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NFL · Week 10 · November 14, 2021 · 12 min read

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets: 2021 Week 10 Recap

Bills defeat Jets 45–17 in Week 10

Jonathan Allen led Fantasy Impact as Bills prevailed in a 45–17 Week 10 finish.

Buffalo Bills 45 6–3 Winner
Final 45–17
New York Jets 17 2–7
Winner
Buffalo Bills
Final score
45–17
Halftime
Buffalo Bills 17–3 New York Jets
Top passer
Mike White
FantasyHQ MVP
Jonathan Allen
Game date
November 14, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Bills

  • Jonathan Allen
    Jonathan Allen 21/34 · 354 YDS · 2 TD +18.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Gabe Davis
    Gabe Davis 3 REC · 105 YDS +8.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Stefon Diggs
    Stefon Diggs 8 REC · 162 YDS · 1 TD +7.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • Joe Flacco
    Joe Flacco 3/3 · 47 YDS · 1 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Braxton Berrios
    Braxton Berrios 3 REC · 19 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • R.Griffin 1 REC · 21 YDS +1.3 Fantasy Impact
View Bills vs Jets box score View all 2021 NFL game recaps

Game story

The Buffalo Bills defeated the New York Jets 45–17 in Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-11-14, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+9.9% win probability) came in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills swung the momentum.

In Week 10 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-11-14, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 45–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. White (New York Jets) paced the passing game, with -10.00 total EPA, and -11.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +18.83 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.9% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (1:53) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs pushed ob at NYJ 23 for 57 yards (26-B.Echols).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4—T
Buffalo Bills107217045
New York Jets03014017

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +18.83 total EPA · 34 snaps · +0.55 EPA/play
  2. 2 G. Davis · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.36 total EPA · 3 snaps · +2.79 EPA/play
  3. 3 S. Diggs · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.56 total EPA · 13 snaps · +0.58 EPA/play
  4. 4 J. Flacco · New York Jets · Passing · +5.36 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
  5. 5 I. McKenzie · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.28 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
  6. 6 E. Sanders · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +2.46 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Singletary · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +1.97 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.28 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Breida · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.72 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

J. Allen — BUF · Passing

J. Allen posted the highest total EPA (+18.83) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 34 counted snaps, they averaged +0.55 EPA per play.

The signature play (-5.55 EPA) came from New York Jets: (8:28) (No Huddle) 5-M.White pass short left intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 39-L.Wallace at BUF 40. 39-L.Wallace to NYJ 45 for 15 yards (60-C.McGovern).

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Buffalo Bills — M. Breida (J. Allen pass) (Q1 57:22)
  • Buffalo Bills — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 30:57)
  • Buffalo Bills — I. McKenzie (Q3 27:06)
  • Buffalo Bills — M. Breida (Q3 25:52)
  • Buffalo Bills — Z. Moss (Q3 21:06)
  • New York Jets — D. Feeney (Q4 12:02)
  • Buffalo Bills — D. Singletary (Q4 5:57)
  • New York Jets — E. Moore (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 2:14)

Field goals

  • Buffalo Bills — T. Bass (Q1 50:25)
  • New York Jets — M. Ammendola (Q2 31:57)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 10–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 15 (Q1 57:22) — (12:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 22-M.Breida for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q1 57:15) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the NYJ 10 (Q1 50:25) — (5:25) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–3. New York Jets connected on a field goal from the BUF 30 (Q2 31:57) — (1:57) 6-M.Ammendola 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 12 (Q2 30:57) — (:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-Q.Williams].; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q2 30:53) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 21–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 8 (Q3 27:06) — (12:06) 19-I.McKenzie right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 27:01) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 15 (Q3 25:52) — (10:52) 22-M.Breida right end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 25:47) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 1 (Q3 21:06) — (6:06) 20-Z.Moss right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q3 21:01) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack..

The fourth quarter: New York Jets won the period 14–7. New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q4 12:02) — (12:02) 67-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 32-Mi.Carter left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 11:58) — 6-M.Ammendola extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the NYJ 2 (Q4 5:57) — (5:57) 71-R.Bates reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the NYJ 15 (Q4 5:52) — 2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.; New York Jets found the end zone from the BUF 15 (Q4 2:14) — (2:14) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 8-E.Moore for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q4 2:08) — 6-M.Ammendola extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Buffalo Bills (Q2 31:53) — (1:53) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 14-S.Diggs pushed ob at NYJ 23 for 57 yards (26-B.Echols). [WPA +9.9% · EPA +3.71]
  • New York Jets (Q1 54:24) — (9:24) (Shotgun) 5-M.White pass short middle intended for 88-K.Cole INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson (93-E.Obada) at NYJ 47. 24-T.Johnson to NYJ 43 for 4 yards (23-T.Coleman). [WPA -7.3% · EPA -3.69]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 57:22) — (12:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 22-M.Breida for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +5.1% · EPA +2.08]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q1 58:30) — (13:30) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 88-D.Knox pushed ob at NYJ 30 for 17 yards (43-D.Phillips; 57-C.Mosley). [WPA +5.0% · EPA +1.13]
  • New York Jets (Q2 33:56) — (3:56) (Shotgun) 5-M.White pass short left to 86-R.Griffin to NYJ 49 for 21 yards (24-T.Johnson). [WPA +5.0% · EPA +1.96]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New York Jets (Q3 23:28) — (8:28) (No Huddle) 5-M.White pass short left intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 39-L.Wallace at BUF 40. 39-L.Wallace to NYJ 45 for 15 yards (60-C.McGovern). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -5.55]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 15:43) — (:43) 17-J.Allen pass deep right intended for 14-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 35-S.Neasman (27-I.Dunn) at BUF 48. 35-S.Neasman to BUF 35 for 13 yards (20-Z.Moss). [WPA -0.0% · EPA -4.28]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q3 21:35) — (6:35) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 13-G.Davis pushed ob at NYJ 1 for 36 yards (30-M.Carter II). Penalty on NYJ-30-M.Carter II, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. [WPA -0.0% · EPA +3.78]
  • Buffalo Bills (Q4 11:07) — (11:07) 22-M.Breida left tackle to NYJ 49 for 6 yards (21-A.Davis). FUMBLES (21-A.Davis), touched at NYJ 46, RECOVERED by NYJ-30-M.Carter II at NYJ 32. [WPA +0.0% · EPA -3.77]

