FantasyHQ · Game Recap

NFL · Week 14 · December 9, 2018 · 12 min read

Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers: 2018 Week 14 Recap

Packers defeat Falcons 34–20 in Week 14

Aaron Rodgers led Fantasy Impact as Packers prevailed in a 20–34 Week 14 finish.

Atlanta Falcons 20 4–9
Final 20–34
Green Bay Packers 34 5–7 Winner
Winner
Green Bay Packers
Final score
20–34
Halftime
Atlanta Falcons 7–20 Green Bay Packers
Top passer
Matt Ryan
FantasyHQ MVP
Aaron Rodgers
Game date
December 9, 2018

Top fantasy performers · Falcons

  • Justin Jones
    Justin Jones 8 REC · 106 YDS · 2 TD +6.5 Fantasy Impact
  • M.Sanu 6 REC · 54 YDS +5.8 Fantasy Impact
  • Matt Ryan
    Matt Ryan 28/47 · 237 YDS · 4 TD +4.6 Fantasy Impact

Top fantasy performers · Packers

  • Aaron Rodgers
    Aaron Rodgers 21/43 · 206 YDS · 2 TD +7.9 Fantasy Impact
  • Davante Adams
    Davante Adams 7 REC · 81 YDS · 1 TD +5.4 Fantasy Impact
  • Randall Cobb
    Randall Cobb 5 REC · 43 YDS · 1 TD +2.3 Fantasy Impact

Game story

The Green Bay Packers defeated the Atlanta Falcons 34–20 in Week 14 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-09, a matchup that built a comfortable lead. The decisive swing (-12.0% win probability) came in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons swung the momentum.

In Week 14 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-12-09, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 34–20 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q1 with 14 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +4.62 total EPA, and -0.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +7.90 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-12.0% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Atlanta Falcons changed the game: (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Q1Q2Q3Q4T
Atlanta Falcons70013020
Green Bay Packers713140034

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

  1. 1 A. Rodgers · Green Bay Packers · Passing · +7.90 total EPA · 43 snaps · +0.18 EPA/play
  2. 2 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.47 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.59 EPA/play
  3. 3 M. Sanu · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +5.82 total EPA · 8 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
  4. 4 D. Adams · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +5.44 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.49 EPA/play
  5. 5 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +4.62 total EPA · 47 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
  6. 6 J. Hardy · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +3.87 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.97 EPA/play
  7. 7 R. Cobb · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.27 total EPA · 6 snaps · +0.38 EPA/play
  8. 8 I. Smith · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +1.89 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.47 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

A. Rodgers — GB · Passing

A. Rodgers posted the highest total EPA (+7.90) in the game, making the biggest overall impact on Green Bay Packers's efficiency. Across 43 counted snaps, they averaged +0.18 EPA per play.

The signature play (-6.61 EPA) came from Atlanta Falcons: (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 56:43)
  • Green Bay Packers — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 52:16)
  • Green Bay Packers — B. Breeland (Q2 36:08)
  • Green Bay Packers — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 27:49)
  • Green Bay Packers — A. Jones (Q3 20:57)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 13:39)
  • Atlanta Falcons — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 0:18)

Field goals

  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 37:45)
  • Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 30:04)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: The quarter finished even at 7–7. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 16 (Q1 56:43) — (11:43) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 11-J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q1 56:36) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Condo, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 7 (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 52:11) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The second quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 13–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 32 (Q2 37:45) — (7:45) 2-M.Crosby 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the GB 86 (Q2 36:08); Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 36:01) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 30 (Q2 30:04) — (:04) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 14–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 24 (Q3 27:49) — (12:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 27:44) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.; Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 29 (Q3 20:57) — (5:57) 33-A.Jones right tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 20:51) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 13–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 12 (Q4 13:39) — (13:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 11-J.Jones for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 15 (Q4 13:34) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Condo, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 19 (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 14-J.Hardy for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:08) — (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.0% · EPA -6.61]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 46:34) — (1:34) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at GB 26 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by ATL-26-T.Coleman at GB 35. 26-T.Coleman to GB 35 for no gain (23-J.Alexander). [WPA -10.6% · EPA -2.77]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q1 58:56) — (13:56) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones pushed ob at GB 28 for 19 yards (23-J.Alexander). Green Bay challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands [WPA +9.0% · EPA +1.34]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q2 41:54) — (11:54) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 17-D.Adams pushed ob at ATL 37 for 22 yards (20-I.Oliver). [WPA +7.5% · EPA +1.88]
  • Green Bay Packers (Q1 52:16) — (7:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +7.4% · EPA +1.31]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

