FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 17 · December 31, 2017 · 10 min read

Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2017 Week 17 Recap

Falcons defeat Panthers 22–10 in Week 17

Matt Ryan led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 10–22 Week 17 finish.

Carolina Panthers 10 11–5
Final 10–22
Atlanta Falcons 22 10–6 Winner
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
10–22
Halftime
Tied 7–7 at halftime
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Matt Ryan
Game date
December 31, 2017

Top fantasy performers · Panthers

  • F.Whittaker 1 REC · 9 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact
  • K.Clay 1 REC · 15 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Funchess 2 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 28/47 · 326 YDS · 2 TD +7.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Ju.Jones 5 REC · 80 YDS +5.2 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Freeman 9 REC · 85 YDS · 1 TD +1.7 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Carolina Panthers 22–10 in Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-31, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-13.3% win probability) came in the third quarter when Carolina Panthers swung the momentum.

In Week 17 of the 2017 NFL season on 2017-12-31, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Carolina Panthers, pulling away with a 22–10 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 12 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +7.18 total EPA, and -2.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.18 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-13.3% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Carolina Panthers changed the game: (5:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle intended for 11-B.Bersin INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Allen at CAR 43. 37-R.Allen to CAR 39 for 4 yards (12-K.Clay).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Carolina Panthers0703010
Atlanta Falcons7069022

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +7.18 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  2. 2 Ju. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.23 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.48 EPA/play
  3. 3 D. Freeman · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.68 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Coleman · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.34 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Hardy · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.07 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  6. 6 F. Whittaker · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Clay · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.40 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  8. 8 D. Funchess · Carolina Panthers · Receiving · +0.36 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Ryan — ATL · Passing

M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+7.18) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 47 counted snaps, they averaged +0.15 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.19 EPA) came from Carolina Panthers: (4:20) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 22-K.Neal [97-G.Jarrett] at CAR 42. 22-K.Neal to CAR 23 for 19 yards (17-D.Funchess).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — D. Freeman (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 55:39)
  • Carolina Panthers — D. Funchess (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:55)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 21:35)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q3 18:49)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 14:15)
  • Carolina Panthers — G. Gano (Q4 10:38)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 6:43)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 2:31)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CAR 19 (Q1 55:39) — (10:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 24-D.Freeman for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-V.Butler].; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CAR 15 (Q1 55:32) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Carolina Panthers won the period 7–0. Carolina Panthers found the end zone from the ATL 4 (Q2 30:55) — (:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Carolina Panthers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 30:50) — 9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 6–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 12 (Q3 21:35) — (6:35) 3-M.Bryant 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 24 (Q3 18:49) — (3:49) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 9–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 12 (Q4 14:15) — (14:15) 3-M.Bryant 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Carolina Panthers connected on a field goal from the ATL 24 (Q4 10:38) — (10:38) 9-G.Gano 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 38 (Q4 6:43) — (6:43) 3-M.Bryant 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CAR 15 (Q4 2:31) — (2:31) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 20:51) — (5:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle intended for 11-B.Bersin INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Allen at CAR 43. 37-R.Allen to CAR 39 for 4 yards (12-K.Clay). [WPA -13.3% · EPA -4.15]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:13) — (:13) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 81-A.Hooper to CAR 36 for 24 yards (29-M.Adams) [99-K.Short]. [WPA +12.3% · EPA +0.71]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:02) — (1:02) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 11-B.Bersin pushed ob at ATL 4 for 27 yards (23-R.Alford). [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.86]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 12:45) — (12:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 17-D.Funchess to ATL 28 for 44 yards (21-D.Trufant). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +4.01]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:01) — (:01) 2-M.Ryan spiked the ball to stop the clock. [WPA -8.2% · EPA -0.95]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 4:20) — (4:20) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 22-K.Neal [97-G.Jarrett] at CAR 42. 22-K.Neal to CAR 23 for 19 yards (17-D.Funchess). [WPA -3.9% · EPA -5.19]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q3 20:51) — (5:51) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short middle intended for 11-B.Bersin INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Allen at CAR 43. 37-R.Allen to CAR 39 for 4 yards (12-K.Clay). [WPA -13.3% · EPA -4.15]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q4 12:45) — (12:45) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 17-D.Funchess to ATL 28 for 44 yards (21-D.Trufant). [WPA +8.3% · EPA +4.01]
  • Carolina Panthers (Q2 31:02) — (1:02) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 11-B.Bersin pushed ob at ATL 4 for 27 yards (23-R.Alford). [WPA +9.5% · EPA +2.86]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 59.6% completion · -2.4% CPOE · +0.15 EPA/play · +7.18 total EPA
  • C.Newton (Carolina Panthers) · 39 dropbacks · 35.9% completion · -18.5% CPOE · -0.32 EPA/play · -12.50 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatCarolina PanthersAtlanta Falcons
Offensive EPA/play-0.197-0.009
Offensive success rate34.6%36.7%
Pass EPA/play-0.320+0.153
Rush EPA/play-0.233-0.375
Defensive EPA/play+0.009+0.197
Defensive success rate63.3%65.4%

