Carolina Panthers vs. Baltimore Ravens: 2014 Week 4 Recap

Game story

In Week 4 of the 2014 NFL season on 2014-09-28, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 38–10 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 28 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +29.35 total EPA, and +7.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +29.35 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+15.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (13:25) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Steve Smith catches pass at C40 off tip from Owen Daniels.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Flacco · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +29.35 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.92 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Newton · Carolina Panthers · Passing · +15.62 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.50 EPA/play
3. 3 S. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +11.12 total EPA · 10 snaps · +1.11 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Cotchery · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +6.87 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.98 EPA/play
5. 5 K. Benjamin · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +5.50 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
6. 6 T. Smith · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.77 EPA/play
7. 7 O. Daniels · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.77 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Avant · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +3.48 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Baltimore Ravens — S. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 43:25)
• Carolina Panthers — K. Benjamin (C. Newton pass) (Q2 38:41)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Forsett (Q2 35:29)
• Baltimore Ravens — S. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q2 32:00)
• Baltimore Ravens — T. Smith (J. Flacco pass) (Q3 24:58)
• Baltimore Ravens — L. Taliaferro (Q4 11:40)

Field goals

• Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q3 18:32)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 3:38)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 21–7. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the CAR 61 (Q2 43:25) — (13:25) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Steve Smith catches pass at C40 off tip from Owen Daniels.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 43:12) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the BAL 28 (Q2 38:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 13-K.Benjamin for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q2 38:35) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the CAR 11 (Q2 35:29) — (5:29) 29-J.Forsett right tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 35:22) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the CAR 21 (Q2 32:00); Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q2 31:53) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–3. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the CAR 24 (Q3 24:58) — (9:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 82-T.Smith for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q3 24:51) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the BAL 19 (Q3 18:32) — (3:32) (Field Goal formation) 9-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 10–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the CAR 1 (Q4 11:40) — (11:40) 34-L.Taliaferro up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the CAR 2 (Q4 11:34) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the CAR 12 (Q4 3:38) — (3:38) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 43:25) — (13:25) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Steve Smith catches pass at C40 off tip from Owen Daniels. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.60]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 38:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 13-K.Benjamin for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.5% · EPA +4.30]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 56:56) — (11:56) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to BAL 34 for 13 yards (24-D.Stewart). [WPA +8.7% · EPA +2.05]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 53:03) — (8:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at BAL 39 for -12 yards (sack split by 55-T.Suggs and 58-E.Dumervil). [WPA -8.6% · EPA -2.38]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 59:14) — (14:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 82-J.Cotchery to CAR 49 for 26 yards (24-D.Stewart). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.18]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 43:25) — (13:25) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Steve Smith catches pass at C40 off tip from Owen Daniels. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.60]
• Carolina Panthers (Q4 9:33) — (9:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 27-T.Poole right guard to CAR 49 for no gain (98-B.Williams). FUMBLES (98-B.Williams), RECOVERED by BAL-98-B.Williams at CAR 49. 98-B.Williams to CAR 49 for no gain (78-N.C [WPA -0.0% · EPA -5.27]
• Carolina Panthers (Q2 38:41) — (8:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 13-K.Benjamin for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +14.5% · EPA +4.30]
• Carolina Panthers (Q1 59:14) — (14:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 82-J.Cotchery to CAR 49 for 26 yards (24-D.Stewart). [WPA +8.5% · EPA +3.18]

Quarterback report card

J.Flacco led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• J.Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) · 32 dropbacks · 68.8% completion · +7.7% CPOE · +0.92 EPA/play · +29.35 total EPA
• C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 31 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · -5.3% CPOE · +0.50 EPA/play · +15.62 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Baltimore Ravens held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.37 vs -0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Baltimore Ravens: 8 drives, +28.16 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
• Carolina Panthers: 8 drives, -0.39 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• J. Flacco (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 43:25 · CAR 61 · Score 0-6
   (13:25) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Steve Smith catches pass at C40 off tip from Owen Daniels.
2. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 43:12 · CAR 2 · Score 0-7
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
3. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 38:41 · BAL 28 · Score 6-7
   (8:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 13-K.Benjamin for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 38:35 · BAL 2 · Score 7-7
   9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
5. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 35:29 · CAR 11 · Score 7-13
   (5:29) 29-J.Forsett right tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 35:22 · CAR 2 · Score 7-14
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
7. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · CAR 21 · Score 7-20
   (2:00) 5-J.Flacco FUMBLES (Aborted) at CAR 22, and recovers at CAR 23. 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 89-S.Smith for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CAR-23-M.Whit
8. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 31:53 · CAR 2 · Score 7-21
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
9. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 24:58 · CAR 24 · Score 7-27
   (9:58) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep left to 82-T.Smith for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 24:51 · CAR 2 · Score 7-28
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
11. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q3 18:32 · BAL 19 · Score 10-28
    (3:32) (Field Goal formation) 9-G.Gano 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-8-B.Nortman.
12. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 11:40 · CAR 1 · Score 10-34
    (11:40) 34-L.Taliaferro up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 11:34 · CAR 2 · Score 10-35
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
14. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 3:38 · CAR 12 · Score 10-38
    (3:38) (Field Goal formation) 9-J.Tucker 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.