FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 11, 2016 · 12 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2016 Week 14 Recap

Falcons defeat Rams 42–14 in Week 14

Matt Ryan led Fantasy Impact as Falcons prevailed in a 42–14 Week 14 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 42 8–5 Winner
Final 42–14
Los Angeles Rams 14 4–9
Winner
Atlanta Falcons
Final score
42–14
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 21–0 Los Angeles Rams
Top passer
Jared Goff
FantasyHQ MVP
Matt Ryan
Game date
December 11, 2016

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 18/31 · 220 YDS · 3 TD +15.0 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Gabriel 3 REC · 82 YDS · 1 TD +6.1 Fantasy Impact
  • Nohl Williams
    Nohl Williams 4 REC · 49 YDS +5.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • Jared Goff
    Jared Goff 1 CAR · 2 YDS · 1 TD +2.0 Fantasy Impact
  • T.Austin 2 CAR · 27 YDS +1.6 Fantasy Impact
  • Michael Thomas
    Michael Thomas 1 REC · 16 YDS +1.0 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Atlanta Falcons defeated the Los Angeles Rams 42–14 in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-17.0% win probability) came in the opening quarter when Los Angeles Rams swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season on 2016-12-11, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Los Angeles Rams, pulling away with a 42–14 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 21 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Goff (Los Angeles Rams) paced the passing game, with -21.15 total EPA, and -7.7% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +15.04 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-17.0% win probability) landed in the opening quarter when Los Angeles Rams changed the game: 5-M.Bosher kicks 69 yards from ATL 35 to LA -4. 13-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, touched at LA -4, RECOVERED by ATL-55-P.Worrilow at LA 3.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons714210042
Los Angeles Rams00014014

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +15.04 total EPA · 31 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  2. 2 T. Gabriel · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.08 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.01 EPA/play
  3. 3 N. Williams · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.27 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.05 EPA/play
  4. 4 T. Coleman · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.76 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Goff · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +2.04 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.04 EPA/play
  6. 6 L. Toilolo · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.79 total EPA · 1 snaps · +1.79 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Austin · Los Angeles Rams · Rushing · +1.56 total EPA · 2 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play
  8. 8 T. Austin · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +1.33 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.12 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

M. Ryan — ATL · Passing

M. Ryan posted the highest total EPA (+15.04) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 31 counted snaps, they averaged +0.49 EPA per play.

The signature play (-8.08 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 59:56)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 45:00)
  • Atlanta Falcons — D. Jones (Q2 39:04)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Gabriel (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 28:29)
  • Atlanta Falcons — T. Coleman (Q3 19:01)
  • Atlanta Falcons — V. Beasley (Q3 17:56)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Gurley (Q4 15:00)
  • Los Angeles Rams — J. Goff (Q4 2:49)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 3 (Q1 59:56) — (14:56) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 16-J.Hardy for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q1 59:50) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 14–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 6 (Q2 45:00) — (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 44:53) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 74 (Q2 39:04) — (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q2 38:54) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 64 (Q3 28:29) — (13:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 28:18) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 6 (Q3 19:01) — (4:01) 26-T.Coleman right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 18:56) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 69 (Q3 17:56); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 15 (Q3 17:50) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The fourth quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 3 (Q4 15:00) — (15:00) 30-T.Gurley up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 14:57) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q4 2:49) — (2:49) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q4 2:44) — 4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 60:00) — 5-M.Bosher kicks 69 yards from ATL 35 to LA -4. 13-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, touched at LA -4, RECOVERED by ATL-55-P.Worrilow at LA 3. [WPA -17.0% · EPA -7.34]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 55:23) — (10:23) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Allen at ATL 7. 37-R.Allen to ATL 10 for 3 yards (11-T.Austin). [WPA -10.3% · EPA -3.73]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 49:47) — (4:47) 5-M.Bosher punts 53 yards to LA 11, Center-47-J.Harris. 11-T.Austin pushed ob at LA 36 for 25 yards (80-L.Toilolo). PENALTY on ATL-55-P.Worrilow, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at LA 36. [WPA -8.0% · EPA -2.19]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 39:04) — (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.2% · EPA -8.08]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 57:39) — (12:39) 11-T.Austin right end ran ob at ATL 23 for 23 yards (37-R.Allen). [WPA +5.5% · EPA +1.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q2 39:04) — (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -6.2% · EPA -8.08]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 17:56) — (2:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 21 for -10 yards (44-V.Beasley). FUMBLES (44-V.Beasley), RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at LA 21. 44-V.Beasley for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA -7.99]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q1 60:00) — 5-M.Bosher kicks 69 yards from ATL 35 to LA -4. 13-M.Thomas MUFFS catch, touched at LA -4, RECOVERED by ATL-55-P.Worrilow at LA 3. [WPA -17.0% · EPA -7.34]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q3 28:29) — (13:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +2.4% · EPA +5.52]

