Game story
In Week 17 of the 2006 NFL season on 2006-12-31, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Buffalo Bills, pulling away with a 19–7 final that built a comfortable lead.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
J. Losman (Buffalo Bills) paced the passing game, with -10.94 total EPA, and -1.6% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.06 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-24.2% win probability) landed in the third quarter when Buffalo Bills changed the game: (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 19 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 L. Evans · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +15.06 total EPA · 7 snaps · +2.15 EPA/play
- 2 T. Heap · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +5.77 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.15 EPA/play
- 3 R. Parrish · Buffalo Bills · Receiving · +4.67 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
- 4 S. McNair · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +3.12 total EPA · 37 snaps · +0.08 EPA/play
- 5 M. Clayton · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.79 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.40 EPA/play
- 6 O. Mughelli · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.51 EPA/play
- 7 M. Anderson · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +1.86 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
- 8 D. Williams · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.75 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.87 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
L. Evans — BUF · Receiving
L. Evans posted the highest total EPA (+15.06) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Buffalo Bills's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +2.15 EPA per play.
The signature play (-7.29 EPA) came from Buffalo Bills: (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Buffalo Bills — L. Evans (J. Losman pass)
- Baltimore Ravens — C. McAlister
Field goals
- Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover
- Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover
- Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover
- Baltimore Ravens — M. Stover
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 8 (Q1 52:13) — (7:13) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..
The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 19 (Q2 31:36).
The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 10–7. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 21 (Q3 27:32) — (12:32) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Buffalo Bills found the end zone from the BAL 44 (Q3 23:17) — (8:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, declined.; Buffalo Bills added 1 points from the BAL 2 (Q3 23:08) — 9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the BAL 75 (Q3 18:57); Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the BUF 2 (Q3 18:46) — 3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..
The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the BUF 11 (Q4 4:52) — (4:52) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 18:57) — (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 23:17) — (8:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, declined.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 50:01) — (5:01) 9-S.McNair pass short middle intended for 85-D.Mason INTERCEPTED by 59-L.Fletcher-Baker at BAL 39. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker to BAL 39 for no gain (89-M.Clayton).
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 29:29) — (14:29) 21-W.McGahee left end to BUF 25 for 3 yards (52-R.Lewis). FUMBLES (52-R.Lewis), RECOVERED by BAL-97-K.Gregg at BUF 25. 97-K.Gregg to BUF 25 for no gain (21-W.McGahee).
- Baltimore Ravens (Q1 57:05) — (12:05) 9-S.McNair scrambles up the middle to BUF 29 for 13 yards (24-T.McGee).
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 18:57) — (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 2:26) — (2:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short left intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-S.Rolle at BAL 0. 22-S.Rolle to BAL 44 for 44 yards (7-J.Losman).
- Buffalo Bills (Q4 3:05) — (3:05) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans to BAL 4 for 52 yards (26-D.Landry).
- Buffalo Bills (Q3 23:17) — (8:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, declined.
Quarterback report card
J.Losman led all passers in efficiency for Buffalo Bills, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- J.Losman (Buffalo Bills) · 40 dropbacks · 50.0% completion · -1.6% CPOE · -0.27 EPA/play · -10.94 total EPA
- S.McNair (Baltimore Ravens) · 37 dropbacks · 62.2% completion · -0.4% CPOE · +0.08 EPA/play · +3.12 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Buffalo Bills | Baltimore Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.227 | -0.042 |
| Offensive success rate | 48.5% | 43.5% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.274 | +0.069 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.574 | -0.145 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.042 | +0.227 |
| Defensive success rate | 56.5% | 51.5% |
By the numbers
Baltimore Ravens held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.04 vs -0.23), even if the scoreboard told a different story.
- Baltimore Ravens: 12 drives, -3.56 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Buffalo Bills: 11 drives, -15.42 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 52:13 · BUF 8 · Score 0-3
(7:13) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 31:36 · BUF 19 · Score 0-6
(1:36) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 37 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch. Penalty on BUF-33-J.Greer, Defensive Offside, declined - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 27:32 · BUF 21 · Score 0-9
(12:32) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 39 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch. - Buffalo Bills TD (+6) — Q3 23:17 · BAL 44 · Score 6-9
(8:17) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 83-L.Evans for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BAL-22-S.Rolle, Illegal Contact, declined. - Buffalo Bills XP (+1) — Q3 23:08 · BAL 2 · Score 7-9
9-R.Lindell extra point is GOOD, Center-54-M.Schneck, Holder-8-B.Moorman. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q3 18:57 · BAL 75 · Score 7-15
(3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q3 18:46 · BUF 2 · Score 7-16
3-M.Stover extra point is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 4:52 · BUF 11 · Score 7-19
(4:52) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Stover 29 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-70-M.Katula, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
The Baltimore Ravens beat the Buffalo Bills 19-7 in Week 17, 2006 on 2006-12-31.
What was the final score of Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
The final score was Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 19 (BUF 7-19 BAL) in Week 17, 2006 on 2006-12-31.
What was the score by quarter in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
Q1: Buffalo Bills 0, Baltimore Ravens 3; Q2: Buffalo Bills 0, Baltimore Ravens 3; Q3: Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 10; Q4: Buffalo Bills 0, Baltimore Ravens 3; Final: Buffalo Bills 7, Baltimore Ravens 19.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
Buffalo Bills touchdown — L. Evans (J. Losman pass) (Q3 23:17) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — C. McAlister (Q3 18:57) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q1 52:13, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q2 31:36, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q3 27:32, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — M. Stover (Q4 4:52, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
J. Losman (Buffalo Bills), 50.0% completion, -1.6% CPOE, -0.27 EPA per dropback, -10.94 total passing EPA. S. McNair (Baltimore Ravens), 62.2% completion, -0.4% CPOE, +0.08 EPA per dropback, +3.12 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens?
L. Evans (Buffalo Bills) led the game in total EPA with +15.06 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-7.29 EPA): (3:57) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right intended for 81-P.Price INTERCEPTED by 21-C.McAlister at BUF 31. 21-C.McAlister for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -24.2%.
Season records after this game
Buffalo Bills
Entered 7-8 Now 7-9 L
Baltimore Ravens
Entered 12-3 Now 13-3 W
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