FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 3 · September 25, 2011 · 10 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2011 Week 3 Recap

Buccaneers defeat Falcons 16–13 in Week 3

Ricky White III led Fantasy Impact as Buccaneers prevailed in a 13–16 Week 3 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 13 1–2
Final 13–16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 2–1 Winner
Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final score
13–16
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 3–13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Ricky White III
Game date
September 25, 2011

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Ricky White III
    Ricky White III 9 REC · 140 YDS +7.0 Fantasy Impact
  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 6 REC · 115 YDS +6.7 Fantasy Impact
  • J.Rodgers 2 CAR · 7 YDS +0.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Buccaneers

  • E.Graham 7 REC · 37 YDS · 1 TD +2.4 Fantasy Impact
  • L.Stocker 2 REC · 33 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Mykel Williams
    Mykel Williams 5 REC · 43 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 16–13 in Week 3 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-09-25, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (-15.9% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers swung the momentum.

In Week 3 of the 2011 NFL season on 2011-09-25, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 16–13 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 13 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -2.19 total EPA, and -2.0% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, R. White (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.98 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.9% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Tampa Bay Buccaneers changed the game: *** play under review ***

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons03010013
Tampa Bay Buccaneers31030016

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.98 total EPA · 17 snaps · +0.41 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.67 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  3. 3 E. Graham · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.43 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
  4. 4 L. Stocker · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.14 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Williams · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +1.62 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Freeman · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Rushing · +1.21 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.20 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Rodgers · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +0.61 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.31 EPA/play
  8. 8 P. Parker · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving · +0.47 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

R. White — ATL · Receiving

R. White posted the highest total EPA (+6.98) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 17 counted snaps, they averaged +0.41 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.01 EPA) came from Tampa Bay Buccaneers: *** play under review ***

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — J. Freeman (Q2 33:39)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 10:01)

Field goals

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q1 46:24)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q2 41:14)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q2 32:00)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers — C. Barth (Q3 21:54)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q4 4:11)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 31 (Q1 46:24) — (1:24) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The second quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 10–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 8 (Q2 41:14) — (11:14) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q2 33:39) — (3:39) 5-J.Freeman up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 33:37) — 10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 8 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The third quarter: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the period 3–0. Tampa Bay Buccaneers connected on a field goal from the ATL 10 (Q3 21:54) — (6:54) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the TB 10 (Q4 10:01) — (10:01) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 88-T.Gonzalez for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the TB 2 (Q4 9:55) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the TB 15 (Q4 4:11) — (4:11) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:42) — *** play under review *** [WPA -15.9% · EPA -6.01]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 5:33) — (5:33) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 84-R.White to TB 23 for 15 yards (31-E.Biggers). [WPA +14.7% · EPA +1.87]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 4:30) — (4:30) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at TB 15 for -10 yards (92-B.Price). Penalty on ATL-63-J.Blalock, Offensive Holding, declined. [WPA -10.1% · EPA -1.73]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 59:05) — (14:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 17 for -7 yards (56-D.Watson). FUMBLES (56-D.Watson), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 17. 20-R.Barber to ATL 17 for no gain (44-J.Snelling). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -3.44]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 33:32) — (3:32) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 9 for -11 yards (94-A.Clayborn). FUMBLES (94-A.Clayborn), RECOVERED by TB-71-M.Bennett at ATL 9. 71-M.Bennett to ATL 9 for no gain (72-S.Baker). Penalty on ATL-63-J.Blalo [WPA -9.7% · EPA -4.91]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q1 57:42) — *** play under review *** [WPA -15.9% · EPA -6.01]
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 5-J.Freeman pass deep middle intended for 17-A.Benn INTERCEPTED by 25-W.Moore at ATL 25. 25-W.Moore to TB 48 for 27 yards (27-L.Blount). [WPA -4.9% · EPA -5.28]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 33:32) — (3:32) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 9 for -11 yards (94-A.Clayborn). FUMBLES (94-A.Clayborn), RECOVERED by TB-71-M.Bennett at ATL 9. 71-M.Bennett to ATL 9 for no gain (72-S.Baker). Penalty on ATL-63-J.Blalo [WPA -9.7% · EPA -4.91]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 59:05) — (14:05) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 17 for -7 yards (56-D.Watson). FUMBLES (56-D.Watson), RECOVERED by TB-20-R.Barber at ATL 17. 20-R.Barber to ATL 17 for no gain (44-J.Snelling). [WPA -9.9% · EPA -3.44]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 53 dropbacks · 49.1% completion · -2.0% CPOE · -0.04 EPA/play · -2.19 total EPA
  • J.Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) · 36 dropbacks · 61.1% completion · +2.4% CPOE · -0.01 EPA/play · -0.30 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Offensive EPA/play-0.098-0.081
Offensive success rate38.1%44.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.041-0.008
Rush EPA/play-0.367-0.123
Defensive EPA/play+0.081+0.098
Defensive success rate56.0%61.9%

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons -0.10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.08) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -8.22 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 11 drives, -6.77 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • R. White (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q1 46:24 · ATL 31 · Score 0-3
    (1:24) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  2. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 41:14 · TB 8 · Score 3-3
    (11:14) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers TD (+6) — Q2 33:39 · ATL 1 · Score 3-9
    (3:39) 5-J.Freeman up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers XP (+1) — Q2 33:37 · ATL 2 · Score 3-10
    10-C.Barth extra point is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q2 32:00 · ATL 8 · Score 3-13
    (2:00) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 26 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers FG (+3) — Q3 21:54 · ATL 10 · Score 3-16
    (6:54) (Field Goal formation) 10-C.Barth 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Yount, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 10:01 · TB 10 · Score 9-16
    (10:01) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 88-T.Gonzalez for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 9:55 · TB 2 · Score 10-16
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  9. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q4 4:11 · TB 15 · Score 13-16
    (4:11) (Field Goal formation) 3-M.Bryant 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-5-M.Bosher.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Atlanta Falcons 16-13 in Week 3, 2011 on 2011-09-25.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 13, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (ATL 13-16 TB) in Week 3, 2011 on 2011-09-25.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 3, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 0, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 10, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0; Final: Atlanta Falcons 13, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers touchdown — J. Freeman (Q2 33:39) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 10:01) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q1 46:24, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q2 41:14, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q2 32:00, 3 pts) Tampa Bay Buccaneers field goal — C. Barth (Q3 21:54, 3 pts) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q4 4:11, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 49.1% completion, -2.0% CPOE, -0.04 EPA per dropback, -2.19 total passing EPA. J. Freeman (Tampa Bay Buccaneers), 61.1% completion, +2.4% CPOE, -0.01 EPA per dropback, -0.30 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

R. White (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +6.98 on receiving plays. across 17 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.01 EPA): *** play under review ***. The biggest win-probability swing was -15.9%.

Was Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 16-13 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 1-1 Now 1-2 L

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Entered 1-1 Now 2-1 W