FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 24, 2023 · 11 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders: 2023 Week 3 Recap

Bills defeat Commanders 37–3 in Week 3

Jonathan Allen led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 37–3 Week 3 finish.

Buffalo Bills 37 2–1 Winner
Final 37–3
Washington Commanders 3 2–1
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
37–3
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 19–0 Washington Commanders
Top passer
Sam Howell
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonathan Allen
Game date
September 24, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 20/38 · 264 YDS · 2 TD +9.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Stefon Diggs
    Stefon Diggs 8 REC · 111 YDS +3.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Latavius Murray
    Latavius Murray 5 CAR · 15 YDS · 1 TD +2.8 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Commanders

  • Terry McLaurin
    Terry McLaurin 6 REC · 41 YDS +2.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Antonio Gibson
    Antonio Gibson 2 CAR · 17 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Curtis Samuel
    Curtis Samuel 1 CAR +0.2 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the Washington Commanders 37–3 in Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-09-24, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+12.7% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-09-24, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Washington Commanders, pulling away with a 37–3 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

S. Howell (Washington Commanders) paced the passing game, with -28.85 total EPA, and +0.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.06 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+12.7% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (11:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs to WAS 30 for 30 yards (13-E.Forbes) [90-M.Sweat].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q4T
Buffalo Bills109210037
Washington Commanders003003

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +9.06 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
  2. 2 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.00 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  3. 3 L. Murray · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.81 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. McLaurin · Washington Commanders · Receiving · +2.24 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.37 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Cook · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +2.19 total EPA · 15 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
  6. 6 G. Davis · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.60 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.40 EPA/play
  7. 7 K. Shakir · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.12 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.12 EPA/play
  8. 8 L. Murray · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +0.93 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Allen — BUF · Passing

J. Allen posted the highest total EPA (+9.06) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.24 EPA per play.

The signature play (-7.42 EPA) came from Washington Commanders: (10:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at WAS 32. 57-A.Epenesa for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q1 45:47)
  • Buffalo Bills — J. Allen (Q4 10:43)
  • Buffalo Bills — A. Epenesa (Q4 10:12)
  • Buffalo Bills — L. Murray (Q4 2:19)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q1 54:32)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 32:00)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 30:22)
  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q2 30:19)
  • Washington Commanders — J. Slye (Q4 0:50)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the WAS 18 (Q1 54:32) — (9:32) 2-T.Bass 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the WAS 35 (Q1 45:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q1 45:41) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 9–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the WAS 36 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 2-T.Bass 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the WAS 14 (Q2 30:22) — (:22) 2-T.Bass 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the BUF 35 (Q2 30:19) — 2-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 21–3. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the WAS 10 (Q4 10:43) — (10:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q4 10:37) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BUF 70 (Q4 10:12); Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q4 10:01) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the WAS 2 (Q4 2:19) — (2:19) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the WAS 15 (Q4 2:15) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.; Washington Commanders connected on a field goal from the BUF 33 (Q4 0:50) — (:50) 6-J.Slye 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 56:41) — (11:41) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs to WAS 30 for 30 yards (13-E.Forbes) [90-M.Sweat]. [WPA +12.7% · EPA +3.43]
  • Washington Commanders (Q1 49:45) — (4:45) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass deep middle intended for 2-D.Brown INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Bernard at BUF 16. 43-T.Bernard to BUF 16 for no gain (2-D.Brown). [WPA -9.7% · EPA -2.27]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 45:47) — (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.49]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 31:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 24-A.Gibson INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Hyde at WAS 34. 23-M.Hyde to WAS 33 for 1 yard (24-A.Gibson). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -3.97]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 2-T.Bass 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin. [WPA +6.8% · EPA +2.15]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Washington Commanders (Q4 10:12) — (10:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at WAS 32. 57-A.Epenesa for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.1% · EPA -7.42]
  • Washington Commanders (Q4 14:16) — (14:16) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short middle to 24-A.Gibson to WAS 35 for -2 yards (7-Ta.Johnson) [90-S.Lawson]. FUMBLES (7-Ta.Johnson), touched at WAS 35, RECOVERED by BUF-43-T.Bernard at WAS 30. [WPA -3.4% · EPA -5.73]
  • Washington Commanders (Q2 31:19) — (1:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 24-A.Gibson INTERCEPTED by 23-M.Hyde at WAS 34. 23-M.Hyde to WAS 33 for 1 yard (24-A.Gibson). [WPA -8.1% · EPA -3.97]
  • Washington Commanders (Q3 24:17) — (9:17) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass deep right intended for 4-C.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 27-T.White [90-S.Lawson] at BUF -1. 27-T.White to BUF 1 for 2 yards (4-C.Samuel). [WPA -4.4% · EPA -3.68]

