Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2003 Week 2 Recap

Game story

In Week 2 of the 2003 NFL season on 2003-09-14, the Buffalo Bills took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 38–17 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Brunell (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -14.81 total EPA.

On the individual side, D. Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +31.56 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+10.5% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (9:33) 8-M.Brunell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 D. Bledsoe · Buffalo Bills · Passing · +31.56 total EPA · 27 snaps · +1.17 EPA/play
2. 2 E. Moulds · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +13.39 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.91 EPA/play
3. 3 B. Shaw · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +9.18 total EPA · 3 snaps · +3.06 EPA/play
4. 4 B. Leftwich · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +8.22 total EPA · 8 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Reed · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +7.98 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.60 EPA/play
6. 6 M. Brunell · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +3.85 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.92 EPA/play
7. 7 J. Redmond · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.68 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.68 EPA/play
8. 8 G. Wrighster · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +3.02 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.51 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Buffalo Bills — T. Henry (Q1 56:20)
• Buffalo Bills — T. Henry (Q1 49:55)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Brunell (Q2 39:33)
• Buffalo Bills — B. Shaw (D. Bledsoe pass) (Q2 31:46)
• Buffalo Bills — E. Moulds (D. Bledsoe pass) (Q3 23:10)
• Buffalo Bills — T. Henry (Q3 16:05)
• Jacksonville Jaguars — G. Wrighster (B. Leftwich pass) (Q4 2:00)

Field goals

• Jacksonville Jaguars — S. Marler (Q3 27:59)
• Buffalo Bills — R. Lindell (Q4 5:15)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–0. Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q1 56:20) — (11:20) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 56:17) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 6 (Q1 49:55) — (4:55) (Shotgun) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q1 49:50) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 1 (Q2 39:33) — (9:33) 8-M.Brunell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q2 39:29) — 6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 54 (Q2 31:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q2 31:37) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The third quarter: Buffalo Bills won the period 14–3. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the BUF 26 (Q3 27:59) — (12:59) 6-S.Marler 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 36 (Q3 23:10) — (8:10) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 23:03) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the JAX 4 (Q3 16:05) — (1:05) 20-T.Henry left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the JAX 2 (Q3 15:59) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–3. Buffalo Bills connected on a field goal from the JAX 9 (Q4 5:15) — (5:15) 9-R.Lindell 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BUF 5 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q4 1:53) — 6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 39:33) — (9:33) 8-M.Brunell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +10.5% · EPA +2.70]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 31:58) — (1:58) 6-S.Marler 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson. [WPA -9.1% · EPA -2.44]
• Buffalo Bills (Q2 31:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.1% · EPA +5.67]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 59:51) — (14:51) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 84-M.Campbell to JAX 23 for 26 yards (27-R.Mathis). [WPA +8.1% · EPA +2.15]
• Buffalo Bills (Q1 51:52) — (6:52) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds to JAX 13 for 29 yards (21-B.Franklin). [WPA +7.2% · EPA +3.14]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Buffalo Bills (Q2 31:46) — (1:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.1% · EPA +5.67]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 23:10) — (8:10) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +6.6% · EPA +5.34]
• Buffalo Bills (Q3 26:58) — (11:58) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw ran ob at BUF 37 for 18 yards. PENALTY on JAX-20-D.Darius, Personal Foul, 15 yards, enforced at BUF 37. [WPA +5.4% · EPA +3.77]
• Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 2:47) — (2:47) (Shotgun) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 17-J.Redmond to BUF 3 for 29 yards (50-D.Stevenson). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.68]

Quarterback report card

M.Brunell led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Brunell (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 37 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -0.40 EPA/play · -14.81 total EPA
• D.Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) · 27 dropbacks · 70.4% completion · +1.17 EPA/play · +31.56 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Buffalo Bills generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.36 vs +0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Buffalo Bills: 10 drives, +28.24 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
• Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, +3.00 total EPA, 3 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Buffalo Bills leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• D. Bledsoe (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 56:20 · JAX 1 · Score 6-0
   (11:20) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 56:17 · JAX 2 · Score 7-0
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
3. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q1 49:55 · JAX 6 · Score 13-0
   (4:55) (Shotgun) 20-T.Henry up the middle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q1 49:50 · JAX 2 · Score 14-0
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 39:33 · BUF 1 · Score 14-6
   (9:33) 8-M.Brunell up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 39:29 · BUF 2 · Score 14-7
   6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
7. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q2 31:46 · JAX 54 · Score 20-7
   (1:46) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 81-B.Shaw for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
8. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q2 31:37 · JAX 2 · Score 21-7
   9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q3 27:59 · BUF 26 · Score 21-10
   (12:59) 6-S.Marler 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.
10. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 23:10 · JAX 36 · Score 27-10
    (8:10) (Shotgun) 11-D.Bledsoe pass to 80-E.Moulds for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 23:03 · JAX 2 · Score 28-10
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
12. Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 16:05 · JAX 4 · Score 34-10
    (1:05) 20-T.Henry left end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 15:59 · JAX 2 · Score 35-10
    9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
14. Buffalo Bills FG (+3) — Q4 5:15 · JAX 9 · Score 38-10
    (5:15) 9-R.Lindell 27 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-54-J.Dorenbos, Holder-8-B.Moorman.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q4 2:00 · BUF 5 · Score 38-16
    (2:00) 7-B.Leftwich pass to 87-G.Wrighster for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q4 1:53 · BUF 2 · Score 38-17
    6-S.Marler extra point is GOOD, Center-88-J.Zelenka, Holder-2-C.Hanson.