Quarterback report card

M.White led all passers in efficiency for New York Jets, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.White (New York Jets) · 49 dropbacks · 49.0% completion · -11.4% CPOE · -0.20 EPA/play · -10.00 total EPA
  • J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 34 dropbacks · 61.8% completion · +16.8% CPOE · +0.55 EPA/play · +18.83 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBuffalo BillsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play+0.304-0.141
Offensive success rate54.8%37.9%
Pass EPA/play+0.554-0.089
Rush EPA/play+0.126-0.225
Defensive EPA/play+0.141-0.304
Defensive success rate62.1%45.2%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.30 vs -0.14), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Buffalo Bills: 13 drives, +22.18 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 12 drives, -13.40 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. White (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • J. Allen (BUF) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 57:22 · NYJ 15 · Score 6-0
    (12:22) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 22-M.Breida for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 57:15 · NYJ 15 · Score 7-0
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  3. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 50:25 · NYJ 10 · Score 10-0
    (5:25) 2-T.Bass 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  4. New York Jets FG (+3) — Q2 31:57 · BUF 30 · Score 10-3
    (1:57) 6-M.Ammendola 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
  5. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 30:57 · NYJ 12 · Score 16-3
    (:57) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 14-S.Diggs for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-Q.Williams].
  6. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 30:53 · NYJ 15 · Score 17-3
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 27:06 · NYJ 8 · Score 23-3
    (12:06) 19-I.McKenzie right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 27:01 · NYJ 15 · Score 24-3
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  9. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 25:52 · NYJ 15 · Score 30-3
    (10:52) 22-M.Breida right end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 25:47 · NYJ 15 · Score 31-3
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  11. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 21:06 · NYJ 1 · Score 37-3
    (6:06) 20-Z.Moss right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 21:01 · NYJ 15 · Score 38-3
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  13. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 12:02 · BUF 1 · Score 38-9
    (12:02) 67-D.Feeney reported in as eligible. 32-Mi.Carter left guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 11:58 · BUF 15 · Score 38-10
    6-M.Ammendola extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.
  15. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 5:57 · NYJ 2 · Score 44-10
    (5:57) 71-R.Bates reported in as eligible. 26-D.Singletary left guard for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 5:52 · NYJ 15 · Score 45-10
    2-T.Bass extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-3-M.Haack.
  17. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q4 2:14 · BUF 15 · Score 45-16
    (2:14) (Shotgun) 19-J.Flacco pass short right to 8-E.Moore for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  18. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q4 2:08 · BUF 15 · Score 45-17
    6-M.Ammendola extra point is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The Buffalo Bills beat the New York Jets 45-17 in Week 10, 2021 on 2021-11-14.

What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

The final score was Buffalo Bills 45, New York Jets 17 (BUF 45-17 NYJ) in Week 10, 2021 on 2021-11-14.

What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Q1: Buffalo Bills 10, New York Jets 0; Q2: Buffalo Bills 7, New York Jets 3; Q3: Buffalo Bills 21, New York Jets 0; Q4: Buffalo Bills 7, New York Jets 14; Final: Buffalo Bills 45, New York Jets 17.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

Buffalo Bills touchdown — M. Breida (J. Allen pass) (Q1 57:22) Buffalo Bills touchdown — S. Diggs (J. Allen pass) (Q2 30:57) Buffalo Bills touchdown — I. McKenzie (Q3 27:06) Buffalo Bills touchdown — M. Breida (Q3 25:52) Buffalo Bills touchdown — Z. Moss (Q3 21:06) New York Jets touchdown — D. Feeney (Q4 12:02) Buffalo Bills touchdown — D. Singletary (Q4 5:57) New York Jets touchdown — E. Moore (J. Flacco pass) (Q4 2:14) Buffalo Bills field goal — T. Bass (Q1 50:25, 3 pts) New York Jets field goal — M. Ammendola (Q2 31:57, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

M. White (New York Jets), 49.0% completion, -11.4% CPOE, -0.20 EPA per dropback, -10.00 total passing EPA. J. Allen (Buffalo Bills), 61.8% completion, +16.8% CPOE, +0.55 EPA per dropback, +18.83 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets?

J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +18.83 on passing plays. across 34 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.55 EPA): (8:28) (No Huddle) 5-M.White pass short left intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 39-L.Wallace at BUF 40. 39-L.Wallace to NYJ 45 for 15 yards (60-C.McGovern).. The biggest win-probability swing was +9.9%.

Season records after this game

Buffalo Bills

Entered 5-3 Now 6-3 W

New York Jets

Entered 2-6 Now 2-7 L

FantasyHQ · fantasyhq.co

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