Game story
In Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-12-17, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 23–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.
The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -10.89 total EPA, and -4.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, I. Likely (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.05 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-16.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (11:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 30. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 48 for 18 yards (76-J.Simpson).
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 23 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 I. Likely · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +8.05 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.34 EPA/play
- 2 J. Agnew · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.69 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.34 EPA/play
- 3 K. Mitchell · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +3.67 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
- 4 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.62 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.33 EPA/play
- 5 L. Farrell · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.66 EPA/play
- 6 C. Kolar · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.37 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.37 EPA/play
- 7 Z. Jones · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.20 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.15 EPA/play
- 8 G. Edwards · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.66 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.66 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
I. Likely — BAL · Receiving
I. Likely posted the highest total EPA (+8.05) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.34 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.80 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (11:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 30. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 48 for 18 yards (76-J.Simpson).
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Baltimore Ravens — I. Likely (L. Jackson pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — J. Agnew (T. Lawrence pass)
- Baltimore Ravens — G. Edwards
Field goals
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
- Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 3–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 25 (Q1 51:26) — (6:26) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the JAX 16 (Q2 31:18) — (1:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 80-I.Likely for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 31:12) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the BAL 65 (Q3 22:26) — (7:26) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 39-J.Agnew for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q3 22:15) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 13–0. Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the JAX 1 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 66-B.Cleveland reported in as eligible. 35-G.Edwards up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q4 14:58) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 7 (Q4 8:03) — (8:03) 9-J.Tucker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the JAX 16 (Q4 6:05) — (6:05) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:47) — (11:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 30. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 48 for 18 yards (76-J.Simpson).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 22:26) — (7:26) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 39-J.Agnew for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 35:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to BAL 20 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, touched at BAL 18, RECOVERED by BAL-10-A.Maulet at BAL 19. 10-A.Maulet pushed ob at BAL 40 for 21 yards (1-T.Etienne).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 43:06) — (13:06) 10-B.McManus 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 48:07) — (3:07) 10-B.McManus 50 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:47) — (11:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 30. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 48 for 18 yards (76-J.Simpson).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q3 22:26) — (7:26) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 39-J.Agnew for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 35:53) — (5:53) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end to BAL 20 for 3 yards. FUMBLES, touched at BAL 18, RECOVERED by BAL-10-A.Maulet at BAL 19. 10-A.Maulet pushed ob at BAL 40 for 21 yards (1-T.Etienne).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 7:47) — (7:47) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 19 for -6 yards (92-J.Madubuike). FUMBLES (92-J.Madubuike) [92-J.Madubuike], touched at JAX 19, RECOVERED by BAL-6-P.Queen at JAX 19.
Quarterback report card
T.Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 49 dropbacks · 51.0% completion · -4.5% CPOE · -0.22 EPA/play · -10.89 total EPA
- L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 31 dropbacks · 45.2% completion · +3.2% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -0.78 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Baltimore Ravens | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.034 | -0.237 |
| Offensive success rate | 54.2% | 35.9% |
| Pass EPA/play | -0.025 | -0.222 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.086 | -0.182 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.237 | -0.034 |
| Defensive success rate | 64.1% | 45.8% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Baltimore Ravens generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.03 vs -0.24), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Baltimore Ravens: 10 drives, +2.85 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -18.47 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- I. Likely (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Lawrence (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
- L. Jackson (BAL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q1 51:26 · JAX 25 · Score 3-0
(6:26) 9-J.Tucker 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 31:18 · JAX 16 · Score 9-0
(1:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 80-I.Likely for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 31:12 · JAX 15 · Score 10-0
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 22:26 · BAL 65 · Score 10-6
(7:26) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 39-J.Agnew for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q3 22:15 · BAL 15 · Score 10-7
10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · JAX 1 · Score 16-7
(15:00) 66-B.Cleveland reported in as eligible. 35-G.Edwards up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. - Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 14:58 · JAX 15 · Score 17-7
9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 8:03 · JAX 7 · Score 20-7
(8:03) 9-J.Tucker 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout. - Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 6:05 · JAX 16 · Score 23-7
(6:05) 9-J.Tucker 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-11-J.Stout.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The Baltimore Ravens beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-7 in Week 15, 2023 on 2023-12-17.
What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The final score was Baltimore Ravens 23, Jacksonville Jaguars 7 (BAL 23-7 JAX) in Week 15, 2023 on 2023-12-17.
What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Q1: Baltimore Ravens 3, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Baltimore Ravens 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q3: Baltimore Ravens 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q4: Baltimore Ravens 13, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Final: Baltimore Ravens 23, Jacksonville Jaguars 7.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Baltimore Ravens touchdown — I. Likely (L. Jackson pass) (Q2 31:18) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — J. Agnew (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 22:26) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — G. Edwards (Q4 15:00) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q1 51:26, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q4 8:03, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q4 6:05, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 51.0% completion, -4.5% CPOE, -0.22 EPA per dropback, -10.89 total passing EPA. L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens), 45.2% completion, +3.2% CPOE, -0.03 EPA per dropback, -0.78 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
I. Likely (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +8.05 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.80 EPA): (11:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-N.Agholor INTERCEPTED by 2-R.Jenkins at JAX 30. 2-R.Jenkins to JAX 48 for 18 yards (76-J.Simpson).. The biggest win-probability swing was -16.6%.
Season records after this game
Baltimore Ravens
Entered 10-3 Now 11-3 W
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 8-5 Now 8-6 L
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