FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 13 · December 2, 2007 · 11 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Rams: 2007 Week 13 Recap

Rams defeat Falcons 28–16 in Week 13

T.Holt led Fantasy Impact as Rams prevailed in a 16–28 Week 13 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 16 3–9
Final 16–28
Los Angeles Rams 28 3–9 Winner
Winner
Los Angeles Rams
Final score
16–28
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 0–21 Los Angeles Rams
Top passer
Jax Harrington
FantasyHQ MVP
T.Holt
Game date
December 2, 2007

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • M.Jenkins 5 REC · 48 YDS · 1 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • A.Crumpler 7 REC · 65 YDS +6.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Ricky White III
    Ricky White III 10 REC · 146 YDS · 1 TD +4.9 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Rams

  • T.Holt 6 REC · 135 YDS · 1 TD +11.2 Fantasy Impact
  • Shedrick Jackson
    Shedrick Jackson 4 REC · 71 YDS +4.2 Fantasy Impact
  • D.Bennett 2 REC · 33 YDS +3.9 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Los Angeles Rams defeated the Atlanta Falcons 28–16 in Week 13 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-02, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-22.6% win probability) came in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 13 of the 2007 NFL season on 2007-12-02, the Los Angeles Rams took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 28–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q4 with 20 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

J. Harrington (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with -14.70 total EPA, and -14.2% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Holt (Los Angeles Rams) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +11.23 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-22.6% win probability) landed in the fourth quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (1:45) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass deep left intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 21-O.Atogwe at LA 23. 21-O.Atogwe to 50 for 27 yards (28-W.Dunn).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons00313016
Los Angeles Rams14707028

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Holt · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +11.23 total EPA · 6 snaps · +1.87 EPA/play
  2. 2 M. Jenkins · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.48 total EPA · 5 snaps · +1.30 EPA/play
  3. 3 A. Crumpler · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.15 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.88 EPA/play
  4. 4 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.90 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.45 EPA/play
  5. 5 J. Norwood · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +4.52 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.56 EPA/play
  6. 6 S. Jackson · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +4.16 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.04 EPA/play
  7. 7 D. Bennett · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +3.91 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.95 EPA/play
  8. 8 I. Bruce · Los Angeles Rams · Receiving · +3.10 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.78 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Holt — LA · Receiving

T. Holt posted the highest total EPA (+11.23) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Los Angeles Rams's efficiency. Across 6 counted snaps, they averaged +1.87 EPA per play.

The signature play (+5.24 EPA) came from Los Angeles Rams: (1:26) 39-S.Jackson right guard for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Los Angeles Rams — R. McMichael (G. Frerotte pass) (Q1 54:45)
  • Los Angeles Rams — T. Holt (G. Frerotte pass) (Q1 48:44)
  • Los Angeles Rams — I. Bruce (G. Frerotte pass) (Q2 32:00)
  • Atlanta Falcons — R. White (C. Redman pass) (Q4 11:57)
  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Jenkins (C. Redman pass) (Q4 7:25)
  • Los Angeles Rams — S. Jackson (Q4 1:26)

Field goals

  • Atlanta Falcons — M. Andersen (Q3 23:29)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 14–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q1 54:45) — (9:45) 12-G.Frerotte pass short right to 84-R.McMichael for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 54:40) — 14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 31 (Q1 48:44) — (3:44) 12-G.Frerotte pass deep left to 81-T.Holt for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 48:38).

The second quarter: Los Angeles Rams won the period 7–0. Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 8 (Q2 32:00) — (2:00) 12-G.Frerotte pass short left to 80-I.Bruce for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [36-L.Milloy].; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q2 31:55) — 14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 3–0. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the LA 23 (Q3 23:29) — (8:29) 5-M.Andersen 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 13–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 15 (Q4 11:57) — (11:57) 8-C.Redman pass short right to 84-R.White for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the LA 5 (Q4 7:25) — (7:25) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short middle to 12-M.Jenkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the LA 2 (Q4 7:17) — 5-M.Andersen extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen.; Los Angeles Rams found the end zone from the ATL 50 (Q4 1:26) — (1:26) 39-S.Jackson right guard for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Los Angeles Rams added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q4 1:17) — 14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass deep left intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 21-O.Atogwe at LA 23. 21-O.Atogwe to 50 for 27 yards (28-W.Dunn). [WPA -22.6% · EPA -4.25]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 5:05) — (5:05) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short middle to 83-A.Crumpler pushed ob at LA 22 for 21 yards (26-T.Hill). Penalty on LA-92-E.Moore, Defensive Offside, declined. [WPA +22.5% · EPA +3.06]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:19) — (2:19) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass incomplete short middle to 87-J.Horn (26-T.Hill). [WPA -22.0% · EPA -3.05]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 5:40) — (5:40) 12-G.Frerotte pass deep middle intended for 80-I.Bruce INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Crocker at LA 49. 25-C.Crocker to LA 33 for 16 yards (84-R.McMichael). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -4.87]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 1:56) — (1:56) 5-D.Jones punts 47 yards to ATL 42, Center-45-C.Massey. 81-A.Jennings pushed ob at ATL 48 for 6 yards (49-R.Owens). [WPA -9.3% · EPA -0.74]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 1:26) — (1:26) 39-S.Jackson right guard for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.5% · EPA +5.24]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q4 5:40) — (5:40) 12-G.Frerotte pass deep middle intended for 80-I.Bruce INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Crocker at LA 49. 25-C.Crocker to LA 33 for 16 yards (84-R.McMichael). [WPA -15.0% · EPA -4.87]
  • Los Angeles Rams (Q3 17:26) — (2:26) 12-G.Frerotte pass deep middle intended for 81-T.Holt INTERCEPTED by 36-L.Milloy [98-J.Anderson] at ATL 15. 36-L.Milloy to ATL 34 for 19 yards (23-B.Leonard). [WPA -2.1% · EPA -4.42]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:45) — (1:45) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass deep left intended for 12-M.Jenkins INTERCEPTED by 21-O.Atogwe at LA 23. 21-O.Atogwe to 50 for 27 yards (28-W.Dunn). [WPA -22.6% · EPA -4.25]

