FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 3, 2021 · 9 min read

Baltimore Ravens vs. Denver Broncos: 2021 Week 4 Recap

Ravens defeat Broncos 23–7 in Week 4

Lucky Jackson led Fantasy Impact as Ravens prevailed in a 23–7 Week 4 finish.

Baltimore Ravens 23 3–1 Winner
Final 23–7
Denver Broncos 7 3–1
Winner
Baltimore Ravens
Final score
23–7
Halftime
Baltimore Ravens 17–7 Denver Broncos
Top passer
Lucky Jackson
FantasyHQ MVP
Lucky Jackson
Game date
October 3, 2021

Top fantasy performers · Ravens

  • Lucky Jackson
    Lucky Jackson 22/42 · 306 YDS · 2 TD +8.6 Fantasy Impact
  • James Proche II
    James Proche II 5 REC · 74 YDS +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Montaric Brown
    Montaric Brown 4 REC · 91 YDS · 1 TD +6.1 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Broncos

  • Melvin Gordon
    Melvin Gordon 9 CAR · 56 YDS +1.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Noah Fant
    Noah Fant 6 REC · 46 YDS · 1 TD +1.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Albert Okwuegbunam Jr.
    Albert Okwuegbunam Jr. 1 REC · 11 YDS +0.4 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Baltimore Ravens defeated the Denver Broncos 23–7 in Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-03, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (+14.6% win probability) came in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-10-03, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Denver Broncos, pulling away with a 23–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) paced the passing game, with +8.63 total EPA, and +0.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +8.63 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+14.6% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell].

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q2Q4T
Baltimore Ravens17600023
Denver Broncos700007

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +8.63 total EPA · 42 snaps · +0.21 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Proche · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +6.19 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.03 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Brown · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +6.14 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.23 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Andrews · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.09 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  5. 5 L. Jackson · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.14 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
  6. 6 M. Gordon · Denver Broncos · Rushing · +1.47 total EPA · 9 snaps · +0.16 EPA/play
  7. 7 S. Watkins · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.25 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  8. 8 N. Fant · Denver Broncos · Receiving · +1.16 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

L. Jackson — BAL · Passing

L. Jackson posted the highest total EPA (+8.63) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Baltimore Ravens's efficiency. Across 42 counted snaps, they averaged +0.21 EPA per play.

The signature play (+4.80 EPA) came from Baltimore Ravens: (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell].

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Denver Broncos — N. Fant (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q2 44:22)
  • Baltimore Ravens — L. Murray (Q2 40:28)
  • Baltimore Ravens — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (Q2 37:18)

Field goals

  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 30:02)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 13:43)
  • Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 1:54)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The second quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 17–7. Denver Broncos found the end zone from the BAL 3 (Q2 44:22) — (14:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short left to 87-N.Fant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Denver Broncos added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 44:18) — 8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-S.Martin.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the DEN 11 (Q2 40:28) — (10:28) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 40:21) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the DEN 49 (Q2 37:18) — (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell].; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the DEN 15 (Q2 37:09) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the DEN 22 (Q2 30:02) — (:02) 9-J.Tucker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 6–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the DEN 28 (Q4 13:43) — (13:43) 9-J.Tucker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the DEN 2 (Q4 1:54) — (1:54) 9-J.Tucker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 37:18) — (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell]. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +4.80]
  • Denver Broncos (Q1 46:02) — (1:02) 33-J.Williams right tackle to BAL 9 for 31 yards (44-M.Humphrey). [WPA +7.2% · EPA +1.81]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 33:59) — (3:59) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep middle to 5-M.Brown to BAL 43 for 32 yards (22-K.Jackson). [WPA +7.1% · EPA +1.79]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 40:28) — (10:28) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.0% · EPA +2.05]
  • Denver Broncos (Q3 25:28) — (10:28) 3-D.Lock sacked at DEN 36 for -8 yards (54-T.Bowser). [WPA -6.0% · EPA -1.39]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Baltimore Ravens (Q2 37:18) — (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell]. [WPA +14.6% · EPA +4.80]
  • Denver Broncos (Q4 0:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass short left intended for 14-C.Sutton INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Averett at BAL -8. Touchback. [WPA -0.4% · EPA -3.91]
  • Baltimore Ravens (Q4 4:36) — (4:36) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 11-J.Proche pushed ob at DEN 28 for 32 yards (22-K.Jackson). [WPA +0.6% · EPA +2.80]
  • Denver Broncos (Q2 30:48) — (:48) 6-S.Martin punts 56 yards to BAL 32, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer. 13-D.Duvernay to DEN 26 for 42 yards (43-M.Kiser). [WPA -4.7% · EPA -2.47]