Quarterback report card

J.Goff led all passers in efficiency for Los Angeles Rams, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Goff (Los Angeles Rams) · 49 dropbacks · 49.0% completion · -7.7% CPOE · -0.43 EPA/play · -21.15 total EPA
  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 31 dropbacks · 58.1% completion · +1.4% CPOE · +0.49 EPA/play · +15.04 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play+0.084-0.324
Offensive success rate43.4%41.8%
Pass EPA/play+0.390-0.432
Rush EPA/play-0.174-0.121
Defensive EPA/play+0.324-0.084
Defensive success rate58.2%56.6%

By the numbers

Despite the final score, Atlanta Falcons generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.08 vs -0.32), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 15 drives, +6.38 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 15 drives, -29.46 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Goff (LA) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 59:56 · LA 3 · Score 6-0
    (14:56) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 16-J.Hardy for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 59:50 · LA 15 · Score 7-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 45:00 · LA 6 · Score 13-0
    (15:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 26-T.Coleman for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 44:53 · LA 15 · Score 14-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 39:04 · ATL 74 · Score 20-0
    (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 38:54 · LA 15 · Score 21-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  7. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 28:29 · LA 64 · Score 27-0
    (13:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep middle to 18-T.Gabriel for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  8. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 28:18 · LA 15 · Score 28-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 19:01 · LA 6 · Score 34-0
    (4:01) 26-T.Coleman right guard for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 18:56 · LA 15 · Score 35-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  11. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 17:56 · ATL 69 · Score 41-0
    (2:56) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 21 for -10 yards (44-V.Beasley). FUMBLES (44-V.Beasley), RECOVERED by ATL-44-V.Beasley at LA 21. 44-V.Beasley
  12. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 17:50 · LA 15 · Score 42-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  13. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 15:00 · ATL 3 · Score 42-6
    (15:00) 30-T.Gurley up the middle for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 14:57 · ATL 15 · Score 42-7
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
  15. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 2:49 · ATL 2 · Score 42-13
    (2:49) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff right end for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  16. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 2:44 · ATL 15 · Score 42-14
    4-G.Zuerlein extra point is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Los Angeles Rams 42-14 in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 42, Los Angeles Rams 14 (ATL 42-14 LA) in Week 14, 2016 on 2016-12-11.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 14, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 21, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 0, Los Angeles Rams 14; Final: Atlanta Falcons 42, Los Angeles Rams 14.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 59:56) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Coleman (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 45:00) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. Jones (Q2 39:04) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Gabriel (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 28:29) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — T. Coleman (Q3 19:01) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — V. Beasley (Q3 17:56) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Gurley (Q4 15:00) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — J. Goff (Q4 2:49) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

J. Goff (Los Angeles Rams), 49.0% completion, -7.7% CPOE, -0.43 EPA per dropback, -21.15 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 58.1% completion, +1.4% CPOE, +0.49 EPA per dropback, +15.04 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +15.04 on passing plays. across 31 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-8.08 EPA): (9:04) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-K.Britt INTERCEPTED by 45-D.Jones at LA 33. 45-D.Jones for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -17.0%.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 7-5 Now 8-5 W

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 4-8 Now 4-9 L