Game story
In Week 12 of the 2021 NFL season on 2021-11-28, the Atlanta Falcons took care of business against the Jacksonville Jaguars, pulling away with a 21–14 final that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
The highest-scoring period was Q3 with 15 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.
T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) paced the passing game, with -1.20 total EPA, and -5.5% completion percentage over expected.
On the individual side, R. Gage (Atlanta Falcons) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +5.98 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.
The momentum swing (-13.3% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Jacksonville Jaguars changed the game: (7:52) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (94-A.Rush). FUMBLES (94-A.Rush), RECOVERED by ATL-90-M.Davidson at JAX 29.
Line score
Final score and points by quarter.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | — | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
Stars of the game
Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.
- 1 R. Gage · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.98 total EPA · 7 snaps · +0.85 EPA/play
- 2 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +5.94 total EPA · 32 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play
- 3 C. Patterson · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +3.63 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.23 EPA/play
- 4 T. Austin · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 2 snaps · +1.39 EPA/play
- 5 T. Lawrence · Jacksonville Jaguars · Rushing · +2.70 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.67 EPA/play
- 6 T. Sharpe · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.39 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.46 EPA/play
- 7 C. Patterson · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.30 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
- 8 J. Robinson · Jacksonville Jaguars · Receiving · +1.27 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.32 EPA/play
Player of the game
FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.
R. Gage — ATL · Receiving
R. Gage posted the highest total EPA (+5.98) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Atlanta Falcons's efficiency. Across 7 counted snaps, they averaged +0.85 EPA per play.
The signature play (-5.25 EPA) came from Jacksonville Jaguars: (7:52) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (94-A.Rush). FUMBLES (94-A.Rush), RECOVERED by ATL-90-M.Davidson at JAX 29.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals
Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.
Touchdowns
- Atlanta Falcons — C. Patterson
- Atlanta Falcons — C. Patterson
- Atlanta Falcons — R. Gage (M. Ryan pass)
- Jacksonville Jaguars — T. Austin (T. Lawrence pass)
Field goals
- Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright
- Jacksonville Jaguars — M. Wright
How it unfolded, quarter by quarter
A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.
The opening quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 7 (Q1 45:46) — (:46) (No Huddle) 84-C.Patterson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q1 45:38) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead..
The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 7–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q2 36:46) — (6:46) 84-C.Patterson up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q2 36:40) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 3 (Q2 30:50) — (:50) 15-M.Wright 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
The third quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 8–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the JAX 12 (Q3 22:54) — (7:54) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-R.Gage for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the JAX 15 (Q3 22:47) — 7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead.; Jacksonville Jaguars found the end zone from the ATL 7 (Q3 15:29) — (:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 7-T.Austin for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Jacksonville Jaguars registered a safety from the ATL 2 (Q3 15:22) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-T.Lawrence pass to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS..
The fourth quarter: Jacksonville Jaguars won the period 3–0. Jacksonville Jaguars connected on a field goal from the ATL 16 (Q4 6:33) — (6:33) 15-M.Wright 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke..
Turning points
Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 37:52) — (7:52) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (94-A.Rush). FUMBLES (94-A.Rush), RECOVERED by ATL-90-M.Davidson at JAX 29.
- Atlanta Falcons (Q1 49:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 28-M.Davis to ATL 34 for 18 yards (42-A.Wingard, 44-M.Jack) [5-R.Ford].
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 9:53) — (9:53) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right to 18-L.Treadwell to ATL 19 for 20 yards (34-D.Hall).
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 30:23) — (:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep right intended for 8-K.Pitts INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Campbell at 50. 32-T.Campbell to 50 for no gain (8-K.Pitts).
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 30:10) — (:10) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep left to 18-L.Treadwell.
Impact plays
Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 37:52) — (7:52) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (94-A.Rush). FUMBLES (94-A.Rush), RECOVERED by ATL-90-M.Davidson at JAX 29.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q4 1:23) — (1:23) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete deep right to 10-L.Shenault.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (Q2 34:28) — (4:28) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 10-L.Shenault to ATL 42 for 24 yards (34-D.Hall; 54-F.Oluokun) [93-J.Vaughters].
- Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:51) — (6:51) 7-Y.Koo 43 yard field goal is GOOD, NULLIFIED by Penalty, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead. PENALTY on JAX-95-R.Robertson-Harris, Leverage, 13 yards, enforced at JAX 25 - No Play.
Quarterback report card
T.Lawrence led all passers in efficiency for Jacksonville Jaguars, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.
- T.Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) · 45 dropbacks · 51.1% completion · -5.5% CPOE · -0.03 EPA/play · -1.20 total EPA
- M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 32 dropbacks · 59.4% completion · -2.1% CPOE · +0.19 EPA/play · +5.94 total EPA
Team stats comparison
Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.
| Stat | Atlanta Falcons | Jacksonville Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive EPA/play | +0.066 | -0.045 |
| Offensive success rate | 45.0% | 47.1% |
| Pass EPA/play | +0.186 | -0.027 |
| Rush EPA/play | +0.046 | -0.043 |
| Defensive EPA/play | +0.045 | -0.066 |
| Defensive success rate | 52.9% | 55.0% |
By the numbers
Despite the final score, Atlanta Falcons generated the better offensive EPA per play (+0.07 vs -0.04), suggesting they moved the ball more efficiently.
- Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +5.27 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
- Jacksonville Jaguars: 10 drives, -3.80 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
Key takeaways
What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.
- Atlanta Falcons leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
- One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
- R. Gage (Atlanta Falcons) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
- T. Lawrence (JAX) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.
Every scoring play
Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.
- Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 45:46 · JAX 7 · Score 6-0
(:46) (No Huddle) 84-C.Patterson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 45:38 · JAX 15 · Score 7-0
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 36:46 · JAX 12 · Score 13-0
(6:46) 84-C.Patterson up the middle for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 36:40 · JAX 15 · Score 14-0
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q2 30:50 · ATL 3 · Score 14-3
(:50) 15-M.Wright 22 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke. - Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q3 22:54 · JAX 12 · Score 20-3
(7:54) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 14-R.Gage for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q3 22:47 · JAX 15 · Score 21-3
7-Y.Koo extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-19-T.Morstead. - Jacksonville Jaguars TD (+6) — Q3 15:29 · ATL 7 · Score 21-9
(:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 7-T.Austin for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. - Jacksonville Jaguars Safety (+2) — Q3 15:22 · ATL 2 · Score 21-11
TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 16-T.Lawrence pass to 80-J.O'Shaughnessy is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. - Jacksonville Jaguars FG (+3) — Q4 6:33 · ATL 16 · Score 21-14
(6:33) 15-M.Wright 34 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-R.Matiscik, Holder-9-L.Cooke.
Frequently asked questions
Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The Atlanta Falcons beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 21-14 in Week 12, 2021 on 2021-11-28.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
The final score was Atlanta Falcons 21, Jacksonville Jaguars 14 (ATL 21-14 JAX) in Week 12, 2021 on 2021-11-28.
What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 0; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 8; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 0, Jacksonville Jaguars 3; Final: Atlanta Falcons 21, Jacksonville Jaguars 14.
Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Patterson (Q1 45:46) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — C. Patterson (Q2 36:46) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — R. Gage (M. Ryan pass) (Q3 22:54) Jacksonville Jaguars touchdown — T. Austin (T. Lawrence pass) (Q3 15:29) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q2 30:50, 3 pts) Jacksonville Jaguars field goal — M. Wright (Q4 6:33, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.
How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
T. Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars), 51.1% completion, -5.5% CPOE, -0.03 EPA per dropback, -1.20 total passing EPA. M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 59.4% completion, -2.1% CPOE, +0.19 EPA per dropback, +5.94 total passing EPA.
Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
R. Gage (Atlanta Falcons) led the game in total EPA with +5.98 on receiving plays. across 7 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-5.25 EPA): (7:52) 25-J.Robinson up the middle to JAX 29 for 1 yard (94-A.Rush). FUMBLES (94-A.Rush), RECOVERED by ATL-90-M.Davidson at JAX 29.. The biggest win-probability swing was -13.3%.
Was Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars a close game?
Yes — the margin was 7 points. Atlanta Falcons won 21-14 in a game that stayed a one-score game deep into the second half.
Season records after this game
Atlanta Falcons
Entered 4-6 Now 5-6 W
Jacksonville Jaguars
Entered 2-8 Now 2-9 L
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