Quarterback report card

L.Jackson led all passers in efficiency for Baltimore Ravens, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 42 dropbacks · 52.4% completion · +0.8% CPOE · +0.21 EPA/play · +8.63 total EPA
  • D.Lock (Denver Broncos) · 25 dropbacks · 48.0% completion · -8.1% CPOE · -0.40 EPA/play · -9.94 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatBaltimore RavensDenver Broncos
Offensive EPA/play+0.037-0.212
Offensive success rate46.7%33.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.206-0.363
Rush EPA/play-0.133+0.105
Defensive EPA/play+0.212-0.037
Defensive success rate66.2%53.3%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Baltimore Ravens generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.04 vs -0.21), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Baltimore Ravens: 13 drives, +3.29 total EPA, 5 scoring drives
  • Denver Broncos: 12 drives, -16.98 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • D. Lock (DEN) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Denver Broncos TD (+6) — Q2 44:22 · BAL 3 · Score 0-6
    (14:22) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short left to 87-N.Fant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Denver Broncos XP (+1) — Q2 44:18 · BAL 15 · Score 0-7
    8-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, Holder-6-S.Martin.
  3. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 40:28 · DEN 11 · Score 6-7
    (10:28) (Shotgun) 28-L.Murray left end for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 40:21 · DEN 15 · Score 7-7
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  5. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q2 37:18 · DEN 49 · Score 13-7
    (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell].
  6. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q2 37:09 · DEN 15 · Score 14-7
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  7. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 30:02 · DEN 22 · Score 17-7
    (:02) 9-J.Tucker 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  8. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 13:43 · DEN 28 · Score 20-7
    (13:43) 9-J.Tucker 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.
  9. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 1:54 · DEN 2 · Score 23-7
    (1:54) 9-J.Tucker 20 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-4-S.Koch.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 23-7 in Week 4, 2021 on 2021-10-03.

What was the final score of Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

The final score was Baltimore Ravens 23, Denver Broncos 7 (BAL 23-7 DEN) in Week 4, 2021 on 2021-10-03.

What was the score by quarter in Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

Q2: Baltimore Ravens 17, Denver Broncos 7; Q4: Baltimore Ravens 6, Denver Broncos 0; Final: Baltimore Ravens 23, Denver Broncos 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

Denver Broncos touchdown — N. Fant (T. Bridgewater pass) (Q2 44:22) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — L. Murray (Q2 40:28) Baltimore Ravens touchdown — M. Brown (L. Jackson pass) (Q2 37:18) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q2 30:02, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q4 13:43, 3 pts) Baltimore Ravens field goal — J. Tucker (Q4 1:54, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens), 52.4% completion, +0.8% CPOE, +0.21 EPA per dropback, +8.63 total passing EPA. D. Lock (Denver Broncos), 48.0% completion, -8.1% CPOE, -0.40 EPA per dropback, -9.94 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos?

L. Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) led the game in total EPA with +8.63 on passing plays. across 42 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+4.80 EPA): (7:18) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep left to 5-M.Brown for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN [98-M.Purcell].. The biggest win-probability swing was +14.6%.

Season records after this game

Baltimore Ravens

Entered 2-1 Now 3-1 W

Denver Broncos

Entered 3-0 Now 3-1 L