Carolina Panthers vs. Buffalo Bills: 2013 Week 2 Recap

Game story

In Week 2 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-09-15, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 24–23 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 19 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

C. Newton (Carolina Panthers) paced the passing game, with +2.12 total EPA, and -2.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Johnson (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.40 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-35.3% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (:01) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 24 for -16 yards (50-K.Alonso).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 S. Johnson · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.40 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
2. 2 G. Olsen · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +8.40 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
3. 3 R. Woods · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.04 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
4. 4 F. Summers · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.35 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.67 EPA/play
5. 5 E. Manuel · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +3.34 total EPA · 45 snaps · +0.07 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Spiller · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.39 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
7. 7 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +2.12 total EPA · 49 snaps · +0.04 EPA/play
8. 8 T. Ginn · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +1.11 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.14 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Carolina Panthers — G. Olsen (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:18)
• Carolina Panthers — T. Ginn (C. Newton pass) (Q3 21:59)
• Buffalo Bills — F. Jackson (Q3 19:18)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Johnson (E. Manuel pass) (Q4 0:06)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q2 40:46)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q3 25:52)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 12:47)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 8:44)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Carpenter (Q4 7:18)
• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 1:42)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CAR 37 (Q2 40:46) — (10:46) 2-D.Carpenter 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the BUF 13 (Q2 30:18) — (:18) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, crossing from right.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 30:13) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 11–7. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CAR 2 (Q3 25:52) — (10:52) 2-D.Carpenter 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the BUF 40 (Q3 21:59) — (6:59) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 21:52) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CAR 4 (Q3 19:18) — (4:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-F.Jackson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills registered a safety from the CAR 2 (Q3 19:15).

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–9. Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the BUF 9 (Q4 12:47) — (12:47) 9-G.Gano 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the BUF 7 (Q4 8:44) — (8:44) 9-G.Gano 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the CAR 30 (Q4 7:18) — (7:18) 2-D.Carpenter 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the BUF 21 (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) 9-G.Gano 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the CAR 2 (Q4 0:06) — (:06) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short left to 13-S.Johnson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 8 yds. into end zone.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q4 0:02) — 2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Carolina Panthers (Q4 0:01) — (:01) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at CAR 24 for -16 yards (50-K.Alonso). [WPA -35.3% · EPA -0.06]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 0:06) — (:06) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short left to 13-S.Johnson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 8 yds. into end zone. [WPA +30.9% · EPA +3.12]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) (No Huddle) 3-E.Manuel sacked at BUF 16 for -9 yards (27-Q.Mikell). FUMBLES (27-Q.Mikell), RECOVERED by CAR-92-D.Edwards at BUF 16. 92-D.Edwards to BUF 16 for no gain (84-S.Chandler). [WPA -19.3% · EPA -6.02]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:19) — (12:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short middle intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at BUF 26. 59-L.Kuechly to BUF 26 for no gain (11-T.Graham). The Replay Assistant challen [WPA -14.5% · EPA -4.24]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 21:59) — (6:59) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +4.00]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q3 16:14) — (1:14) (No Huddle) 3-E.Manuel sacked at BUF 16 for -9 yards (27-Q.Mikell). FUMBLES (27-Q.Mikell), RECOVERED by CAR-92-D.Edwards at BUF 16. 92-D.Edwards to BUF 16 for no gain (84-S.Chandler). [WPA -19.3% · EPA -6.02]
• Buffalo Bills (Q4 12:19) — (12:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short middle intended for 11-T.Graham INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Kuechly at BUF 26. 59-L.Kuechly to BUF 26 for no gain (11-T.Graham). The Replay Assistant challen [WPA -14.5% · EPA -4.24]
• Carolina Panthers (Q3 21:59) — (6:59) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone. [WPA +14.4% · EPA +4.00]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 57:04) — (12:04) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 11-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Alonso at BUF 19. 50-K.Alonso to BUF 19 for no gain (35-M.Tolbert). [WPA -13.1% · EPA -3.99]

Quarterback report card

C.Newton led all passers in efficiency for Carolina Panthers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 49 dropbacks · 42.9% completion · -2.7% CPOE · +0.04 EPA/play · +2.12 total EPA
• E.Manuel (Buffalo Bills) · 45 dropbacks · 60.0% completion · +5.8% CPOE · +0.07 EPA/play · +3.34 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Carolina Panthers +0.07, Buffalo Bills +0.06) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Buffalo Bills: 12 drives, +5.70 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, +6.84 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• S. Johnson (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• E. Manuel (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 40:46 · CAR 37 · Score 0-3
   (10:46) 2-D.Carpenter 55 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
2. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 30:18 · BUF 13 · Score 6-3
   (:18) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, crossing from right.
3. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 30:13 · BUF 2 · Score 7-3
   9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q3 25:52 · CAR 2 · Score 7-6
   (10:52) 2-D.Carpenter 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
5. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q3 21:59 · BUF 40 · Score 13-6
   (6:59) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 19-T.Ginn for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 7 yds. into end zone.
6. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q3 21:52 · BUF 2 · Score 14-6
   9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 19:18 · CAR 4 · Score 14-12
   (4:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-F.Jackson right guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Buffalo Bills Safety (+2) — Q3 19:15 · CAR 2 · Score 14-14
   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 3-E.Manuel pass to 10-R.Woods is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. Caught at goal line, slanting from right.
9. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 12:47 · BUF 9 · Score 17-14
   (12:47) 9-G.Gano 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
10. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 8:44 · BUF 7 · Score 20-14
    (8:44) 9-G.Gano 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
11. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 7:18 · CAR 30 · Score 20-17
    (7:18) 2-D.Carpenter 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.
12. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 1:42 · BUF 21 · Score 23-17
    (1:42) 9-G.Gano 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
13. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 0:06 · CAR 2 · Score 23-23
    (:06) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short left to 13-S.Johnson for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 8 yds. into end zone.
14. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 0:02 · CAR 2 · Score 23-24
    2-D.Carpenter extra point is GOOD, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-6-S.Powell.