  • Atlanta Falcons (Q2 36:08) — (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -12.0% · EPA -6.61]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 0:18) — (:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 14-J.Hardy for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA -0.0% · EPA +4.50]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 6:49) — (6:49) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan Aborted. 51-A.Mack FUMBLES at GB 11, RECOVERED by GB-26-B.Breeland at GB 7. 26-B.Breeland to GB 7 for no gain (2-M.Ryan). snap by #51 hit #12 hit in leg [WPA -0.5% · EPA -4.44]
  • Atlanta Falcons (Q4 14:19) — (14:19) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 25-I.Smith pushed ob at GB 23 for 11 yards (93-R.Gilbert). [WPA +0.0% · EPA +3.41]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

  • M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 47 dropbacks · 59.6% completion · -0.3% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +4.62 total EPA
  • A.Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) · 43 dropbacks · 48.8% completion · -0.4% CPOE · +0.18 EPA/play · +7.90 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

StatAtlanta FalconsGreen Bay Packers
Offensive EPA/play-0.064+0.125
Offensive success rate51.1%49.4%
Pass EPA/play+0.098+0.184
Rush EPA/play-0.251+0.033
Defensive EPA/play-0.125+0.064
Defensive success rate50.6%48.9%

By the numbers

Green Bay Packers held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.12 vs -0.06), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

  • Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, -5.59 total EPA, 4 scoring drives
  • Green Bay Packers: 11 drives, +10.65 total EPA, 5 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

  • Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
  • A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

  1. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q1 56:43 · GB 16 · Score 6-0
    (11:43) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 11-J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q1 56:36 · GB 15 · Score 7-0
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Condo, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  3. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 52:16 · ATL 7 · Score 7-6
    (7:16) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 52:11 · ATL 15 · Score 7-7
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  5. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 37:45 · ATL 32 · Score 7-10
    (7:45) 2-M.Crosby 50 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  6. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q2 36:08 · GB 86 · Score 7-16
    (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  7. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q2 36:01 · ATL 15 · Score 7-17
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  8. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 30:04 · ATL 30 · Score 7-20
    (:04) 2-M.Crosby 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  9. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 27:49 · ATL 24 · Score 7-26
    (12:49) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 18-R.Cobb for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  10. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 27:44 · ATL 15 · Score 7-27
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  11. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q3 20:57 · ATL 29 · Score 7-33
    (5:57) 33-A.Jones right tackle for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  12. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q3 20:51 · ATL 15 · Score 7-34
    2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
  13. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 13:39 · GB 12 · Score 13-34
    (13:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 11-J.Jones for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  14. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q4 13:34 · GB 15 · Score 14-34
    3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-46-J.Condo, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
  15. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 0:18 · GB 19 · Score 20-34
    (:18) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 14-J.Hardy for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Frequently asked questions

Who won Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-20 in Week 14, 2018 on 2018-12-09.

What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

The final score was Atlanta Falcons 20, Green Bay Packers 34 (ATL 20-34 GB) in Week 14, 2018 on 2018-12-09.

What was the score by quarter in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

Q1: Atlanta Falcons 7, Green Bay Packers 7; Q2: Atlanta Falcons 0, Green Bay Packers 13; Q3: Atlanta Falcons 0, Green Bay Packers 14; Q4: Atlanta Falcons 13, Green Bay Packers 0; Final: Atlanta Falcons 20, Green Bay Packers 34.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q1 56:43) Green Bay Packers touchdown — D. Adams (A. Rodgers pass) (Q1 52:16) Green Bay Packers touchdown — B. Breeland (Q2 36:08) Green Bay Packers touchdown — R. Cobb (A. Rodgers pass) (Q3 27:49) Green Bay Packers touchdown — A. Jones (Q3 20:57) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 13:39) Atlanta Falcons touchdown — J. Hardy (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 0:18) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 37:45, 3 pts) Green Bay Packers field goal — M. Crosby (Q2 30:04, 3 pts) Extra points followed each touchdown unless noted in the play-by-play.

How did the quarterbacks play in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons), 59.6% completion, -0.3% CPOE, +0.10 EPA per dropback, +4.62 total passing EPA. A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers), 48.8% completion, -0.4% CPOE, +0.18 EPA per dropback, +7.90 total passing EPA.

Who was the most impactful player in Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers?

A. Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) led the game in total EPA with +7.90 on passing plays. across 43 snaps. The top single-play swing was (-6.61 EPA): (6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.. The biggest win-probability swing was -12.0%.

Season records after this game

Atlanta Falcons

Entered 4-8 Now 4-9 L

Green Bay Packers

Entered 4-7 Now 5-7 W