Atlanta Falcons vs. Cleveland Browns: 2018 Week 10 Recap

Game story

In Week 10 of the 2018 NFL season on 2018-11-11, the Cleveland Browns took care of business against the Atlanta Falcons, pulling away with a 28–16 final that built a comfortable lead.

The highest-scoring period was Q2 with 17 combined points — the stretch that most shaped the final margin.

M. Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) paced the passing game, with +5.43 total EPA, and +3.8% completion percentage over expected.

On the individual side, B. Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) delivered the top overall EPA impact at +21.32 — the clearest player-of-the-game signal on the analytics sheet.

The momentum swing (-15.4% win probability) landed in the second quarter when Cleveland Browns changed the game: (8:40) (Shotgun) 25-D.Hilliard pass short left intended for 6-B.Mayfield INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Kazee at ATL 22. 27-D.Kazee to CLE 45 for 33 yards (24-N.Chubb).

Line score

Final score and points by quarter.

Stars of the game

Top performers by total expected points added (EPA) across passing, rushing, and receiving.

1. 1 B. Mayfield · Cleveland Browns · Passing · +21.32 total EPA · 23 snaps · +0.93 EPA/play
2. 2 A. Hooper · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +7.04 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.64 EPA/play
3. 3 M. Ryan · Atlanta Falcons · Passing · +5.43 total EPA · 57 snaps · +0.10 EPA/play
4. 4 J. Jones · Atlanta Falcons · Receiving · +4.76 total EPA · 11 snaps · +0.43 EPA/play
5. 5 N. Chubb · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +4.05 total EPA · 3 snaps · +1.35 EPA/play
6. 6 N. Chubb · Cleveland Browns · Rushing · +3.60 total EPA · 21 snaps · +0.17 EPA/play
7. 7 D. Johnson · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +2.96 total EPA · 4 snaps · +0.74 EPA/play
8. 8 R. Higgins · Cleveland Browns · Receiving · +2.77 total EPA · 1 snaps · +2.77 EPA/play

Player of the game

FantasyHQ analytics player-of-the-game pick based on total EPA and signature plays.

Who scored touchdowns and field goals

Every touchdown and field goal with the player named in official play-by-play.

Touchdowns

• Cleveland Browns — R. Higgins (B. Mayfield pass) (Q1 49:44)
• Atlanta Falcons — J. Jones (M. Ryan pass) (Q2 35:08)
• Cleveland Browns — N. Chubb (B. Mayfield pass) (Q2 31:01)
• Cleveland Browns — D. Johnson (B. Mayfield pass) (Q3 25:31)
• Cleveland Browns — N. Chubb (Q3 23:51)
• Atlanta Falcons — A. Hooper (M. Ryan pass) (Q4 4:29)

Field goals

• Atlanta Falcons — G. Tavecchio (Q2 42:22)

How it unfolded, quarter by quarter

A quarter-by-quarter recap built from live scoring plays and play descriptions.

The opening quarter: Cleveland Browns won the period 7–0. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the ATL 28 (Q1 49:44) — (4:44) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 81-R.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q1 49:36) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The second quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 10–7. Atlanta Falcons connected on a field goal from the CLE 22 (Q2 42:22) — (12:22) (Field Goal formation) 4-G.Tavecchio 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CLE 1 (Q2 35:08) — (5:08) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 11-J.Jones for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons added 1 points from the CLE 15 (Q2 35:04) — 4-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.; Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the ATL 13 (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 24-N.Chubb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q2 30:55) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The third quarter: Cleveland Browns won the period 14–0. Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the ATL 11 (Q3 25:31) — (10:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 29-D.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 25:27) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.; Cleveland Browns found the end zone from the ATL 92 (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Cleveland Browns added 1 points from the ATL 15 (Q3 23:45) — 17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt..

The fourth quarter: Atlanta Falcons won the period 12–0. Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CLE 3 (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-A.Hooper for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.; Atlanta Falcons found the end zone from the CLE 2 (Q4 4:24) — TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-M.Ryan is sacked. ATTEMPT FAILS..

Turning points

Plays that moved win probability the most — the swings that decided the game.

