Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins: 2019 Week 11 Recap

Game story

In Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season on 2019-11-17, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Miami Dolphins, pulling away with a 37–20 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 31 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

R. Fitzpatrick (Miami Dolphins) paced the passing game, with -10.12 total EPA, and +4.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +16.20 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+9.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Miami Dolphins changed the game: 4-S.Hauschka kicks 66 yards from BUF 35 to MIA -1. 19-J.Grant for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +16.20 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Brown · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +8.24 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
3. 3 D. Parker · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +8.01 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.80 EPA/play
4. 4 D. Knox · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +3.90 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Allen · Buffalo Bills · Rushing · +3.78 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.94 EPA/play
6. 6 C. Beasley · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +1.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Grant · Miami Dolphins · Receiving · +1.88 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.63 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Grant · Miami Dolphins · Rushing · +1.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.61 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — J. Brown (Q2 43:16)
• Miami Dolphins — K. Ballage (Q2 33:43)
• Buffalo Bills — D. Knox (Q2 31:30)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Grant (Q2 31:23)
• Buffalo Bills — K. Crawley (Q3 22:04)
• Miami Dolphins — J. Grant (Q4 14:39)
• Buffalo Bills — J. Brown (Q4 10:43)

Field goals

• Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q1 57:09)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q1 49:34)
• Buffalo Bills — S. Hauschka (Q2 37:46)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 6–0. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 33 (Q1 57:09) — (12:09) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 15 (Q1 49:34) — (4:34) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The second quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 17–14. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 40 (Q2 43:16) — (13:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass deep right to 15-J.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 43:09) — (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the MIA 3 (Q2 37:46) — (7:46) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 3 (Q2 33:43) — (3:43) 27-K.Ballage up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the BUF 15 (Q2 33:39) — (Kick formation) 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-2-M.Haack.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 23 (Q2 31:30) — (1:30) (Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q2 31:23) — 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.; Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 35 (Q2 31:23) — 4-S.Hauschka kicks 66 yards from BUF 35 to MIA -1. 19-J.Grant for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Miami Dolphins added 1 points from the BUF 20 (Q2 31:09) — (Kick formation) 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-2-M.Haack..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 8 (Q3 22:04) — (7:04) (Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen scrambles right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-32-K.Crawley, Defensive Holding, declined.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q3 21:55) — (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

The fourth quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 7–6. Miami Dolphins found the end zone from the BUF 7 (Q4 14:39) — (14:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) Direct snap to 27-K.Ballage. 19-J.Grant right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the MIA 9 (Q4 10:43) — (10:43) (No Huddle) 17-Jos.Allen pass short middle to 15-J.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the MIA 15 (Q4 10:38) — (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Miami Dolphins (Q2 31:23) — 4-S.Hauschka kicks 66 yards from BUF 35 to MIA -1. 19-J.Grant for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.2% · EPA +6.11]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 33:39) — (Onside Kick formation) 7-J.Sanders kicks onside 12 yards from MIA 35 to MIA 47. RECOVERED by MIA-7-J.Sanders. [WPA -8.3% · EPA -2.74]
• Miami Dolphins (Q2 33:39) — (3:39) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete deep right to 17-A.Hurns. Buffalo challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 17-A [WPA -8.3% · EPA -2.76]
• Miami Dolphins (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 17-A.Hurns to MIA 38 for 18 yards (21-J.Poyer). [WPA +7.7% · EPA +3.09]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:16) — (13:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass deep right to 15-J.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +4.08]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Miami Dolphins (Q2 31:23) — 4-S.Hauschka kicks 66 yards from BUF 35 to MIA -1. 19-J.Grant for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +9.2% · EPA +6.11]
• Miami Dolphins (Q4 5:26) — (5:26) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 11-D.Parker pushed ob at BUF 13 for 45 yards (21-J.Poyer). [WPA +1.0% · EPA +4.87]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 43:16) — (13:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass deep right to 15-J.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.1% · EPA +4.08]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 31:30) — (1:30) (Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +3.6% · EPA +3.98]

Quarterback report card

R.Fitzpatrick led all passers in efficiency for Miami Dolphins, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• R.Fitzpatrick (Miami Dolphins) · 56 dropbacks · 57.1% completion · +4.7% CPOE · -0.18 EPA/play · -10.12 total EPA
• J.Allen (Buffalo Bills) · 38 dropbacks · 55.3% completion · +1.4% CPOE · +0.43 EPA/play · +16.20 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.19 vs -0.10), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 14 drives, +17.08 total EPA, 7 scoring drives
• Miami Dolphins: 14 drives, -8.48 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• J. Allen (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• R. Fitzpatrick (MIA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 57:09 · MIA 33 · Score 3-0
   (12:09) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
2. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q1 49:34 · MIA 15 · Score 6-0
   (4:34) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
3. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 43:16 · MIA 40 · Score 12-0
   (13:16) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass deep right to 15-J.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 43:09 · MIA 15 · Score 13-0
   (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
5. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q2 37:46 · MIA 3 · Score 16-0
   (7:46) (Field Goal formation) 4-S.Hauschka 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
6. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 33:43 · BUF 3 · Score 16-6
   (3:43) 27-K.Ballage up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 33:39 · BUF 15 · Score 16-7
   (Kick formation) 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-2-M.Haack.
8. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 31:30 · MIA 23 · Score 22-7
   (1:30) (Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen pass short middle to 88-D.Knox for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 31:23 · MIA 15 · Score 23-7
   4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
10. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q2 31:23 · BUF 35 · Score 23-13
    4-S.Hauschka kicks 66 yards from BUF 35 to MIA -1. 19-J.Grant for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Miami Dolphins XP (+1) — Q2 31:09 · BUF 20 · Score 23-14
    (Kick formation) 7-J.Sanders extra point is GOOD, Center-46-T.Pepper, Holder-2-M.Haack.
12. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 22:04 · MIA 8 · Score 29-14
    (7:04) (Shotgun) 17-Jos.Allen scrambles right end for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-32-K.Crawley, Defensive Holding, declined.
13. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 21:55 · MIA 15 · Score 30-14
    (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.
14. Miami Dolphins TD (+6) — Q4 14:39 · BUF 7 · Score 30-20
    (14:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) Direct snap to 27-K.Ballage. 19-J.Grant right end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
15. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q4 10:43 · MIA 9 · Score 36-20
    (10:43) (No Huddle) 17-Jos.Allen pass short middle to 15-J.Brown for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q4 10:38 · MIA 15 · Score 37-20
    (Kick formation) 4-S.Hauschka extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-9-C.Bojorquez.