Quarterback report card

J.Harrington led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • J.Harrington (Atlanta Falcons) · 38 dropbacks · 44.7% completion · -14.2% CPOE · -0.39 EPA/play · -14.70 total EPA
  • G.Frerotte (Los Angeles Rams) · 37 dropbacks · 62.2% completion · +3.5% CPOE · +0.06 EPA/play · +2.10 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsLos Angeles Rams
Offensive EPA/play-0.106-0.013
Offensive success rate37.3%43.4%
Pass EPA/play-0.204+0.057
Rush EPA/play+0.110-0.051
Defensive EPA/play+0.013+0.106
Defensive success rate56.6%62.7%

By the numbers

Los Angeles Rams held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (-0.01 vs -0.11), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 15 drives, -10.76 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Los Angeles Rams: 16 drives, -1.07 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Los Angeles Rams leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Holt (Los Angeles Rams) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • J. Harrington (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
  • G. Frerotte (LA) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 54:45 · ATL 1 · Score 0-6
    (9:45) 12-G.Frerotte pass short right to 84-R.McMichael for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 54:40 · ATL 2 · Score 0-7
    14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker.
  3. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q1 48:44 · ATL 31 · Score 0-13
    (3:44) 12-G.Frerotte pass deep left to 81-T.Holt for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q1 48:38 · ATL 2 · Score 0-14
    14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker. PENALTY on ATL-95-J.Babineaux, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced between downs.
  5. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q2 32:00 · ATL 8 · Score 0-20
    (2:00) 12-G.Frerotte pass short left to 80-I.Bruce for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [36-L.Milloy].
  6. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q2 31:55 · ATL 2 · Score 0-21
    14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker.
  7. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q3 23:29 · LA 23 · Score 3-21
    (8:29) 5-M.Andersen 41 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  8. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 11:57 · LA 15 · Score 9-21
    (11:57) 8-C.Redman pass short right to 84-R.White for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 7:25 · LA 5 · Score 15-21
    (7:25) (Shotgun) 8-C.Redman pass short middle to 12-M.Jenkins for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 7:17 · LA 2 · Score 16-21
    5-M.Andersen extra point is GOOD, Center-46-M.Schneck, Holder-9-M.Koenen.
  11. Los Angeles Rams TD (+6) — Q4 1:26 · ATL 50 · Score 16-27
    (1:26) 39-S.Jackson right guard for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Los Angeles Rams XP (+1) — Q4 1:17 · ATL 2 · Score 16-28
    14-J.Wilkins extra point is GOOD, Center-45-C.Massey, Holder-89-D.Looker.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Atlanta Falcons 28-16 in Week 13, 2007 on 2007-12-02.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 16, Los Angeles Rams 28 (ATL 16-28 LA) in Week 13, 2007 on 2007-12-02.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 0, Los Angeles Rams 14; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 0, Los Angeles Rams 7; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 3, Los Angeles Rams 0; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 13, Los Angeles Rams 7; Final: Atlanta Falcons 16, Los Angeles Rams 28.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

Los Angeles Rams touchdown — R. McMichael (G. Frerotte pass) (Q1 54:45) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — T. Holt (G. Frerotte pass) (Q1 48:44) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — I. Bruce (G. Frerotte pass) (Q2 32:00) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. White (C. Redman pass) (Q4 11:57) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — M. Jenkins (C. Redman pass) (Q4 7:25) Los Angeles Rams touchdown — S. Jackson (Q4 1:26) Atlanta Falcons field goal — M. Andersen (Q3 23:29, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

J. Harrington (Atlanta Falcons), 44.7% completion, -14.2% CPOE, -0.39 EPA per dropback, -14.70 total passing EPA. G. Frerotte (Los Angeles Rams), 62.2% completion, +3.5% CPOE, +0.06 EPA per dropback, +2.10 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams?

T. Holt (Los Angeles Rams) led the game in total EPA with +11.23 on receiving plays. across 6 snaps. The top single-play swing was (+5.24 EPA): (1:26) 39-S.Jackson right guard for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -22.6%.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 3-8 Now 3-9 L

Los Angeles Rams

Entered 2-9 Now 3-9 W