Game story
In Week 7 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-22, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, pulling away with a 16–13 final that came down to the wire.
The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) paced the passing game, with +3.36 total EPA, and -1.9% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, D. Ridder (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +10.51 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (+29.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (:04) 6-Y.Koo 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 16 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 13 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 D. Ridder · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +10.51 total EPA · 29 snaps · +0.36 EPA/play
- 2 R. White · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +5.08 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
- 3 M. Evans · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +4.86 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.61 EPA/play
- 4 D. London · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.00 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.57 EPA/play
- 5 B. Mayfield · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Passing · +3.36 total EPA · 52 snaps · +0.06 EPA/play
- 6 S. Miller · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 1 snaps · +3.10 EPA/play
- 7 T. Allgeier · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.06 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.02 EPA/play
- 8 C. Godwin · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.22 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
D. Ridder — ATL · Passing
D. Ridder posted the highest total EPA (+10.51) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 29 counted snaps, they averaged +0.36 EPA per play.
The signature play (-6.27 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (8:05) 9-D.Ridder FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 1, RECOVERED by TB-0-Y.Diaby at TB 3.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Atlanta Falcons — D. Ridder
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — M. Evans (B. Mayfield pass)
Field goals
- Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. McLaughlin
- Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. McLaughlin
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Camarda
- Atlanta Falcons — Y. Koo
- Atlanta Falcons — unlisted player
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 2 (Q1 51:52) — (6:52) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 15 (Q1 51:48) — 6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 40 (Q1 48:31) — (3:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 48:24) — 4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The second quarter: The quarter finished even at 3–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 5 (Q2 41:54) — (11:54) 6-Y.Koo 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 6 (Q2 35:17) — (5:17) 4-C.McLaughlin 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda..
The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 3–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 23 (Q3 17:08) — (2:08) 6-Y.Koo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion..
The fourth quarter: The quarter finished even at 6–6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 18 (Q4 0:49) — (:49) 4-C.McLaughlin 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the TB 35 (Q4 0:45) — 5-J.Camarda kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 33 (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 6-Y.Koo 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal (Q4 0:00) — END GAME.
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:04) — (:04) 6-Y.Koo 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 3:46) — (3:46) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right intended for 88-C.Otton INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Grant at ATL 11. 27-R.Grant ran ob at ATL 15 for 4 yards.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 6:35) — (6:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end to TB 1 for 11 ya
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 0:56) — (:56) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at ATL 18 for -10 yards (90-D.Onyemata).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 23:05) — (8:05) 9-D.Ridder FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 1, RECOVERED by TB-0-Y.Diaby at TB 3.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q3 23:05) — (8:05) 9-D.Ridder FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 1, RECOVERED by TB-0-Y.Diaby at TB 3.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q3 26:57) — (11:57) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 83-D.Thompkins to TB 29 for 1 yard (53-N.Landman). FUMBLES (53-N.Landman), touched at TB 28, RECOVERED by ATL-72-L.London at TB 27.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q4 6:35) — (6:35) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end to TB 1 for 11 ya
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 48:31) — (3:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Quarterback report card
B.Mayfield led all passers in efficiency for Tampa Bay Buccaneers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- B.Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 52 dropbacks · 51.9% completion · -1.9% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +3.36 total EPA
- D.Ridder (Atlanta Falcons) · 29 dropbacks · 65.5% completion · +15.3% CPOE · +0.36 EPA/play · +10.51 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | -0.011 | -0.070 |
| Offensive success rate | 44.9% | 38.2% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.362 | +0.065 |
| Rush EPA/play | -0.343 | -0.408 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.070 | +0.011 |
| Defensive success rate | 61.8% | 55.1% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Atlanta Falcons generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.07), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -0.86 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -6.25 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- D. Ridder (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- D. Ridder (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 51:52 · TB 2 · Score 6-0
(6:52) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder left end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 51:48 · TB 15 · Score 7-0
6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q1 48:31 · ATL 40 · Score 7-6
(3:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 13-M.Evans for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q1 48:24 · ATL 15 · Score 7-7
4-C.McLaughlin extra point is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 41:54 · TB 5 · Score 10-7
(11:54) 6-Y.Koo 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 35:17 · ATL 6 · Score 10-10
(5:17) 4-C.McLaughlin 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 17:08 · TB 23 · Score 13-10
(2:08) 6-Y.Koo 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 0:49 · ATL 18 · Score 13-13
(:49) 4-C.McLaughlin 36 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-5-J.Camarda. - Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q4 0:45 · TB 35 · Score 13-13
5-J.Camarda kicks 65 yards from TB 35 to end zone, Touchback. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 0:04 · TB 33 · Score 16-13
(:04) 6-Y.Koo 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion. - Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 0:00 · Score 16-13
END GAME
Frequently asked questions
Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16-13 in Week 7, 2023 on 2023-10-22.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The final score was Atlanta Falcons 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13 (ATL 16-13 TB) in Week 7, 2023 on 2023-10-22.
What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 6, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6; Final: Atlanta Falcons 16, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Ridder (Q1 51:52) Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — M. Evans (B. Mayfield pass) (Q1 48:31) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q2 41:54, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q2 35:17, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q3 17:08, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. McLaughlin (Q4 0:49, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — J. Camarda (Q4 0:45, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — Y. Koo (Q4 0:04, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — unlisted player (Q4 0:00, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
B. Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 51.9% completion, -1.9% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +3.36 total passing EPA. D. Ridder (Atlanta Falcons), 65.5% completion, +15.3% CPOE, +0.36 EPA per dropback, +10.51 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
D. Ridder (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +10.51 on passing plays. across 29 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.27 EPA): (8:05) 9-D.Ridder FUMBLES (Aborted) at TB 1, RECOVERED by TB-0-Y.Diaby at TB 3.. The biggest win-probability swing was +29.6%.
Was Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?
Yes — the margin was 3 points. Atlanta Falcons won 16-13 in a game that came down to the wire.
Season records after this game
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 3-3 Now 4-3 W
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Entered 3-2 Now 3-3 L
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