• Cleveland Browns (Q2 38:40) — (8:40) (Shotgun) 25-D.Hilliard pass short left intended for 6-B.Mayfield INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Kazee at ATL 22. 27-D.Kazee to CLE 45 for 33 yards (24-N.Chubb). [WPA -15.4% · EPA -6.42]
• Cleveland Browns (Q2 31:01) — (1:01) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 24-N.Chubb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +11.8% · EPA +3.22]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 28:39) — (13:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 12-M.Sanu to ATL 41 for 4 yards (38-T.Carrie; 54-T.Vallejo). FUMBLES (38-T.Carrie), RECOVERED by CLE-38-T.Carrie at ATL 41. 38-T.Carrie to ATL 41 for no [WPA -10.1% · EPA -4.38]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q2 38:30) — (8:30) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 11-J.Jones to CLE 15 for 30 yards (54-T.Vallejo). [WPA +9.3% · EPA +1.92]
• Cleveland Browns (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +7.35]

Impact plays

Highest expected-points added snaps that flipped field position and scoring chances.

• Cleveland Browns (Q3 23:51) — (8:51) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +8.3% · EPA +7.35]
• Cleveland Browns (Q2 38:40) — (8:40) (Shotgun) 25-D.Hilliard pass short left intended for 6-B.Mayfield INTERCEPTED by 27-D.Kazee at ATL 22. 27-D.Kazee to CLE 45 for 33 yards (24-N.Chubb). [WPA -15.4% · EPA -6.42]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q3 28:39) — (13:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 12-M.Sanu to ATL 41 for 4 yards (38-T.Carrie; 54-T.Vallejo). FUMBLES (38-T.Carrie), RECOVERED by CLE-38-T.Carrie at ATL 41. 38-T.Carrie to ATL 41 for no [WPA -10.1% · EPA -4.38]
• Atlanta Falcons (Q4 4:29) — (4:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-A.Hooper for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. [WPA +1.5% · EPA +4.04]

Quarterback report card

M.Ryan led all passers in efficiency for Atlanta Falcons, setting the tone in the passing game according to FantasyHQ analytics.

• M.Ryan (Atlanta Falcons) · 57 dropbacks · 66.7% completion · +3.8% CPOE · +0.10 EPA/play · +5.43 total EPA
• B.Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) · 23 dropbacks · 73.9% completion · +15.7% CPOE · +0.93 EPA/play · +21.32 total EPA

Team stats comparison

Side-by-side offensive and defensive efficiency from FantasyHQ analytics.

By the numbers

Cleveland Browns held the efficiency edge in offensive EPA per play (+0.20 vs +0.01), even if the scoreboard told a different story.

• Atlanta Falcons: 10 drives, +1.05 total EPA, 3 scoring drives
• Cleveland Browns: 10 drives, +13.54 total EPA, 4 scoring drives

Key takeaways

What to remember for fantasy research, film review, and follow-up box score digging.

• Cleveland Browns leaves with the win and the better postgame narrative for Week-to-week momentum.
• B. Mayfield (Cleveland Browns) is the first name to pull up for highlight reels and prop-retrospective research.
• M. Ryan (ATL) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.
• B. Mayfield (CLE) beat expectation through the air — positive CPOE game for stack builds.

Every scoring play

Chronological scoring with field position and full play-by-play context.

1. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q1 49:44 · ATL 28 · Score 0-6
   (4:44) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 81-R.Higgins for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q1 49:36 · ATL 15 · Score 0-7
   17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
3. Atlanta Falcons FG (+3) — Q2 42:22 · CLE 22 · Score 3-7
   (12:22) (Field Goal formation) 4-G.Tavecchio 40 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
4. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q2 35:08 · CLE 1 · Score 9-7
   (5:08) 2-M.Ryan pass short left to 11-J.Jones for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
5. Atlanta Falcons XP (+1) — Q2 35:04 · CLE 15 · Score 10-7
   4-G.Tavecchio extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-5-M.Bosher.
6. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q2 31:01 · ATL 13 · Score 10-13
   (1:01) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 24-N.Chubb for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
7. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q2 30:55 · ATL 15 · Score 10-14
   17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
8. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q3 25:31 · ATL 11 · Score 10-20
   (10:31) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 29-D.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
9. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q3 25:27 · ATL 15 · Score 10-21
   17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
10. Cleveland Browns TD (+6) — Q3 23:51 · ATL 92 · Score 10-27
    (8:51) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
11. Cleveland Browns XP (+1) — Q3 23:45 · ATL 15 · Score 10-28
    17-G.Joseph extra point is GOOD, Center-47-C.Hughlett, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.
12. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 4:29 · CLE 3 · Score 16-28
    (4:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 81-A.Hooper for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
13. Atlanta Falcons TD (+6) — Q4 4:24 · CLE 2 · Score 16-28
    TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 2-M.Ryan is sacked. ATTEMPT FAILS.