Atlanta Falcons vs. Green Bay Packers: 2013 Week 14 Recap

Game story

In Week 14 of the 2013 NFL season on 2013-12-08, the Green Bay Packers took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 22–21 final that came down to the wire.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 24 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Flynn (Green Bay Packers) paced the passing game, with -5.09 total EPA, and +7.3% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, A. Quarless (Green Bay Packers) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +6.97 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-30.8% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Green Bay Packers changed the game: (:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short middle intended for 30-J.Kuhn INTERCEPTED by 56-S.Weatherspoon (94-P.Jerry) at ATL 29. 56-S.Weatherspoon for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 A. Quarless · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.97 total EPA · 7 snaps · +1.00 EPA/play
2. 2 J. Nelson · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +6.57 total EPA · 4 snaps · +1.64 EPA/play
3. 3 R. White · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +6.37 total EPA · 10 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
4. 4 Dr. Davis · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.61 total EPA · 1 snaps · +4.61 EPA/play
5. 5 J. Boykin · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +2.20 total EPA · 3 snaps · +0.73 EPA/play
6. 6 S. Jackson · Atlanta Falcons · Rushing · +2.06 total EPA · 16 snaps · +0.13 EPA/play
7. 7 E. Lacy · Green Bay Packers · Receiving · +1.52 total EPA · 5 snaps · +0.30 EPA/play
8. 8 J. Rodgers · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +0.76 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.19 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Green Bay Packers — E. Lacy (Q1 45:01)
• Atlanta Falcons — M. Ryan (Q2 41:10)
• Atlanta Falcons — T. Gonzalez (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 38:48)
• Atlanta Falcons — S. Weatherspoon (Q2 30:32)
• Green Bay Packers — A. Quarless (M. Flynn pass) (Q4 12:05)

Field goals

• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q2 33:43)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 24:10)
• Green Bay Packers — M. Crosby (Q3 15:49)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 7–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 1 (Q1 45:01) — (:01) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ATL-28-T.DeCoud was injured during the play.; Green Bay Packers added 1 points from the ATL 2 (Q1 45:00) — 2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 21–3. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 36 (Q2 41:10) — (11:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 19-Dr.Davis for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 41:01) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the GB 2 (Q2 38:48) — (8:48) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 38:43) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 22 (Q2 33:43) — (3:43) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the ATL 35 (Q2 30:32); Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the GB 2 (Q2 30:23) — 3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher..

The third quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 6–0. Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 15 (Q3 24:10) — (9:10) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.; Green Bay Packers connected on a field goal from the ATL 7 (Q3 15:49) — (:49) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay..

The fourth quarter: Green Bay Packers won the period 6–0. Green Bay Packers found the end zone from the ATL 2 (Q4 12:05) — (12:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short right to 81-A.Quarless for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short middle intended for 30-J.Kuhn INTERCEPTED by 56-S.Weatherspoon (94-P.Jerry) at ATL 29. 56-S.Weatherspoon for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant [WPA -30.8% · EPA -9.51]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 2:00) — (2:00) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 88-T.Gonzalez (24-J.Bush). [WPA -28.4% · EPA -2.52]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 13:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 21 for -4 yards (96-M.Neal). FUMBLES (96-M.Neal), RECOVERED by GB-97-J.Jolly at ATL 21. 97-J.Jolly to ATL 21 for no gain (61-J.Hawley). [WPA -21.1% · EPA -4.77]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 6:47) — (6:47) 3-M.Bryant 52 yard field goal is No Good, Short, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher. [WPA -20.4% · EPA -3.12]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 40:55) — (10:55) 10-M.Flynn sacked at GB 15 for -8 yards (25-W.Moore). FUMBLES (25-W.Moore), RECOVERED by ATL-93-M.Goodman at GB 13. 93-M.Goodman to GB 13 for no gain (70-T.Lang). [WPA -17.3% · EPA -5.68]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Green Bay Packers (Q2 30:32) — (:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short middle intended for 30-J.Kuhn INTERCEPTED by 56-S.Weatherspoon (94-P.Jerry) at ATL 29. 56-S.Weatherspoon for 71 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant [WPA -30.8% · EPA -9.51]
• Green Bay Packers (Q2 40:55) — (10:55) 10-M.Flynn sacked at GB 15 for -8 yards (25-W.Moore). FUMBLES (25-W.Moore), RECOVERED by ATL-93-M.Goodman at GB 13. 93-M.Goodman to GB 13 for no gain (70-T.Lang). [WPA -17.3% · EPA -5.68]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 13:58) — (13:58) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 21 for -4 yards (96-M.Neal). FUMBLES (96-M.Neal), RECOVERED by GB-97-J.Jolly at ATL 21. 97-J.Jolly to ATL 21 for no gain (61-J.Hawley). [WPA -21.1% · EPA -4.77]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 41:10) — (11:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 19-Dr.Davis for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +13.0% · EPA +4.61]

Quarterback report card

M.Flynn led all passers in efficiency for Green Bay Packers, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Flynn (Green Bay Packers) · 43 dropbacks · 55.8% completion · +7.3% CPOE · -0.12 EPA/play · -5.09 total EPA
• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 36 dropbacks · 55.6% completion · -5.6% CPOE · +0.02 EPA/play · +0.67 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Both offenses finished within striking distance on EPA per play (Atlanta Falcons -0.04, Green Bay Packers -0.04) — a true toss-up on the analytics sheet.

• Atlanta Falcons: 11 drives, -3.24 total EPA, 1 scoring drives
• Green Bay Packers: 12 drives, -3.49 total EPA, 6 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Green Bay Packers leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• One-score margin — fantasy managers should double-check garbage-time stats before drawing conclusions.
• A. Quarless (Green Bay Packers) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Flynn (GB) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• M. Ryan (ATL) finished below expected efficiency — volume may have masked accuracy issues.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q1 45:01 · ATL 1 · Score 0-6
   (:01) 27-E.Lacy right guard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. ATL-28-T.DeCoud was injured during the play.
2. Green Bay Packers XP (+1) — Q1 45:00 · ATL 2 · Score 0-7
   2-M.Crosby extra point is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
3. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 41:10 · GB 36 · Score 6-7
   (11:10) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle to 19-Dr.Davis for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 41:01 · GB 2 · Score 7-7
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
5. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 38:48 · GB 2 · Score 13-7
   (8:48) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 88-T.Gonzalez for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
6. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 38:43 · GB 2 · Score 14-7
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
7. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q2 33:43 · ATL 22 · Score 14-10
   (3:43) 2-M.Crosby 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
8. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 30:32 · ATL 35 · Score 20-10
   (:32) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short middle intended for 30-J.Kuhn INTERCEPTED by 56-S.Weatherspoon (94-P.Jerry) at ATL 29. 56-S.Weatherspoon for 71
9. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 30:23 · GB 2 · Score 21-10
   3-M.Bryant extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
10. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 24:10 · ATL 15 · Score 21-13
    (9:10) 2-M.Crosby 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
11. Green Bay Packers FG (+3) — Q3 15:49 · ATL 7 · Score 21-16
    (:49) 2-M.Crosby 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-61-B.Goode, Holder-8-T.Masthay.
12. Green Bay Packers TD (+6) — Q4 12:05 · ATL 2 · Score 21-22
    (12:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Flynn pass short right to 81-A.Quarless for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.