By the numbers

Atlanta Falcons held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.20), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 13 drives, -0.82 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Carolina Panthers: 12 drives, -15.96 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • C. Newton (CAR) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 55:39 · CAR 19 · Score 0-6
    (10:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 24-D.Freeman for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN [92-V.Butler].
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 55:32 · CAR 15 · Score 0-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Carolina Panthers TD (+6) — Q2 30:55 · ATL 4 · Score 6-7
    (:55) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 17-D.Funchess for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Carolina Panthers XP (+1) — Q2 30:50 · ATL 15 · Score 7-7
    9-G.Gano extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
  5. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 21:35 · CAR 12 · Score 7-10
    (6:35) 3-M.Bryant 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  6. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 18:49 · CAR 24 · Score 7-13
    (3:49) 3-M.Bryant 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 14:15 · CAR 12 · Score 7-16
    (14:15) 3-M.Bryant 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  8. Carolina Panthers FG (+3) — Q4 10:38 · ATL 24 · Score 10-16
    (10:38) 9-G.Gano 42 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
  9. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 6:43 · CAR 38 · Score 10-19
    (6:43) 3-M.Bryant 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  10. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 2:31 · CAR 15 · Score 10-22
    (2:31) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Carolina Panthers 22-10 in Week 17, 2017 on 2017-12-31.

What was the final score of Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

The final score was Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 22 (CAR 10-22 ATL) in Week 17, 2017 on 2017-12-31.

What was the score by quarter in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Q1: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 7; Q2: Carolina Panthers 7, Atlanta Falcons 0; Q3: Carolina Panthers 0, Atlanta Falcons 6; Q4: Carolina Panthers 3, Atlanta Falcons 9; Final: Carolina Panthers 10, Atlanta Falcons 22.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Freeman (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 55:39) Carolina Panthers touchdown — D. Funchess (C. Newton pass) (Q2 30:55) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 21:35, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q3 18:49, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 14:15, 3 pts) Carolina Panthers field goal — G. Gano (Q4 10:38, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 6:43, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 2:31, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 59.6% completion, -2.4% CPOE, +0.15 EPA per dropback, +7.18 total passing EPA. C. Newton (Carolina Panthers), 35.9% completion, -18.5% CPOE, -0.32 EPA per dropback, -12.50 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +7.18 on passing plays. across 47 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.19 EPA): (4:20) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep middle intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 22-K.Neal [97-G.Jarrett] at CAR 42. 22-K.Neal to CAR 23 for 19 yards (17-D.Funchess).. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.3%.

Season records after this game

Carolina Panthers

Entered 11-4 Now 11-5 L

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 9-6 Now 10-6 W