6 E. Johnson · San Francisco 49ers · Receiving · +4.86 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.81 EPA/play
7. 7 N. Goings · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.10 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Hicks · San Francisco 49ers · Rushing · +1.70 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• San Francisco 49ers — K. Barlow (Q1 54:12)
• San Francisco 49ers — K. Barlow (Q2 33:03)
• Carolina Panthers — B. Bennett (Q3 24:27)
• Carolina Panthers — M. Muhammad (J. Delhomme pass) (Q3 18:55)
• San Francisco 49ers — B. Lloyd (T. Rattay pass) (Q4 10:47)
• Carolina Panthers — M. Muhammad (J. Delhomme pass) (Q4 7:17)
• Carolina Panthers — M. Muhammad (J. Delhomme pass) (Q4 2:44)

Field goals

• San Francisco 49ers — T. Peterson (Q1 49:02)
• San Francisco 49ers — N. Goings (Q1 47:29)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q2 31:23)
• Carolina Panthers — J. Kasay (Q3 25:06)
• San Francisco 49ers — T. Peterson (Q3 15:52)
• Carolina Panthers — T. Sauerbrun (Q4 4:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 13–0. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q1 54:12) — (9:12) 32-K.Barlow left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q1 54:09) — 2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 10 (Q1 49:02) — (4:02) 2-T.Peterson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the SF 43 (Q1 47:29) — (2:29) 37-N.Goings up the middle to SF 45 for -2 yards (97-B.Young, 96-A.Carter)..

The second quarter: San Francisco 49ers won the period 7–3. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 3 (Q2 33:03) — (3:03) 32-K.Barlow right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 33:00); Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SF 19 (Q2 31:23) — (1:23) 4-J.Kasay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun..

The third quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 17–3. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SF 7 (Q3 25:06) — (10:06) 4-J.Kasay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 1 (Q3 24:27) — (9:27) 36-B.Bennett up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 24:24) — 10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 40 (Q3 18:55) — (3:55) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF9.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q3 18:46) — 10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.; San Francisco 49ers connected on a field goal from the CAR 28 (Q3 15:52) — (:52) 2-T.Peterson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee..

The fourth quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 17–7. San Francisco 49ers found the end zone from the CAR 30 (Q4 10:47) — (10:47) 13-T.Rattay pass to 85-B.Lloyd for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; San Francisco 49ers added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q4 10:41) — 2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 4 (Q4 7:17) — (7:17) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 7:12) — 10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the SF 16 (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) 10-T.Sauerbrun 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the SF 26 (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the SF 2 (Q4 2:38) — 10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 3:33) — (3:33) 13-T.Rattay pass intended for 43-M.Hicks INTERCEPTED by 99-B.Buckner (54-W.Witherspoon) at SF 33. 99-B.Buckner to SF 25 for 8 yards. [WPA -21.6% · EPA -4.60]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 18:55) — (3:55) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF9. [WPA +20.4% · EPA +5.49]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 10:47) — (10:47) 13-T.Rattay pass to 85-B.Lloyd for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +18.1% · EPA +3.62]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 6:04) — (6:04) 13-T.Rattay sacked at SF 21 for -10 yards (54-W.Witherspoon). FUMBLES (54-W.Witherspoon), RECOVERED by CAR-93-M.Rucker at SF 21. 93-M.Rucker to SF 21 for no gain (43-M.Hicks). [WPA -17.3% · EPA -4.68]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 2:44) — (2:44) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +4.33]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Carolina Panthers (Q3 18:55) — (3:55) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF9. [WPA +20.4% · EPA +5.49]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q4 6:04) — (6:04) 13-T.Rattay sacked at SF 21 for -10 yards (54-W.Witherspoon). FUMBLES (54-W.Witherspoon), RECOVERED by CAR-93-M.Rucker at SF 21. 93-M.Rucker to SF 21 for no gain (43-M.Hicks). [WPA -17.3% · EPA -4.68]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q2 33:00) — 2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. PENALTY on CAR-90-J.Peppers, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs. [WPA +0.3% · EPA -4.61]
• San Francisco 49ers (Q3 24:39) — (9:39) 13-T.Rattay pass intended for 82-E.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 58-M.Fields at SF 15. 58-M.Fields to SF 1 for 14 yards (13-T.Rattay). [WPA -7.8% · EPA -4.61]

Quarterback report card

T.Rattay led all passers in efficiency for San Francisco 49ers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• T.Rattay (San Francisco 49ers) · 42 dropbacks · 52.4% completion · -0.20 EPA/play · -8.37 total EPA
• J.Delhomme (Carolina Panthers) · 38 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · +0.39 EPA/play · +14.66 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Carolina Panthers generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Carolina Panthers: 14 drives, +13.92 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• San Francisco 49ers: 14 drives, -6.67 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Carolina Panthers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• M. Muhammad (Carolina Panthers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q1 54:12 · CAR 1 · Score 0-6
   (9:12) 32-K.Barlow left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q1 54:09 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
   2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
3. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 49:02 · CAR 10 · Score 0-10
   (4:02) 2-T.Peterson 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
4. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q1 47:29 · SF 43 · Score 0-10
   (2:29) 37-N.Goings up the middle to SF 45 for -2 yards (97-B.Young, 96-A.Carter).
5. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q2 33:03 · CAR 3 · Score 0-16
   (3:03) 32-K.Barlow right guard for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q2 33:00 · CAR 2 · Score 0-17
   2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee. PENALTY on CAR-90-J.Peppers, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
7. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q2 31:23 · SF 19 · Score 3-17
   (1:23) 4-J.Kasay 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 25:06 · SF 7 · Score 6-17
   (10:06) 4-J.Kasay 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-10-T.Sauerbrun.
9. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 24:27 · SF 1 · Score 12-17
   (9:27) 36-B.Bennett up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 24:24 · SF 2 · Score 13-17
    10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.
11. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 18:55 · SF 40 · Score 19-17
    (3:55) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at SF9.
12. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 18:46 · SF 2 · Score 20-17
    10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.
13. San Francisco 49ers FG (+3) — Q3 15:52 · CAR 28 · Score 20-20
    (:52) 2-T.Peterson 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
14. San Francisco 49ers TD (+6) — Q4 10:47 · CAR 30 · Score 20-26
    (10:47) 13-T.Rattay pass to 85-B.Lloyd for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. San Francisco 49ers XP (+1) — Q4 10:41 · CAR 2 · Score 20-27
    2-T.Peterson extra point is GOOD, Center-86-B.Jennings, Holder-4-A.Lee.
16. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 7:17 · SF 4 · Score 26-27
    (7:17) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
17. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 7:12 · SF 2 · Score 27-27
    10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.
18. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 4:29 · SF 16 · Score 30-27
    (4:29) 10-T.Sauerbrun 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.
19. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q4 2:44 · SF 26 · Score 36-27
    (2:44) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 87-M.Muhammad for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
20. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q4 2:38 · SF 2 · Score 37-27
    10-T.Sauerbrun extra point is GOOD, Center-56-J.Kyle, Holder-81-R.Proehl.