FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 4 · October 1, 2023 · 10 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2023 Week 4 Recap

Jaguars defeat Falcons 23–7 in Week 4

Trevor Lawrence led Fantasy Impact as Jaguars prevailed in a 7–23 Week 4 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 7 2–2
Final 7–23
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 2–2 Winner
Winner
Jacksonville Jaguars
Final score
7–23
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 0–17 Jacksonville Jaguars
Top passer
Trevor Lawrence
FantasyHQ MVP
Trevor Lawrence
Game date
October 1, 2023

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Jonnu Smith
    Jonnu Smith 6 REC · 95 YDS +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Brian Robinson
    Brian Robinson 14 CAR · 105 YDS +3.8 Fantasy Impact
  • KhaDarel Hodge
    KhaDarel Hodge 2 REC · 19 YDS +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Jaguars

  • Trevor Lawrence
    Trevor Lawrence 23/38 · 234 YDS · 1 TD +9.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Christian Kirk
    Christian Kirk 8 REC · 84 YDS +4.7 Fantasy Impact
  • Calvin Ridley
    Calvin Ridley 2 REC · 38 YDS · 1 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Atlanta Falcons 23–7 in Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, a matchup that controlled the game from start to finish. The decisive swing (-14.2% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on 2023-10-01, the Jacksonville Jaguars took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 23–7 final that controlled the game from start to finish.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 10 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with +9.88 total EPA, and +6.1% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +9.88 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-14.2% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons007007
Jacksonville Jaguars71006023

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Passing · +9.88 total EPA · 38 snaps · +0.26 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Smith · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.85 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  3. 3 C. Kirk · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.70 total EPA · 12 snaps · +0.39 EPA/play
  4. 4 C. Ridley · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +4.64 total EPA · 2 snaps · +2.32 EPA/play
  5. 5 B. Robinson · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +3.75 total EPA · 14 snaps · +0.27 EPA/play
  6. 6 K. Hodge · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +2.32 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.16 EPA/play
  7. 7 T. Etienne · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.31 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.44 EPA/play
  8. 8 B. Robinson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.20 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.24 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

T. Lawrence — JAX · Passing

T. Lawrence posted the highest total EPA (+9.88) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Jacksonville Jaguars's efficiency. Across 38 counted snaps, they averaged +0.26 EPA per play.

The signature play (-9.77 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — C. Ridley (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 50:50)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — D. Ridder (Q2 34:42)
  • Atlanta Falcons — D. London (D. Ridder pass) (Q3 26:42)

Field goals

  • Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q2 44:56)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q4 10:41)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars — B. McManus (Q4 2:00)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 7–0. Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ATL 30 (Q1 50:50) — (5:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss].; Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 50:44) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The second quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 10–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 38 (Q2 44:56) — (14:56) 10-B.McManus 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the JAX 45 (Q2 34:42); Jacksonville Jaguars added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 34:31) — 10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

The third quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 15 (Q3 26:42) — (11:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short left to 5-D.London for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 26:38) — 6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion..

The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 6–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 25 (Q4 10:41) — (10:41) 10-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 20 (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) 10-B.McManus 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:42) — (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.2% · EPA -9.77]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 51:54) — (6:54) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk to ATL 28 for 10 yards (24-A.Terrell). JAX-17-E.Engram was injured during the play. [WPA +9.4% · EPA +3.09]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 50:50) — (5:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss]. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +4.09]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 52:01) — (7:01) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 13-C.Kirk [93-C.Campbell]. [WPA -5.9% · EPA -1.72]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 49:12) — (4:12) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder sacked at ATL 26 for -8 yards (41-J.Allen). [WPA -5.8% · EPA -2.98]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:42) — (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -14.2% · EPA -9.77]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 34:31) — (4:31) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short middle intended for 8-K.Pitts INTERCEPTED by 5-A.Cisco at ATL 38. 5-A.Cisco to ATL 20 for 18 yards (40-K.Smith). FUMBLES (40-K.Smith), recovered by JAX-23-F.Oluo [WPA -3.8% · EPA -5.34]
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (Q1 50:50) — (5:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss]. [WPA +8.9% · EPA +4.09]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 1:33) — (1:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder sacked at ATL 45 for -8 yards (41-J.Allen). FUMBLES (41-J.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-90-A.Blackson at ATL 44. 90-A.Blackson to ATL 44 for no gain (76-K.McGary). [WPA -0.1% · EPA -3.86]

Quarterback report card

T.Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 38 dropbacks · 60.5% completion · +6.1% CPOE · +0.26 EPA/play · +9.88 total EPA
  • D.Ridder (Atlanta Falcons) · 37 dropbacks · 51.4% completion · -1.6% CPOE · -0.51 EPA/play · -18.89 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsJacksonville Jaguars
Offensive EPA/play-0.178+0.095
Offensive success rate42.5%41.0%
Pass EPA/play-0.510+0.260
Rush EPA/play+0.085-0.298
Defensive EPA/play-0.095+0.178
Defensive success rate59.0%57.5%

By the numbers

Jacksonville Jaguars held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.10 vs -0.18), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -13.03 total EPA, 2 scoring drives
  • Jacksonville Jaguars: 11 drives, +7.42 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
  • T. Lawrence (JAX) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q1 50:50 · ATL 30 · Score 0-6
    (5:50) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep right to 0-C.Ridley for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-K.Elliss].
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q1 50:44 · ATL 15 · Score 0-7
    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 44:56 · ATL 38 · Score 0-10
    (14:56) 10-B.McManus 56 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  4. Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q2 34:42 · JAX 45 · Score 0-16
    (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars XP (+1) — Q2 34:31 · ATL 15 · Score 0-17
    10-B.McManus extra point is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  6. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 26:42 · JAX 15 · Score 6-17
    (11:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short left to 5-D.London for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 26:38 · JAX 15 · Score 7-17
    6-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-49-L.McCullough, Holder-13-B.Pinion.
  8. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 10:41 · ATL 25 · Score 7-20
    (10:41) 10-B.McManus 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 2:00 · ATL 20 · Score 7-23
    (2:00) 10-B.McManus 38 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Atlanta Falcons 23-7 in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 23 (ATL 7-23 JAX) in Week 4, 2023 on 2023-10-01.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 10; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 6; Final: Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 23.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — C. Ridley (T. Lawrence pass) (Q1 50:50) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — D. Ridder (Q2 34:42) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — D. London (D. Ridder pass) (Q3 26:42) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — B. McManus (Q2 44:56, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — B. McManus (Q4 10:41, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — B. McManus (Q4 2:00, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 60.5% completion, +6.1% CPOE, +0.26 EPA per dropback, +9.88 total passing EPA. D. Ridder (Atlanta Falcons), 51.4% completion, -1.6% CPOE, -0.51 EPA per dropback, -18.89 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) led the game in total EPA with +9.88 on passing plays. across 38 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-9.77 EPA): (4:42) (Shotgun) 9-D.Ridder pass short right intended for 5-D.London INTERCEPTED by 31-Dari.Williams at JAX 39. 31-Dari.Williams for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -14.2%.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 2-1 Now 2-2 L

Jacksonville Jaguars

Entered 1-2 Now 2-2 W