FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 15 · December 20, 2009 · 9 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets: 2009 Week 15 Recap

Falcons defeat Jets 10–7 in Week 15

Bryan Edwards led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 10–7 Week 15 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 10 7–7 Winner
Final 10–7
New York Jets 7 7–7
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
10–7
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Bryan Edwards
Game date
December 20, 2009

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • J.Norwood 2 REC · 47 YDS +4.5 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Gonzalez 3 REC · 32 YDS · 1 TD +2.5 Fantasy Impact
  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 16/36 · 152 YDS · 1 TD +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jets

  • Bryan Edwards
    Bryan Edwards 5 REC · 105 YDS · 1 TD +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sanchez 1 CAR · 2 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact
  • Brandon Smith
    Brandon Smith 1 CAR · 8 YDS +0.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the New York Jets 10–7 in Week 15 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-20, a matchup that came down to the wire. The decisive swing (+26.2% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 15 of the 2009 NFL season on 2009-12-20, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the New York Jets, pulling away with a 10–7 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +0.95 total EPA, and -12.6% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Edwards (New York Jets) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.76 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (+26.2% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q4T
Atlanta Falcons3700010
New York Jets700007

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 B. Edwards · New York Jets · Receiving · +5.76 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.82 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Norwood · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.50 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.25 EPA/play
  3. 3 T. Gonzalez · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.53 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.25 EPA/play
  4. 4 M. Sanchez · New York Jets · Rushing · +2.27 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.27 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +0.95 total EPA · 36 snaps · +0.03 EPA/play
  6. 6 B. Smith · New York Jets · Rushing · +0.95 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.95 EPA/play
  7. 7 J. Cotchery · New York Jets · Receiving · +0.65 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.09 EPA/play
  8. 8 M. Turner · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +0.60 total EPA · 1 snaps · +0.60 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

B. Edwards — NYJ · Receiving

B. Edwards posted the highest total EPA (+5.76) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on New York Jets's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.82 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.17 EPA) came from New York Jets: (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • New York Jets — B. Edwards (M. Sanchez pass) (Q1 47:57)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 1:42)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Bryant (Q1 52:39)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: New York Jets won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the NYJ 6 (Q1 52:39) — (7:39) 3-M.Bryant 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; New York Jets found the end zone from the ATL 65 (Q1 47:57) — (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; New York Jets added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 47:48) — 3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the NYJ 6 (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the NYJ 2 (Q4 1:38) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +26.2% · EPA +4.34]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:15) — (2:15) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right to 84-R.White pushed ob at NYJ 42 for 16 yards (27-D.Strickland). PENALTY on NYJ-27-D.Strickland, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at NYJ 42. [WPA +20.3% · EPA +2.81]
  • New York Jets (Q4 1:13) — (1:13) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep left intended for 17-B.Edwards INTERCEPTED by 20-B.Grimes at NYJ 43. 20-B.Grimes to NYJ 42 for 1 yard (17-B.Edwards). [WPA -18.1% · EPA -2.13]
  • New York Jets (Q1 47:57) — (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.17]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 11:51) — (11:51) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 32-J.Norwood to NYJ 30 for 38 yards (27-D.Strickland). [WPA +13.8% · EPA +3.34]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • New York Jets (Q1 47:57) — (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +15.3% · EPA +5.17]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:42) — (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +26.2% · EPA +4.34]
  • New York Jets (Q2 36:40) — (6:40) (Field Goal formation) 11-K.Clemens FUMBLES (Aborted) at ATL 13, and recovers at ATL 13. 11-K.Clemens to ATL 13 for no gain (20-B.Grimes). [WPA -9.2% · EPA -3.95]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 10:15) — (10:15) 3-M.Bryant 48 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen. [WPA -10.5% · EPA -3.50]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 36 dropbacks · 44.4% completion · -12.6% CPOE · +0.03 EPA/play · +0.95 total EPA
  • M.Sanchez (New York Jets) · 35 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -3.5% CPOE · -0.18 EPA/play · -6.29 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsNew York Jets
Offensive EPA/play-0.166-0.230
Offensive success rate30.0%35.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.026-0.180
Rush EPA/play-0.166-0.251
Defensive EPA/play+0.230+0.166
Defensive success rate64.2%70.0%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Atlanta Falcons generated the better offensive EPA per play (-0.17 vs -0.23), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 12 drives, -13.32 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • New York Jets: 12 drives, -18.60 total EPA, 1 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
  • B. Edwards (New York Jets) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • M. Sanchez (NYJ) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q1 52:39 · NYJ 6 · Score 3-0
    (7:39) 3-M.Bryant 24 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  2. New York Jets TD (+6) — Q1 47:57 · ATL 65 · Score 3-6
    (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. New York Jets XP (+1) — Q1 47:48 · ATL 2 · Score 3-7
    3-J.Feely extra point is GOOD, Center-85-J.Dearth, Holder-11-K.Clemens.
  4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 1:42 · NYJ 6 · Score 9-7
    (1:42) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 1:38 · NYJ 2 · Score 10-7
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-82-J.Zelenka, Holder-9-M.Koenen.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the New York Jets 10-7 in Week 15, 2009 on 2009-12-20.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 10, New York Jets 7 (ATL 10-7 NYJ) in Week 15, 2009 on 2009-12-20.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 3, New York Jets 7; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 7, New York Jets 0; Final: Atlanta Falcons 10, New York Jets 7.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

New York Jets touchdown — B. Edwards (M. Sanchez pass) (Q1 47:57) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 1:42) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Bryant (Q1 52:39, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 44.4% completion, -12.6% CPOE, +0.03 EPA per dropback, +0.95 total passing EPA. M. Sanchez (New York Jets), 51.4% completion, -3.5% CPOE, -0.18 EPA per dropback, -6.29 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets?

B. Edwards (New York Jets) led the game in total EPA with +5.76 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.17 EPA): (2:57) 6-M.Sanchez pass deep right to 17-B.Edwards for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was +26.2%.

Was Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets a close game?

Yes — the margin was 3 points. Atlanta Falcons won 10-7 in a game that came down to the wire.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 6-7 Now 7-7 W

New York Jets

Entered 7-6 Now 7-7 L