Quarterback report card

S.Howell led all passers in efficiency for Washington Commanders, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • S.Howell (Washington Commanders) · 41 dropbacks · 46.3% completion · +0.0% CPOE · -0.70 EPA/play · -28.85 total EPA
  • J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 38 dropbacks · 52.6% completion · -3.1% CPOE · +0.24 EPA/play · +9.06 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsWashington Commanders
Offensive EPA/play+0.163-0.428
Offensive success rate45.0%38.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.239-0.704
Rush EPA/play+0.049-0.006
Defensive EPA/play+0.428-0.163
Defensive success rate61.2%55.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.16 vs -0.43), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, +13.04 total EPA, 6 scoring drives
  • Washington Commanders: 11 drives, -28.68 total EPA, 2 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Allen (BUF) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 54:32 · WAS 18 · Score 3-0
    (9:32) 2-T.Bass 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  2. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 45:47 · WAS 35 · Score 9-0
    (:47) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 13-G.Davis for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 45:41 · WAS 15 · Score 10-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  4. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · WAS 36 · Score 13-0
    (2:00) 2-T.Bass 54 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:22 · WAS 14 · Score 16-0
    (:22) 2-T.Bass 32 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  6. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 30:19 · BUF 35 · Score 16-0
    2-T.Bass kicks 65 yards from BUF 35 to end zone, Touchback.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 10:43 · WAS 10 · Score 22-0
    (10:43) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles up the middle for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 10:37 · WAS 15 · Score 23-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 10:12 · BUF 70 · Score 29-0
    (10:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at WAS 32. 57-A.Epenesa for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 10:01 · WAS 15 · Score 30-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  11. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 2:19 · WAS 2 · Score 36-0
    (2:19) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray right guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 2:15 · WAS 15 · Score 37-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-8-S.Martin.
  13. Washington Commanders FG (+3) — Q4 0:50 · BUF 33 · Score 37-3
    (:50) 6-J.Slye 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, Holder-5-T.Way.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

The Buffalo Bills beat the Washington Commanders 37-3 in Week 3, 2023 on 2023-09-24.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 37, Washington Commanders 3 (BUF 37-3 WAS) in Week 3, 2023 on 2023-09-24.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 10, Washington Commanders 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 9, Washington Commanders 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 21, Washington Commanders 3; Final: Buffalo Bills 37, Washington Commanders 3.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — G. Davis (J. Allen pass) (Q1 45:47) Buffalo Bills touchdown — J. Allen (Q4 10:43) Buffalo Bills touchdown — A. Epenesa (Q4 10:12) Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Murray (Q4 2:19) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 54:32, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q2 30:22, 3 pts) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q2 30:19, 3 pts) Washington Commanders field goal — J. Slye (Q4 0:50, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

S. Howell (Washington Commanders), 46.3% completion, +0.0% CPOE, -0.70 EPA per dropback, -28.85 total passing EPA. J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 52.6% completion, -3.1% CPOE, +0.24 EPA per dropback, +9.06 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +9.06 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.42 EPA): (10:12) (Shotgun) 14-S.Howell pass short left intended for 1-J.Dotson INTERCEPTED by 57-A.Epenesa at WAS 32. 57-A.Epenesa for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +12.7%.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 1-1 Now 2-1 W

Washington Commanders

Entered 2-0 Now 2-1 L