Baltimore Ravens vs. Atlanta Falcons: 2018 Week 13 Recap

Game story

In Week 13 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-02, the Baltimore Ravens took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 26–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 16 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -9.06 total EPA, and -2.4% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, S. Koch (Baltimore Ravens) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +4.49 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-32.1% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Baltimore Ravens changed the game: (11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at ATL 27 for -5 yards (97-G.Jarrett). FUMBLES (97-G.Jarrett) [97-G.Jarrett], RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at ATL 26. 44-V.Beasley for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALT

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 S. Koch · Baltimore Ravens · Passing · +4.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.49 EPA/play
2. 2 C. Moore · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +4.49 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.49 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Andrews · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +3.61 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.20 EPA/play
4. 4 A. Hooper · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.12 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.52 EPA/play
5. 5 M. Sanu · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
6. 6 G. Edwards · Baltimore Ravens · Rushing · +2.22 total EPA · 22 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
7. 7 T. Montgomery · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +1.71 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play
8. 8 M. Crabtree · Baltimore Ravens · Receiving · +0.42 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.11 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Baltimore Ravens — L. Jackson (Q1 49:24)
• Atlanta Falcons — V. Beasley (Q2 41:52)
• Baltimore Ravens — T. Young (Q4 7:24)
• Atlanta Falcons — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 4:22)

Field goals

• Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q1 54:36)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q2 30:10)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q3 25:02)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q3 15:36)
• Baltimore Ravens — J. Tucker (Q4 7:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the BAL 26 (Q1 54:36) — (9:36) 3-M.Bryant 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the ATL 13 (Q1 49:24) — (4:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 49:17) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 22 (Q2 41:52); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the BAL 15 (Q2 41:33) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the ATL 23 (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The third quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 6–0. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the ATL 3 (Q3 25:02) — (10:02) 9-J.Tucker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the ATL 27 (Q3 15:36) — (:36) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch..

The fourth quarter: Baltimore Ravens won the period 10–6. Baltimore Ravens connected on a field goal from the ATL 29 (Q4 7:29) — (7:29) 9-J.Tucker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Baltimore Ravens found the end zone from the BAL 75 (Q4 7:24); Baltimore Ravens added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 7:16) — 9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the BAL 1 (Q4 4:22) — (4:22) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 81-A.Hooper for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [99-M.Judon]..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:52) — (11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at ATL 27 for -5 yards (97-G.Jarrett). FUMBLES (97-G.Jarrett) [97-G.Jarrett], RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at ATL 26. 44-V.Beasley for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALT [WPA -32.1% · EPA -11.14]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 43:21) — (13:21) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch pass deep middle to 10-C.Moore to ATL 25 for 21 yards (21-D.Trufant). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +4.49]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:24) — (7:24) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 17 for -8 yards (48-P.Onwuasor). FUMBLES (48-P.Onwuasor) [48-P.Onwuasor], RECOVERED by BAL-25-T.Young at ATL 12. 25-T.Young for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -9.0% · EPA -8.32]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q3 15:36) — (:36) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. [WPA +9.0% · EPA +0.91]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 30:10) — (:10) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch. [WPA -7.9% · EPA +0.45]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 41:52) — (11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at ATL 27 for -5 yards (97-G.Jarrett). FUMBLES (97-G.Jarrett) [97-G.Jarrett], RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at ATL 26. 44-V.Beasley for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALT [WPA -32.1% · EPA -11.14]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 7:24) — (7:24) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 17 for -8 yards (48-P.Onwuasor). FUMBLES (48-P.Onwuasor) [48-P.Onwuasor], RECOVERED by BAL-25-T.Young at ATL 12. 25-T.Young for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -9.0% · EPA -8.32]
• Baltimore Ravens (Q2 43:21) — (13:21) (Punt formation) 4-S.Koch pass deep middle to 10-C.Moore to ATL 25 for 21 yards (21-D.Trufant). [WPA +9.1% · EPA +4.49]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 44:12) — (14:12) 25-I.Smith left guard to ATL 49 for -1 yards (55-T.Suggs). [WPA -6.1% · EPA -3.46]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 38 dropbacks · 42.1% completion · -2.4% CPOE · -0.24 EPA/play · -9.06 total EPA
• L.Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) · 27 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -11.1% CPOE · -0.26 EPA/play · -7.05 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Baltimore Ravens generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.03 vs -0.24), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

• Atlanta Falcons: 11 drives, -16.68 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Baltimore Ravens: 11 drives, -2.49 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Baltimore Ravens leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• S. Koch (Baltimore Ravens) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• L. Jackson (BAL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 54:36 · BAL 26 · Score 0-3
   (9:36) 3-M.Bryant 44 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
2. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q1 49:24 · ATL 13 · Score 6-3
   (4:24) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson right end for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
3. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q1 49:17 · ATL 15 · Score 7-3
   9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 41:52 · ATL 22 · Score 7-9
   (11:52) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at ATL 27 for -5 yards (97-G.Jarrett). FUMBLES (97-G.Jarrett) [97-G.Jarrett], RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at ATL 26. 44-V
5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 41:33 · BAL 15 · Score 7-10
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
6. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q2 30:10 · ATL 23 · Score 10-10
   (:10) 9-J.Tucker 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
7. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 25:02 · ATL 3 · Score 13-10
   (10:02) 9-J.Tucker 21 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
8. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q3 15:36 · ATL 27 · Score 16-10
   (:36) 9-J.Tucker 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
9. Baltimore Ravens FG (+3) — Q4 7:29 · ATL 29 · Score 19-10
   (7:29) 9-J.Tucker 47 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
10. Baltimore Ravens TD (+6) — Q4 7:24 · BAL 75 · Score 25-10
    (7:24) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 17 for -8 yards (48-P.Onwuasor). FUMBLES (48-P.Onwuasor) [48-P.Onwuasor], RECOVERED by BAL-25-T.Young at ATL 12. 25-T.Yo
11. Baltimore Ravens XP (+1) — Q4 7:16 · ATL 15 · Score 26-10
    9-J.Tucker extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
12. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 4:22 · BAL 1 · Score 26-16
    (4:22) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 81-A.Hooper for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN [99-M.Judon].